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India in Modi's Second Term

  • ID: 4895976
  • Country Profile
  • November 2019
  • Region: India
  • 34 pages
  • DuckerFrontier
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The Indian economy will continue to grow at a moderate pace under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s second term (2019-2024). After the recent slowdown in growth, recovery is expected to be gradual due to some government reforms to boost the primary drivers of growth in India: private consumption and overall investment.

However, persistent structural issues, such as inefficient labour laws, complex land regulation, and a weak financial sector, will prevent the economy from reaching its full potential. Executives should use this report to align on India’s medium-term economic outlook, the drivers behind its growth trajectory, and the impact of these drivers on their business. Finally, executives should use the report to design contingency plans based on low-likelihood but high-impact disruptors to growth projections.
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1. Executive Summary
  • How to Use This Report
2. The Indian Economy in Context
  • India is Gathering Executive Attention
  • India in Modi’s First Term
3. Medium-Term Outlook and Drivers of the Economy
  • India in Modi’s Second Term
  • Drivers of India’s Medium-Term Outlook
  • Consumption-Led Growth
  • Consumption-Led: Rising Household Incomes
  • Consumption-Led: Increasing Digital Connectivity
  • Persistent Structural Inefficiencies
  • Structural Inefficiency: Labor Market Challenges
  • Structural Inefficiency: Land-Acquisition Constraints
  • Structural Inefficiency: Financial Sector Weakness
  • Structural Inefficiency: Persistently Large Fiscal Deficit
  • Requisite Government Action
  • Government Action: Push for Infrastructure
  • Government Action: Operating Environment
4. Implications for Business
  • Business Impacts of India’s Growth Drivers
  • Business Implications for B2C Companies
  • Business Implications for B2B Companies
  • Business Implications for B2G Companies
5. Medium-Term Scenarios for India’s Growth
  • India 2023 Scenarios
  • India 2023: Growth Scenarios Overview
  • Base-Case Scenario
  • Downside Scenario
  • Upside Scenario
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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