The Total Global Market for 5G C-Ran RF Modems Will Exceed Us$100M in 2020
The culmination of around seven months of intensive research – including the important closely-related topics of 4G LTE, the IoT and the IIoT. The 5G Report provides global and regional coverage (7 regions) including 5G activities that are profiled for 76 countries. Data in this report indicates that the Middle East and South America are increasingly important regions as well as the more familiar countries such as China, South Korea, the UK and the USA. This report provides an update of technology status, players (including profiles), 2019-2026 forecasts for cell sites (C-RAN/small cells) and market data down to RF module level. C-RAN stands for a “cloud-based radio access network”.
For the year 2020 the total global market for 5G C-RAN RF modems well exceeds US$100M – and grows rapidly through the 2020s.
The global market for RF modems into 5G small cells was forecast to be worth about $3 billion for year 2019 and will increase to around $4 billion by year 2026.
This report also forecasts that the global market for RF modems into 5G C-RAN base stations was worth about $105 million for year 2019 and will increase to around $374 million by year 2026.
Regarding 5G-enabled smartphones, extremely rapid growth is evident – from just 2 million (globally) in 2019 through to over 1.8 billion for 2026. This is very nearly a 100-fold increase.
Leading regions are APAC and North America.
Profiles are included for 45 communications service providers and 31 OEMs (including modems).
The report’s main emphasis is on sub-6 GHz because this lower 5G frequency band has the major momentum worldwide. However, some data on millimeter-wave systems is also included. Profiles include 32 Tier 1 and Tier 2 communications service providers (CSPs) as well as equipment suppliers. There are a total of 69 Figures – mostly comprising column charts showing annual forecasts from 2019 through 2026. Most forecasts include volumes as well as monetary data (in US$).
Examples of interesting results:
- The MEA region (notably Bahrain, Israel, Qatar and the U.A.E.) grows in importance over the forecast period.
Important driving factors leading to the requirement for faster and more agile communications (5G) include the following:
- The almost insatiable appetite for ever-faster communications;
- Owning or renting the latest “gadget” – fashion – “one-upmanship” (the latest smartphone);
- The growth in the Internet of Things (the IoT, especially the IIoT);
- Automotive applications, including autonomous vehicles:- the absolute need for very low latency (down to << 1ms);
- Medical applications which are of course absolutely critical because life and death situations are ever-present and near-immediate reactions are necessary;
- It is however important to appreciate that in theory at least national and even personal security could potentially be compromised using any vendor’s base station technology (surveillance).
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
ES.1 Driving Factors Leading to 5G
ES.2 Frequency Bands
ES.3 Countries and Geographic Regions
ES.4 Communications Service Providers (CSPs)
ES.5 Suppliers of Major 5G Equipment and RF Modems
ES.6 Total Addressable Markets (TAMs) for RF Modems going into Small-Cells
ES.7 Total Addressable Markets (TAMs) for RF Modems going into C-RAN Cells
ES.8 5G Smartphones
ES.9 mmWave 5G
ES.10 Other 5G-Related Technologies & Longer-Term Developments
ES.10.1 Fiber-Optics
ES.10.2 Satellite Communications (SATCOM)
ES.10.3 6G
Section 1 Introduction
1.1 Why yet another ‘G’?
1.2 The emergence of 5G
1.3 5G Network Slicing
1.4 IoT and IIoT Take-Up and Markets
1.5 Automotive and medical applications
1.6 The 4G Scenario
Section 2 Frequency Allocations, Bandwidths & Bit-Rates
2.1 Frequencies and Frequency Bands (Spectra)
2.1.1 “sub-6GHz”
2.1.2 mmWave
2.1.3 Alternative abbreviations
2.1.4 Bit-Rates
Section 3 Country-by-Country Details (2019)
