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Ukraine Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Power Market Outlook 2019-2028

  • ID: 4846821
  • Report
  • Region: Ukraine
  • 120 Pages
  • Inea Consulting Ltd
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Activ Solar
  • Aprilsi-Sun
  • Atlas Energy
  • BISOL Group
  • Ekotechnik Praha
  • Helios Strategia
  • MORE

This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the photovoltaic sector of the country. Cumulative installed PV capacity in the country was only 3MW in 2010, but grew up to 140 MW in 2011 and exceeded 2,000MW (3GW) at the end of 2018, making Ukraine one of the fastest-growing photovoltaic markets in the region. The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, current issues, and future prospects. You will find more than 120 pages of valuable information in this unique in-depth analysis of the Ukrainian photovoltaic market.

With comprehensive market data, this report brings clear and concise insights, to help investors in their decision-making process. As 2017 and 2018 were challenging years for the photovoltaic industry, the time for making the right decisions during 2019 and the next few years is limited. Significant progress achieved in photovoltaic sector development has made Ukraine an undoubted industry leader among the CIS countries by the end of February 2014. After that political turmoil in Ukraine changed the picture in the CIS region and a more complex overview of the solar PV sector in the country is necessary. The fast-changing market environment requires relevant and accurate information. There is an opportunity for orders with customized report content.

Reasons to buy this market report are, but not limited to:

  • Brief overview of the Ukrainian political and economic environment
  • Solar resource potential in Ukraine
  • Financial Model and Analysis of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)
  • Over 55 charts, tables, and maps
  • Overview of Ukrainian solar photovoltaic market development 2008-2028
  • Grid-connected photovoltaic power installations for 2018/2019
  • Future market trends and planned solar photovoltaic projects for 2019-2028
  • Current market prices of fully permitted and operational solar photovoltaic projects
  • Ukrainian legal and energy regulatory framework for renewable projects
  • Key companies and competitive landscape in the solar photovoltaic sector
  • Review of most relevant financing and supporting incentives
  • SWOT Analysis (detailed in 5 pages)

Report Subscription:
  • Customers of a Single User License will receive up to 1 free update of the report if they order up to the end of February 2020
  • Customers of a 1-5 User License will receive up to 2 free updates of the report if they order up to the end of February 2020
  • Customers of an Enterprise License will receive up to 3 free updates of the report if they order up to the end of December 2019











































Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Activ Solar
  • Aprilsi-Sun
  • Atlas Energy
  • BISOL Group
  • Ekotechnik Praha
  • Helios Strategia
  • MORE

FOREWORD

1 METHODOLOGY AND LIMITATIONS
1.1 Research Methodology
1.2 Limitations

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2.1 Historical and Current Development Overview of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market in Ukraine
2.2 Ukraine Solar Resource Potential
2.3 Key Stakeholders Affecting Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market Development in Ukraine
2.4 Market Drivers and Constraints
2.5 Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine
2.6 Market Forecast Summary

3 UKRAINE POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT. PEST ANALYSIS
3.1 Basic Country Data
3.2 Political Climate and Ruling Party
3.3 GDP and Economic Growth
3.4 Taxes
3.4.1 VAT
3.4.2 Income and Corporate Taxes

4 COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS) AND CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) POWER MARKET
4.1 General Electricity Market Information
4.2 Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Energy Sector
4.3 Single Electricity Market of the European Union
4.4 CIS States Common Electricity Market (CIS CEM)
4.5 Electricity Market Concept of Eurasian Economic Union

5 COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS) PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET
5.1 Market Overview
5.2 Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity and Revenue
5.3 Annual Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity
5.4 Future Development Trends

6 UKRAINE POWER MARKET
6.1 Electricity Transmission and Distribution
6.2 Electricity Consumption and Generation
6.3 Electricity Imports and Exports
6.4 Electricity Prices for Business and Households
6.5 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Targets

