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Poland Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Power Market Outlook 2019-2028

  • ID: 4846842
  • Report
  • Region: Poland
  • 124 Pages
  • Inea Consulting Ltd
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • ABB
  • Canadian Solar
  • ENEA Capital Group
  • Greentech
  • Jabil Circuit
  • ReneSola
  • MORE

This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the photovoltaic sector of the country for the next 10 years period 2019-2028. Poland is very interesting market due to its political and economic stability, high prices for electricity and heavy dependence on coal and lignite in power generation, which should be changed to comply with EU renewable policy. In view of recent cuts in FIT’s announced in Germany, Spain, France, UK, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Bulgaria Romania and Italy, Poland represents a stable investment environment in Central-East Europe.

Current cumulative installed PV capacity in the country by the end of 2018 stays at below 500 MW and is insignificant, but this represents only potential for further growth if the Polish government finds suitable balance for its several times changed in recent years renewable energy policy. By geographical distribution the largest share of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity in Poland is belonging to the Lublin province with more than 10 % of all installations in the country. Is it possible Polish solar PV market to start growing sizeable in the near future? How the referential feed-in tariffs, feed-in premiums and auction scheme from 1st July 2016 will influence the photovoltaic market in Poland this and next years?

What is the economics of solar photovoltaic (PV) projects in Poland? Answer you will find in enclosed in the report detailed Financial Model and Analysis of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant investment in Poland (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)

The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, current issues and future prospects. You will find more than 120 pages of valuable information in this unique in-depth analysis of the Polish photovoltaic (solar PV) market. With comprehensive market data this report brings clear and concise insights, to help investors in their decision making process. As 2018 was challenging year for photovoltaic industry, the time for taking right decisions during 2019 and the next years is limited. Fast changing market environment with falling module prices, requires relevant and accurate information. For your convenience we offer opportunity for orders with customized report content.

Reasons to buy this market report are, but not limited to:

  • Overview of the Polish political and economic environment
  • Solar resource potential in Poland
  • Financial Model and Analysis of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant investment in Poland (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)
  • Over 55 charts, tables and maps
  • Overview of Polish photovoltaic market development 2008-2028
  • Grid connected photovoltaic power installations for 2018/2019
  • Future market trends and planned photovoltaic projects for 2019-2028
  • Market prices of fully permitted and operational photovoltaic projects
  • Polish legal and energy regulatory framework for renewable projects
  • Key companies and competitive landscape in photovoltaic sector
  • Review of most relevant financing and supporting incentives
  • SWOT Analysis (detailed in 5 pages)

Report Subscription:
  • Customers of a Single User License will receive up to 1 free update of the report if they order up to the end of February 2020
  • Customers of a 1-5 User License will receive up to 2 free updates of the report if they order up to the end of February 2020
  • Customers of an Enterprise License will receive up to 3 free updates of the report if they order up to the end of December 2019











































Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • ABB
  • Canadian Solar
  • ENEA Capital Group
  • Greentech
  • Jabil Circuit
  • ReneSola
  • MORE

FOREWORD

1 METHODOLOGY AND LIMITATIONS
1.1 Research Methodology
1.2 Limitations

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2.1 Historical and Current Development Overview of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market in Poland
2.2 Poland Solar Resource Potential
2.3 Key Stakeholders Affecting Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market Development in Poland
2.4 Market Drivers and Constraints
2.5 Auction (Tender) Procedure for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Poland
2.6 Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Poland
2.7 Market Forecast Summary

3 POLAND POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT. PEST ANALYSIS
3.1 Basic Country Data
3.2 Political Climate and Ruling Party
3.3 GDP and Economic Growth
3.4 Taxes
3.4.1 VAT
3.4.2 Income and Corporate Taxes

4 CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) AND SOUTH-EAST EUROPE (SEE) POWER MARKET
4.1 General Electricity Market information
4.2 Photovoltaics (Solar PV) in the Energy Sector
4.3 Single Electricity Market