3.1 African Countries
3.2 Azerbaijan
3.3 Belarus
3.4 Bosnia-Herzegovina
3.5 Bulgaria
3.6 Croatia
3.7 Czech Republic
3.8 Estonia
3.9 Georgia
3.10 Hungary
3.11 Kazakhstan
3.12 Latvia
3.13 Lithuania
3.14 Romania
3.15 Russian Federation
3.16 Serbia
3.17 Slovakia
3.18 Slovenia
3.19 Tajikistan
3.20 Ukraine
3.21 Uzbekistan
3.22 Bahrain
3.23 India
3.24 Iran
3.25 Israel
3.26 Kuwait
3.27 Oman
3.28 Qatar
3.29 Saudi Arabia
3.30 Turkey
3.31 United Arab Emirates (U.A.E.)
3.32 Canada
3.33 Mexico
3.34 U.S.A.
3.35 Australia
3.36 China
3.37 Hong Kong
3.38 Indonesia
3.39 Japan
3.40 Malaysia
3.41 Philippines
3.42 New Zealand
3.43 Singapore
3.44 South Korea
3.45 Taiwan
3.46 Thailand
3.47 Vietnam
3.48 Argentina
3.49 Bolivia
3.50 Brazil
3.51 Chile
3.52 Columbia
3.53 Ecuador
3.54 Nicaragua
3.55 Peru
3.56 Uruguay
3.57 Austria
3.58 Belgium
3.59 Denmark
3.60 Finland
3.61 France
3.62 Germany
3.63 Greece
3.64 Iceland
3.65 Ireland
3.66 Italy
3.67 Netherlands
3.68 Norway
3.69 Portugal
3.70 Spain
3.71 Sweden
3.72 Switzerland
3.73 United Kingdom (U.K.)
Section 4 Profiles of Selected CSPs
4.1 A1 Telekom Austria Group
4.2 América Móvil
4.3 Asia Pacific Telecom
4.4 AT&T
4.5 Bell Canada
4.6 Bouygues Telecom
4.7 British Telecom (BT Group plc)
4.8 Cambridge Communications Systems Ltd.
4.9 Charter Communications
4.10 China Mobile
4.11 China Telecom
4.12 China Unicom
4.13 Deutsche Telekom
4.14 Elisa Oyj
4.15 Etisalat
4.16 Grupo Clarín
4.17 KDDI
4.18 KT Corporation
4.19 LG Uplus Corp.
4.20 MTN Group
4.21 NTT DoCoMo
4.22 NuRAN Wireless, Inc.
4.23 Ooredoo
4.24 Rain Company
4.25 Rakuten, Inc.
4.26 Reliance Jio
4.27 Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications Ltd.)
4.28 SK Telecom
4.29 Softbank
4.30 Sprint Nextel Corporation
4.31 Telefónica
4.32 Telenor Group
4.33 Telia Company
4.34 Telstra Corporation Limited
4.35 Telus
4.36 Three UK (“3”)
4.37 TIM SpA
4.38 Turkcell
4.39 U.S. Cellular
4.40 VEON Ltd
4.41 Verizon Communications
4.42 Vodafone Group plc
Section 5 Profiles of Selected Equipment (and Small Cell) Suppliers
5.1 Radio Access Networks (RAN)
5.2 Players
5.2.1 Accelleran NV
5.2.2 ADTRAN
5.2.3 Affirmed Networks
5.2.4 Airspan Networks
5.2.5 Casa Systems
5.2.6 Ceragon Networks
5.2.7 Cisco Systems
5.2.8 Comba
5.2.9 CommScope
5.2.10 Contela
5.2.11 Dasan Zhone Solutions
5.2.12 Ip.access
5.2.13 JMA Wireless
5.2.14 NEC Corporation
5.2.15 NetNumber
5.2.16 Parallel Wireless
5.2.17 RAD
5.2.18 Siae Microelettronica
5.2.19 Sivers IMA, Blu Wireless Technology and Fujiura
5.2.20 Spider Cloud Wireless/Corning(Principal 5G Equipment OEMs):
5.2.21 Ericsson
5.2.22 Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd.
5.2.23 Nokia Corporation
5.2.24 Hewlett-Packard Enterprise
Section 6 Profiles of Selected 5G RF Modem Suppliers
6.1 Overview
6.2 Profiles of the Selected 5G RF Modem Suppliers
6.2.1 Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd.