7 UKRAINE PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET
7.1 Why Invest in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Ukraine?
7.2 Ukraine Solar Resource Potential
7.3 Licensing Period Duration
7.4 Regional Substation Capacities for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine
7.5 Overview of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market in Ukraine
7.6 Market Structure Analysis
7.7 Investment Trends and Development Roadmap
7.8 Competitive Environment in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market
7.9 Profiles of Key Players and Investors in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market
7.10 Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity and Revenue
7.11 Annual Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity
7.12 Market Prices for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition
7.13 Key Cost Structure Elements of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant in Ukraine
7.14 Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Ukraine
7.15 Key Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine Under Development
7.16 Mergers and Acquisitions

8 DRIVERS AND CONSTRAINTS OF PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE. SWOT ANALYSIS
8.1 Market Drivers
8.2 Market Drivers Explained
8.3 Market Constraints
8.4 Market Constraints Explained
8.5 SWOT Analysis

9 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE
9.1 Financing Options of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine
9.1.1 Ukraine Sustainable Energy Financing Facility (USELF)
9.1.2 Ukraine Energy Efficiency Programme (UKEEP)
9.2 Financial Model and Analysis of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, ETC.)

10 TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS
10.1 Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Technology Overview
10.2 Technology Trends

11 CIS COUNTRIES RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY LANDSCAPE
11.1 RES Regulations and Directives of the European Union (EU) affecting CIS countries
11.1.1 Precedent Regulations
11.1.2 EU 2030 Framework for Climate and Energy Policies
11.1.3 EU Energy Roadmap 2050
11.2 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Strategy for CIS Countries Developed by UN ECE
11.2.1 Development of Educational Activity and Personnel Training
11.3 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Mandatory Targets for CIS Countries

12 UKRAINE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES (RES) LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
12.1 Main Laws and Regulations
12.2 Support Schemes
12.3 Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine
12.4 Zoning, Planning and Construction Related Authorizations
12.5 Environmental Related Authorizations
12.5.1 Natura 2000 Network
12.5.2 Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI)
12.6 Energy Law Authorizations
12.6.1 Power Generation Licensing
12.6.2 Grid Interconnection and Quota Limitations
12.6.3 Power Off-Take and Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)
12.6.4 Green Tariff (Feed-in Tariff)
12.6.5 Green Reneable Energy Sources (RES) Certificates (Guarantees of Origin)
12.7 Additional Incentives for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine
12.8 Future Market Pricing Mechanisms

13 KEY STAKEHOLDERS AFFECTING PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN UKRAINE
13.1 Government Stakeholders
13.1.1 The Ministry of Energy and Coal Industry(MECI)
13.1.2 Ministry of Economic Development and Trade (MEDT)
13.1.3 Ukrainian National Energy Regulatory Commission (NERC)
13.1.4 State Agency For Energy Efficiency and Energy Conservation (SAEEEC)
13.1.5 State Environmental Investment Agency (SEIA)
13.1.6 Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources (MENR)
13.1.7 Ministry of Agriculture and Food (MAF)
13.2 Non-Government Stakeholders
13.3 Electricity Generation, Transmission System Operator (TSO) and Distribution System Operators (DSO’s)
13.3.1 Capacity of the Electricity Network
13.3.2 National Electricity Company UKRENERGO (TSO)
13.3.3 Energorynok
13.3.4 Distribution System Opeartors (Oblenergos)
13.3.5 DTEK
13.3.6 Energy Standard Group S.A.
13.3.7 AES
13.3.8 VS Energy
13.3.9 Privat Group

