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Germany: Contact Lenses 2014-2024

  • ID: 5209382
  • Report
  • December 2020
  • Region: Germany
  • 34 pages
  • Financial Trends
Extract Knowledge and Insights from Data with This Report
This new edition of the report forecasts the market evolution at an average annual rate of 5.22% to the level of 561,529 thousand euro in 2024.

The purpose of this edition is to better reflect the current landscape of the German market of the product ''Contact lenses'', emphasizing the explanation of the results for the historical evaluation of the demand, supply and prices with the help of quantitative models and on the presentation of the results of the forecast of the demand, supply and prices, for the next 5 years.

The report is divided into three sections: Supply, Demand and Price. The period covered in the report is 2014-2024 and it:
  • Combines the explanations and interpretation of the analysis results in written form (text) with the support of graphical methods specific to explanatory analysis to maximize information understanding.
  • Documents the historical analysis in terms of quantitative modeling of data to reach the most hidden conclusions.
  • Presents and explains the results of the estimates from the central scenario that include the impact of macroeconomic shocks at national and international level, along with the confidence intervals of ± 95%.
Section 1 - Supply

The first part of this chapter contains the detailed historical analysis, segmented on the two destination markets of the products, the domestic market and the non-domestic market (exports).

In the second part of this chapter we have included the presentation and explanation of the results of our forecast models. Also, the results are divided into destination markets of the products, the domestic market and non-domestic market (exports).

Section 2 - Demand

The first part of this chapter includes the detailed historical analysis, segmented on the two markets of origin of the products, the domestic market and the non-domestic market (imports).

In the second part of this chapter we have included the analysis of the demand disseminated at regional level.

The third part of this chapter contains the presentation and explanation of the results of our forecast models. The results are segmented into the markets of origin of the products, the domestic and non-domestic market (imports).

Section 3 - Price

The first part of this chapter is dedicated to the study of the historical evolution of the price, the analysis includes both the supply part and the demand part.

In the second part we present and explain the results of the models used in estimating the price for both the supply and demand.
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
Introduction
  • Summary
  • Key Statistics
  • Key Evolutions
1. Supply
1.1 Historical Period 2014-2019
  • Production
  • Exports
  • In International Context
1.2 Forecast Period 2020-2024
  • Production
  • Exports
2. Demand
2.1 Historical Period 2014-2019
  • Consumption
  • On Regional Level
  • Imports
  • In International Context
2.2 Forecast Period 2020-2024
  • Consumption
  • Imports
3. Price
3.1 Historical Period 2014-2019
  • On Supply Side
  • On Demand Side
  • In International Context
3.2 Forecast Period 2020-2024
  • On Supply Side
  • On Demand Side
4. Appendix
4.1 Historical Period Data (2014-2019)
4.2 Forecast Data for the Next 5 Years (2020-2024)