5 CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) AND SOUTH-EAST EUROPE (SEE) PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET
5.1 Market Overview
5.2 Cumulative Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Capacity and Revenue
5.3 Annual Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Capacity and Revenue
5.4 Future Development Trends

6 POLAND POWER MARKET
6.1 Electricity Transmission and Distribution
6.2 Electricity Consumption and Generation
6.3 Electricity Imports and Exports
6.4 Electricity Prices for Business and Households
6.5 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Targets

7 POLAND PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET
7.1 Why Invest in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Poland?
7.2 Poland Solar Resource Potential
7.3 Licensing Period Duration
7.4 Regional Substation Capacities for Solar PV Power Projects in Poland
7.5 Overview of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market in Poland
7.6 Market Structure Analysis
7.7 Investment Trends and Development Roadmap
7.8 Competitive Environment in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market
7.9 Profiles of Key Players and Investors in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market
7.10 Cumulative Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Capacity and Revenue
7.11 Annual Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Capacity and Revenue
7.12 Market Prices for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Poland in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition
7.13 Key Cost Structure Elements of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant in Poland
7.14 Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Poland
7.15 Key Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Poland Under Development
7.16 Mergers and Acquisitions

8 DRIVERS AND CONSTRAINTS OF PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) MARKET IN POLAND. SWOT ANALYSIS
8.1 Market Drivers
8.2 Market Drivers Explained
8.3 Market Constraints
8.4 Market Constraints Explained
8.5 SWOT Analysis

9 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) MARKET IN POLAND
9.1 Financing Options of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Poland
9.2 Financial Model and Analysis of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant investment in Poland (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, ETC.)

10 TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS
10.1 Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Technology Overview
10.2 Technology Trends

11 EUROPEAN RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY LANDSCAPE
11.1 RES Regulations and EU Directives
11.1.1 Precedent EU regulations
11.1.2 Most recent EU renewable energy policy developments

12 POLAND RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES (RES) LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
12.1 Main Laws and Regulations
12.2 Support Schemes
12.3 Green Certificates Trading
12.4 Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Poland
12.5 Auction (Tender) Procedure for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Poland
12.6 Zoning, Planning and Construction Related Authorizations
12.6.1 Zoning Plans Procedure
12.6.2 Building Permit (Construction License) Procedure
12.7 Environmental Related Authorizations
12.7.1 Natura 2000 Network
12.7.2 Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI)
12.8 Energy Law Authorizations
12.8.1 Power Generation Licensing and Unlicensed Power Generation Below 1 MW
12.8.2 Grid Interconnection
12.8.3 Power Off-Take
12.8.4 Feed-in Tariff (FIT)
12.8.5 Green Certificates (Guarantees of Origin)
12.9 Future Market Pricing Mechanisms

13 KEY STAKEHOLDERS AFFECTING PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN POLAND
13.1 Government Stakeholders
13.2 Non-Government Stakeholders
13.3 Electricity Generation, Transmission System Operator (TSO) and Distribution System Operators (DSO’s)

14 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

15 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

16 REFERENCES

17 DISCLAIMER
APPENDIX I. SOLAR RESOURCE MAPS OF EUROPE AND POLAND

List of maps, charts and tables
Map 1: Where is Poland on the European Map
Map 2: Poland Road Network
Map 3: Poland Administrative Regions Map
Map 4: Poland Electricity Grids Network
Map 5: Solar Irradiation and Solar Electricity Potential for Optimally Inclined Photovoltaic Modules in Poland
Map 6: Poland Transmission Network Scheme With Available Power Connection Capacity by 2023 (Output Status for 2019)
MAP 7: Poland Natura 2000 Areas Map
MAP 8: Solar Irradiation and Solar Electricity Potential for Horizontally Mounted Photovoltaic Modules in Poland
Map 9: Solar Irradiation and Solar Electricity Potential for Horizontally Mounted Photovoltaic Modules in Poland
Map 10: Solar Irradiation and Solar Electricity Potential for Optimally Inclined Photovoltaic Modules in Europe,

