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Fixed Services in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2019-2024

  • ID: 4858109
  • Report
  • November 2019
  • Region: Europe
  • 11 Pages
  • Analysys Mason Group
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Next-Generation Access Network Roll-Outs and Attractive Bundled Offers will Support Broadband Household Penetration Growth Across Central and Eastern Europe

This report examines key trends and drivers and provides comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). It also provides forecasts for 16 individually modelled countries including country views for the Czech Republic, Poland, Russia, and Turkey.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 110 fixed KPIs for the Central and Eastern European region and for 14 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications, and recommendations for fixed operators.

Data coverage

Fixed connections

  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed revenue

  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Who Should Read this Report

  • Market intelligence, strategy and project managers at fixed operators in CEE.
  • Regulatory bodies in CEE.
  • Financial institutions that directly invest in the telecoms sector in the region, or advise others that do so.
  • Press and media bodies that need a foundation of knowledge of the CEE fixed telecoms market.
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Chapter No.
6. Executive summary
7. Worldwide trends
8. Worldwide: the increase in fixed broadband revenue will be driven by increasing next-generation access (NGA) take-up
9. Regional trends
10. The fixed voice retail revenue will decline rapidly, but both fixed  broadband and business services revenue will grow at a CAGR of 2.6%
11. Over 60% of households in CEE will have an active NGA broadband  connection in 2024
12. NGA network roll-outs and attractive bundled offers will support broadband household penetration growth across the region
13. Increasing broadband household penetration and NGA service take-up will help operators to maintain reasonably stable ASPU levels
14. The increasing coverage of high-speed broadband networks will help operators to maintain broadband revenue growth
15. Country-level trends
16. Czech Republic: consumers will have a greater choice of fixed broadband technology following FTTP/B and 5G BFWA network expansions
17. Poland: investments in infrastructure will allow operators to maintain ASPU levels despite the high competitive pressure
18. Russia: fixed broadband revenue will grow modestly thanks to enhancements in service quality
19. Turkey: increasing fibre household penetration and bundled services will help to maintain the high fixed broadband ASPU
20. Forecast methodology and assumptions
21. Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
22. Examples of forecast input drivers
23. About the authors

List of Figures
Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in CEE and the rest of the world, 2014–2024
Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed  broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Central and  Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 5: Fixed connections by type, Central and Eastern Europe (million),  2014–2024
Figure 6: Broadband connections by technology, Central and Eastern Europe  (million), 2014–2024
Figure 7: Fixed retail revenue by service, Central and Eastern Europe (EUR  billion), 2014–2024
Figure 8: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband  connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 9: Fixed Internet traffic per broadband connection, Central and Eastern  Europe (GB per month), 2014–2024
Figure 10a: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and  Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 10b: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and  Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 11a: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern  Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 11b: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 12: Fixed voice, broadband, and pay-TV ASPU, Czech Republic (CZK per month), 2014–2024
Figure 13: Broadband connections by type, Czech Republic (million), 2014– 2024
Figure 14: Fixed voice, broadband, and pay-TV ASPU, Poland (PLN per month), 2014–2024
Figure 15: Broadband connections by type, Poland (million), 2014–2024
Figure 16: Fixed voice, broadband, and pay-TV ASPU, Russia (RUB per month),  2014–2024
Figure 17: Broadband connections by type, Russia (million), 2014–2024
Figure 18: Fixed voice, broadband, and pay-TV ASPU, Turkey (TRY per month),  2014–2024
Figure 19: Broadband connections by type, Turkey (million), 2014–2024

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Countries modelled individually

  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Czech Republic
  • Estonia
  • Hungary
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Montenegro
  • Poland
  • Romania
  • Russia
  • Serbia
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Turkey
  • Ukraine

Detailed country commentary

  • Czech Republic
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Turkey
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