6.2.2 Intel, Inc.
6.2.3 MediaTek
6.2.4 Qualcomm, Inc.
6.2.5 Samsung
6.2.6 Sierra Wireless
6.2.7 Skyworks Solutions
Section 7 Overall Methodology for 5G Technology Forecasts
7.1.1 Individual Countries
7.1.2 Regions
7.2 Critiques Relating to all the Data
7.2.1 Comments Regarding all the Data
7.2.2 Factors which could Upset the Data Significantly
Section 8 5G Sub-6GHz Base Station Forecasts to 2026
8.1 Methodology
8.2 Total (Global) and Regional forecasts for C-RAN Base Stations
8.2.1 Annual Volumes - Globally
8.2.2 Annual Volumes - APAC.
8.2.3 Annual Volumes - China.
8.2.4 Annual Volumes – Eastern Europe.
8.2.5 Annual Volumes – MEA.
8.2.6 Annual Volumes – North America.
8.2.7 Annual Volumes – South America.
8.2.8 Annual Volumes – Western Europe.
8.3 Average Unit Prices and Trends for RF Modems
8.4 Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) for RF Modems into C-RAN Base Stations
8.4.1 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) - Globally.
8.4.2 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) - APAC.
8.4.3 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) - China.
8.4.4 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – Eastern Europe.
8.4.5 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – MEA.
8.4.6 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – North America.
8.4.7 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – South America.
8.4.8 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – Western Europe.
8.5 Total (Global) and Regional Forecasts – Small Cell Base Stations
8.5.1 Annual Volumes - Globally.
8.5.2 Annual Volumes - APAC.
8.5.3 Annual Volumes - China.
8.5.4 Annual Volumes – Eastern Europe.
8.5.5 Annual Volumes – MEA.
8.5.6 Annual Volumes – North America.
8.5.7 Annual Volumes – South America.
8.5.8 Annual Volumes – Western Europe.
8.6 Average Unit Prices and Trends for RF Modems
8.7 Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) for RF Modems into Small-Cell Base Stations
8.7.1 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) - Globally.
8.7.2 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) - APAC.
8.7.3 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) - China.
8.7.4 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – Eastern Europe.
8.7.5 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – MEA.
8.7.6 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – North America.
8.7.7 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – South America.
8.7.8 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – Western Europe.
Section 9 5G (Sub-6GHz) Smartphone Forecasts to 2026
9.1 Methodology
9.2 Total (Global) and Regional forecasts for 5G Smartphones
9.2.1 Annual Volumes (Shipments) - Globally.
9.2.2 Annual Smartphone Shipments - APAC.
9.2.3 Annual Smartphone Shipments - China.
9.2.4 Annual Smartphone Shipments – Eastern Europe.
9.2.5 Annual Smartphone Shipments – MEA.
9.2.6 Annual Smartphone Shipments – North America.
9.2.7 Annual Smartphone Shipments – South America.
9.2.8 Annual Smartphone Shipments – Western Europe.
9.3 Average Unit Prices and Trends for Smartphones
9.4 Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) for 5G Smartphones
9.4.1 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) - Globally.
9.4.2 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) - APAC.
9.4.3 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) - China.
9.4.4 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – Eastern Europe.
9.4.5 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – MEA.
9.4.6 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – North America.
9.4.7 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – South America.