Chart 1: Poland Real GDP Growth for the Period 2008-2028 in % (including forecast)
Chart 2: Poland GDP Growth Compared to EU-27 for the Period 2008-2028 in % (including forecast)
Chart 3: Corporate Tax Income in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) Countries
Chart 4: Physical Energy Flows Values in GW in Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) in 2019
Chart 5: Breakdown of Electricity Production by Source Type in the EU-28 in 2019 (in %); EuroStat
Chart 6: Average Base Load Electricity Price in Selected European Countries (€/MWh): 2008-2019; Renewable Market WatchTM
Chart 7: Forecast for RES Generation Capacity by Source Type in the EU to 2020 and 2030 (in GW)
Chart 8: New Installed and Decommissioned Power Capacity by Source Type in the EU in 2019 (MW)
Chart 9: Age of Power Plants in Europe in 2019  
Chart 10: Share of New Power Generation Capacities Added in the EU 28 in 2019 (MW)
Chart 11: Annual Installed Power Generating Capacity (MW) and Renewable Share (in %) 2000-2019 in the EU  
Chart 12: Number of Filled Patents for Solar PV Technologies in CEE & SEE Countries 2009-2019  
Chart 13: Cumulative Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in MW) in Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 14: Cumulative Revenue of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in Millions USD) in Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 15: Annual Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in MW) in Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 16: Poland Power Market Structure
Chart 17: Share of RES electricity from Total Installed Power Capacity in Poland in 2019
Chart 18: Poland Total Annual Electricity Consumption (in TWh) 2000-2019
Chart 19: Poland Power Generation Capacity Breakdown by Source (Fuel) Type in 2019
Chart 20: Electricity Imports and Exports in Poland 2008-2028 (in million kWh) including forecast
Chart 21: Poland Targets for Renewable Energy Sources by 2020 (in %) set by National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP)
Chart 22: Chart: Number of Filled Patents for Solar PV Technologies in Poland 2009-2019  
Chart 23: Cumulative Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Poland (in MW) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 24: Cumulative Revenue of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Poland (in Millions EUR) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 25: Annual Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Poland (in MW) 2008-2028, including forecast
Chart 26: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power and Other Renewable Technologies in Poland by 2030 (in €)  
Chart 27: PolSEFF Structure
Chart 28: Cumulative Cash Flows and Break-Even Point of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Poland
Chart 29: Photovoltaic (Solar PV) System Price Evolution (€/Wp) 1990-2019  
Chart 30: Reference Auction Price for New Renewable Energy Power Plants in Poland ≤ 1 MW in 2019
Chart 31: Reference Auction Price for New Renewable Energy Power Plants in Poland ≥ 1 MW in 2019
Chart 32: Market Shares by Sales of the Distribution System Operators (DSOs) in Poland in 2019
Chart 33: Corporate Governance Structure of PGE

Table 1: Electricity Prices for Business and Households
Table 2: Support Schemes for RES Generation in the EU Countries and Poland
Table 3: Market Prices for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Projects in Poland for 2019-2028 in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition (2019 Update)
Table 4: Key Cost Structure Elements of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant in Poland in 2019
Table 5: Database with Major Operational, Under Construction and Planned Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Projects in Poland
Table 6: Key Financial Parameters of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Poland
Table 7: Key Financial Viability Indicators of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Poland (IRR, NPV, Payback, Benefit-Cost)
Table 8: Project Costs and Savings (Income) Summary of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Poland
Table 9: Yearly Cash Flows of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Poland (Pre-tax, After-tax, Cumulative)
Table 10: Crystalline Module Price Trend in 2019 (pvXchange)

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  • ABB
  • Canadian Solar
  • ENEA Capital Group
  • Greentech
  • Jabil Circuit
  • PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna SA
  • ReneSola
  • Siemens
  • Solar Direct Group
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