14 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

15 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

16 REFERENCES

17 DISCLAIMER
APPENDIX I. SOLAR MAPS OF CIS COUNTRIES AND UKRAINE

List of maps, charts, and tables

MAP 1: Where is Ukraine on the European Map
MAP 2: Ukraine Road Network
MAP 3: Ukraine Administrative Regions Map
MAP 4: Historical Regions of Ukraine
MAP 5: The Synchronous Grids of Europe and the CIS States  
MAP 6: Interconnection Grid Map of Central-East Europe and the CIS States
MAP 7: Solar Resource Map of Ukraine
MAP 8: Environment Protected Areas in Ukraine
Map 9: Distribution System Operators (DSO) in Ukraine by Type of Ownership
Map 10: Districts covered by NPP AES Kievoblenergo
Map 11: Solar Irradiation and Solar Electricity Potential for Horizontally Mounted Photovoltaic Modules in Europe and CIS countries
Map 12: Solar Irradiation and Solar Electricity Potential for Optimally Inclined Photovoltaic Modules in Europe and CIS Countries

Chart 1: Ukraine Real GDP Growth for the Period 2008-2028 (including forecast)
Chart 2: Ukraine GDP Growth Compared to EU-27 for the Period 2008-2028 (including forecast)
Chart 3: Corporate Tax Income in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS)
Chart 4: Breakdown of Electricity Production by Source Type in the EU-28 in 2019 (in %)  
Chart 5: Share of Renewables in Electricity Generation in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) Countries, 2019 (in %)
Chart 6: Average Base Load Electricity Price in Selected European Countries (EUR/MWh): 2008 - 2019
Chart 7: Forecast for RES Generation Capacity by Source Type in the EU to 2020 and 2030 (in GW)
Chart 8: New Installed and Decommissioned Power Capacity by Source Type in the EU in 2019 (MW)
Chart 9: Age of Power Plants in Europe in 2019 in MW
Chart 10: Share of New Power Generation Capacities Added in the EU 28 in 2019 (MW)
Chart 11: Annual Installed Power Generating Capacity (MW) and Renewable Share (in %) 2009-2019 in the EU
Chart 12: Net Installed and Decommissioned Power Generation Capacity in the EU 28 for 2019 (GW)
Chart 13: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in MW) in the Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 14: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in Millions USD) in the Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 15: Annual Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in MW) in the Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 16: Existing and Planned High Voltage Power Lines of Ukraine and Interconnection with Neighbor Countries
Chart 17: Electricity Purchase Market Shares at Wholesale Energy Market (WEM) in Ukraine in 2019
Chart 18: Structure of Ukraine Power Market
Chart 19: Share of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Capacity from Total Installed Power Capacity in Ukraine in 2019
Chart 20: Ukraine Total Annual Electricity Consumption (in TWh) 2009-2019
Chart 21: Ukraine Power Generation Capacity Breakdown by Source (Fuel) Type in 2019
Chart 22: Ukraine Electricity Imports and Exports 2008-2028 (in TWh) including forecast
Chart 23: Ukraine Targets for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) by 2030 (in %)
Chart 24: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 25: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine (in Millions USD) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 26: Annual Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 27: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Ukraine
Chart 28: UKEEP Structure
Chart 29: Cumulative Cash Flows and Break-Even Point of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine
Chart 30: Photovoltaic (Solar PV) System Price Evolution (€/MW) 1990-2019
Chart 31: Market share of DTEK in electricity sales and distribution in 2019

Table 1: Ukraine Electricity Prices for Business and Households
Table 2: Support Schemes for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Generation in the EU Countries and CIS Countries
Table 3: Market Prices for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine for 2019-2028 in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition (2019 Update)
Table 4: Key Cost Structure Elements of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant in Ukraine
Table 5: Database with Major Operational (Grid Connected), Under Construction and Planned Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine
Table 6: Key Financial Parameters of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine
Table 7: Key Financial Viability Indicators of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (IRR, NPV, Payback, Benefit-Cost)
Table 8: Project Costs and Savings (Income) Summary of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine
Table 9: Yearly Cash Flows of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (Pre-tax, After-tax, Cumulative)
Table 10: Crystalline Module Price Trend in 2019
Table 11: Feed-in-tariffs for Electricity from Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in Ukraine
Table 12: Local Content Requirements for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine

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  • Aprilsi-Sun
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