9.4.8 Annual Monetary Forecasts (TAMs) – Western Europe.
Section 10 mmWave 5G Forecasts to 2026 (Annual Expenditures)
10.1 Methodology
10.2 Total (Global) and Regional Forecasts
Section 11 Other 5G-Related Technologies & Longer-Term Developments
11.1 Fiber-Optics
11.2 Satellite Communications (SATCOM)
11.3 6G
Glossary of AbbreviationsList of Figures
Figure ES.1 Global TAMs for 5G RF Modems into Small Cells [US$B, note Billions]
Figure ES.2 Global 5G C-RAN RF Modem Expenditures [US$M]
Figure ES.3 Global 4G (LTE) Smartphone Annual Sales Volumes [Billions]
Figure ES.4 Global 5G Smartphone Shipments [M]
Figure ES.5 Global mmWave 5G Modem Annual Expenditures [US$B]
Figure 1.1 Important examples of 5G network slicing
Figure 1.2 Global IoT Connections [Billions]
Figure 1.3 IoT Connections in "NE Asia" [Billions]
Figure 1.4 Global Markets for the IIoT [US$B]
Figure 1.5 Global 4G (LTE) Smartphone Annual Sales Volumes [Billions]
Figure 8.1 Global 5G C-RAN Annual Volumes [Units]
Figure 8.2 5G C-RAN Annual Volumes in APAC Region (excluding China) [Units]
Figure 8.3 5G C-RAN Annual Volumes in China [Units]
Figure 8.4 5G C-RAN Annual Volumes in Eastern Europe [Units]
Figure 8.5 5G C-RAN Annual Volumes in the Middle East & Africa (MEA) [Units]
Figure 8.6 5G C-RAN Annual Volumes in North America [Units]
Figure 8.7 5G C-RAN Annual Volumes in South America [Units]
Figure 8.8 5G C-RAN Annual Volumes in Western Europe [Units]
Figure 8.9 RF Modem Unit Prices (US$)
Figure 8.10 Global 5G C-RAN RF Modem Expenditures [US$M]
Figure 8.11 5G C-RAN RF Modem Expenditures in APAC Region (excluding China) [US$M]
Figure 8.12 5G C-RAN RF Modem Expenditures in China [US$M]
Figure 8.13 5G C-RAN RF Modem Expenditures in Eastern Europe [US$M]
Figure 8.14 5G C-RAN RF Modem Expenditures in the Middle East & Africa (MEA) [US$M]
Figure 8.15 5G C-RAN RF Modem Expenditures in North America [US$M]
Figure 8.16 5G C-RAN RF Modem Expenditures in South America [US$M]
Figure 8.17 5G C-RAN RF Modem Expenditures in Western Europe [US$M]
Figure 8.18 Global Shipments of 5G RF Modems into Small Cells [M]
Figure 8.19 Shipments of 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in APAC Region (excluding China) [M]
Figure 8.20 Shipments of 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in China [M]
Figure 8.21 Shipments of 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in Eastern Europe [M]
Figure 8.22 Shipments of 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in the Middle East & Africa (MEA) [M]
Figure 8.23 Shipments of 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in North America [M]
Figure 8.24 Shipments of 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in South America [M]
Figure 8.25 Shipments of 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in Western Europe [M]
Figure 8.26 Global TAMs for 5G RF Modems into Small Cells [US$B, note Billions]
Figure 8.27 TAMs for 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in APAC Region (excluding China) [US$M]
Figure 8.28 TAMs for 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in China [US$M]
Figure 8.29 TAMs for 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in Eastern Europe [US$M]
Figure 8.30 TAMs for 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in the Middle East & Africa (MEA) [US$M]
Figure 8.31 TAMs for 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in North America [US$M]
Figure 8.32 TAMs for 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in South America [US$M]
Figure 8.33 TAMs for 5G RF Modems into Small Cells in Western Europe [US$M]
Figure 9.1 Global 5G Smartphone Shipments [M]
Figure 9.2 5G Smartphone Shipments in APAC Region (excluding China) [M]
Figure 9.3 5G Smartphone Shipments in China [M]
Figure 9.4 5G Smartphone Shipments in Eastern Europe [M]
Figure 9.5 5G Smartphone Shipments in the Middle East & Africa (MEA) [M]
Figure 9.6 5G Smartphone Shipments in North America [M]
Figure 9.7 5G Smartphone Shipments in South America [M]
Figure 9.8 5G Smartphone Shipments in Western Europe [M]
Figure 9.9 ASP Trend for 5G Smartphones
Figure 9.10 Global 5G Smartphone Monetary Sales [US$B]
Figure 9.11 5G Smartphone Monetary Sales in APAC Region (excluding China) [US$B]
Figure 9.12 5G Smartphone Monetary Sales in China [US$B]
Figure 9.13 5G Smartphone Monetary Sales in Eastern Europe [US$B]
Figure 9.14 5G Smartphone Monetary Sales in the Middle East & Africa (MEA) [US$B]
Figure 9.15 5G Smartphone Monetary Sales in North America [US$B]
Figure 9.16 5G Smartphone Monetary Sales in South America [US$B]
Figure 9.17 5G Smartphone Monetary Sales in Western Europe [US$B]
Figure 10.1 Global mmWave 5G Modem Annual Expenditures [US$B]
Figure 10.2 mmWave 5G Modem Annual Expenditure in APAC Region(excluding China) [US$B]
Figure 10.3 mmWave 5G Modem Annual Expenditure in China [US$B]
Figure 10.4 mmWave 5G Modem Annual Expenditure in Eastern Europe [US$B]
Figure 10.5 mmWave 5G Modem Annual Expenditure in the Middle East & Africa (MEA) [US$B]
Figure 10.6 mmWave 5G Modem Annual Expenditure in North America [US$B]
Figure 10.7 mmWave 5G Modem Annual Expenditure in South America [US$B]
Figure 10.8 mmWave 5G Modem Annual Expenditure in Western Europe [US$B]
List of Tables
Table 2-1 The main frequency bands available for “sub-6GHz” 5G
Table 2-2 The main frequency bands available for mmWave FBA (FWA)
Table 5-1 Companies Supplying 5G Equipment/Small Cells
Table 5-2 Ericsson main Financials 2017-2018
Table 7-1 Changes to the “Surprise-Free” TAM Data Anticipated if a Major Disaster Occurred any Time after Spring-2019
Glossary of Abbreviations
Samples
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Executive Summary
Nowadays the great majority of 5G networks operate using sub-6GHz (i.e. at microwave) frequencies. And this will probably continue well into the future. How has this become possible? There are two overall major reasons:
- Important software (and associated digital) developments;
- Massive-input, massive-output technology (mMIMO).
It is not necessary for the user of this report to understand any further details about these technological developments.
Various countries are adopting different frequency channels for the ubiquitous “sub-6GHz” 5G networks.
mmWave frequencies are used for Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) otherwise known as Fixed Wireless Broadband (FWB) systems.
In the research towards this report, a total of 76 countries were investigated in terms of their “5G stance and plans” as well as their economic status. Brief, terse, profiles have been generated for each country. Also shipments data were deduced for at least 73 of these countries – leading to the annual 2019-2026 forecasting of such data for the following seven geographic regions:
- APAC (strictly “Asia, Pacific and China” – although China is brought out separately): Australia, Cambodia, India, Indonesia, Japan, Kazakhstan, Laos, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Tajikistan, Thailand, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Vietnam
- China
- Eastern Europe: Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Georgia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Russian Federation, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Ukraine
- MEA (Middle East & Africa): Africa, Bahrain, Iran, Israel, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (U.A.E.)
- North America: Canada, Mexico, United States of America (USA)
- South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Peru, Uruguay
- Western Europe: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom
Companies Mentioned
- A1 Telekom Austria Group
- ADTRAN
- AT&T
- Accelleran NV
- Affirmed Networks
- Airspan Networks
- América Móvil
- Asia Pacific Telecom
- Bouygues Telecom
- British Telecom (BT Group plc)
- Cambridge Communications Systems Ltd
- Casa Systems
- Ceragon Networks
- China Telecom
- Cisco Systems
- Comba
- CommScope
- Contela
- Dasan Zhone Solutions
- Deutsche Telekom
- Elisa Oyj
- Ericsson
- Etisalat
- Grupo Clarín
- Hewlett-Packard Enterprise
- Huawei Technologies
- Ip.access
- JMA Wireless
- KDDI
- KT Corporation
- LG Uplus Corp.
- MTN Group
- NEC Corporation
- NTT DoCoMo
- NetNumber
- Nokia
- Ooredoo
- Parallel Wireless
- RAD
- Rain Company
- Reliance Jio
- SK Telecom
- Siae Microelettronica
- Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications Ltd.)
- Sivers IMA, Blu Wireless Technology and Fujiura
- Softbank
- Spider Cloud Wireless/Corning
- Sprint Nextel Corporation
- Telefónica
- Telenor Group
- Telia Company
- Telstra Corporation Limited
- Telus
- Three UK (“3”)
- Turkcell
- Verizon Communications
- Vodafone Group plc