List of Figures
Figure 1: Evolution of Production (Thousand Euros)
Figure 2: Production Structure (%)
Figure 3: Contribution to the Yearly Variation (%)
Figure 4: Yearly Production Volatility
Figure 5: Yearly Production Volatility by Destination Markets
Figure 6: Output Gap (%)
Figure 7: Dynamic of Production Vs. Consumption
Figure 8: Distribution of Shares Compared to the Historical Average
Figure 9: Production Trend by Destination Markets
Figure 10: Volatility of Production Values Compared to the Historical Average
Figure 11: Exports Evolution (Thousand Euros)
Figure 12: Concentration of Exports at the Level of the First 10 Trading Partners '14Vs'19(%)
Figure 13: Yearly Exports Dynamic (YoY) of the First 10 Trading Partners
Figure 14: Average Annual Growth Rate of Exports of the First 10 Trading Partners
Figure 15: Cumulative Contribution to Exports Growth '14-'19(pp)
Figure 16: Evolution of Production in an International Context (2019 = 100)
Figure 17: Production Dynamic in an International Context
Figure 18: Production Structure in an International Context (%)Production Structure in an International Context (%)
Figure 19: Production Per Capita in an International Context - Relative to the EU Average
Figure 20: Evolution of Exports in an International Context (2019 = 100)
Figure 21: Exports Dynamic in an International Context
Figure 22: Exports Per Capita in an International Context - Relative to the EU Average
Figure 23: Model Fitting in Historical Period
Figure 24: Results of the Forecast Model 2020-2024
Figure 25: Contribution to Yearly Dynamic - Forecast Central Scenario '20-'24(%)
Figure 26: Production Structure - Forecast Central Scenario '20-'24(%)
Figure 27: Forecast of Production Values According to Destination '20-'24
Figure 28: Model Fitting in Historical Period
Figure 29: The Results of the Forecast Model 2020-2024
Figure 30: Yearly Percentage Evolution of the Central Scenario (YoY)%
Figure 31: Cumulative Contribution to Exports Growth '20-'24(pp)
Figure 32: Yearly Dynamic of Exports (YoY) of the First 10 Trading Partners
Figure 33: Evolution of Consumption (Thousand Euros)
Figure 34: Consumption Structure (%)
Figure 35: Contribution to the Yearly Variation (%)
Figure 36: Yearly Consumption Volatility
Figure 37: Yearly Consumption Volatility by Destination Markets
Figure 38: Output Gap(%)
Figure 39: Distribution of Shares Compared to the Historical Average
Figure 40: Demand Trend by Destination Markets
Figure 41: Volatility of Consumption Values Compared to the Historical Average
Figure 42: Regions Performance Scoreboard
Figure 43: Evolution of Apparent Consumption at the Regional Level
Figure 44: Cumulative Contribution to the Growth of Aparent Consumption (pp)
Figure 45: Region Performance Scoreboard Bayern
Figure 46: Region Consumption Evolution Bayern
Figure 47: Region Performance Scoreboard Baden-Württemberg
Figure 48: Region Consumption Evolution Baden-Württemberg
Figure 49: Region Performance Scoreboard Hessen
Figure 50: Region Consumption Evolution Hessen
Figure 51: Region Performance Scoreboard Nordrhein-Westfalen
Figure 52: Region Consumption Evolution Nordrhein-Westfalen
Figure 53: Region Performance Scoreboard Hamburg
Figure 54: Region Consumption Evolution Hamburg
Figure 55: Region Performance Scoreboard Niedersachsen
Figure 56: Region Consumption Evolution Niedersachsen
Figure 57: Region Performance Scoreboard Rheinland-Pfalz
Figure 58: Region Consumption Evolution Rheinland-Pfalz
Figure 59: Region Performance Scoreboard Berlin
Figure 60: Region Consumption Evolution Berlin
Figure 61: Region Performance Scoreboard Schleswig-Holstein
Figure 62: Region Consumption Evolution Schleswig-Holstein
Figure 63: Region Performance Scoreboard Sachsen
Figure 64: Region Consumption Evolution Sachsen
Figure 65: Region Performance Scoreboard Brandenburg
Figure 66: Region Consumption Evolution Brandenburg
Figure 67: Region Performance Scoreboard Bremen
Figure 68: Region Consumption Evolution Bremen
Figure 69: Region Performance Scoreboard Thüringen
Figure 70: Region Consumption Evolution Thüringen
Figure 71: Region Performance Scoreboard Saarland
Figure 72: Region Consumption Evolution Saarland
Figure 73: Region Performance Scoreboard Sachsen-Anhalt
Figure 74: Region Consumption Evolution Sachsen-Anhalt
Figure 75: Region Performance Scoreboard Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Figure 76: Region Consumption Evolution Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Figure 77: Imports Value (Thousand Euros)
Figure 78: Concentration of Imports at the Level of the First 10 Trading Partners '14Vs'19(%)
Figure 79: Yearly Imports Dynamic (YoY) of the First 10 Trading Partners
Figure 80: Average Annual Growth Rate of Imports of the First 10 Trading Partners
Figure 81: Cumulative Contribution to Imports Growth '14-'19(pp)
Figure 82: Evolution of Consumption in an International Context (2019 = 100)
Figure 83: Demand Dynamic in an International Context
Figure 84: Demand Structure in an International Context (%)
Figure 85: Consumption Per Capita in an International Context - Relative to the EU Average
Figure 86: Evolution of Imports in an International Context (2019 = 100)
Figure 87: Imports Dynamic in an International Context
Figure 88: Imports Per Capita in an International Context - Relative to the EU Average
Figure 89: Model Fitting in the Historical Period
Figure 90: Results of the Forecast Model 2020-2024
Figure 91: Contribution to Yearly Dynamic - Forecast Central Scenario '20-'24(%)
Figure 92: Consumption Structure - Forecast Central Scenario '20-'24(%)
Figure 93: Forecast of Consumption Values According to Source '20-'24
Figure 94: Model Fitting in the Historical Period
Figure 95: The Results of the Forecast Model 2020-2024
Figure 96: Yearly Percentage Evolution of the Central Scenario (YoY)%
Figure 97: Cumulative Contribution to Imports Growth '20-'24(pp)
Figure 98: Yearly Dynamic of Imports (YoY) of the First 10 Trading Partners
Figure 99: Evolution of the Total Production Price (Euro)
Figure 100: Price-Quantity Produced Relation
Figure 101: Contribution to the Yearly Price Variation (pp%)
Figure 102: Nominal Price Level Depending on the Destination Market (Euro)

List of Figures (ii)
Figure 105: The Evolution of the Total Consumption Price (Euro)
Figure 106: Price-Quantity Consumed Relation
Figure 107: The Evolution of the Price Structure - the Contribution to the Total Variation
Figure 108: Nominal Price Level Depending on the Market of Origin (Euro)
Figure 109: Average Price Difference DM vs N-DM (%)
Figure 110: Consumer Price Volatility Compared to the Historical Average
Figure 111: The Price in the International Context - Compared to the EU Average
Figure 112: The Price in the International Context - Price Evolution
Figure 113: The Price in the International Context - Price Volatility
Figure 114: The Price in the International Context - Compared to the EU Average
Figure 115: The Price in the International Context - Price Evolution
Figure 116: The Price in the International Context - Price Volatility
Figure 117: Results of the Forecast Model 2020-2024
Figure 118: Results of the Forecast Model 2020-2024
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
The market will register an average annual evolution (AAGR%) of 5.22% in the 2020-2024 period, according to the central estimates:
  • Driven by increasing demand for imported products;
  • The domestic market will absorb with 13.29 less percentages of production compared to the historical period.
Supply

In the historical period, the evolution of production had, an upward trend, recording an average annual growth rate (AAGR) of 9.22%. In this timeframe 92% of the production went to the non-domestic market. Calculating the cumulative contribution of the sources of influence on the evolution of the whole period, the publisher identified that the production destined for the domestic market had a cumulative positive contribution of 21.09pp.

Referring further to the historical period but to the second destination market of production, the non-domestic market, the publisher identified that exports had an upward evolution registering an average annual growth rate (AAGR%) of 5.27%. In order to understand the evolution of exports, it is necessary to analyze the concentration of exports at the level of destination markets, more precisely at the level of the first 10 destination markets because they sum up on average 5.42 % of the total exports. Among the most important destination markets the publisher finds AT, AZ AE, AL, AM, AR, AU, BA, BE, BF.

Estimating the offer for the period 2020-2024 was made with the help of historical data from the period 2014-2019. The data obtained are the result of linear log-log models, which allowed the approximation of the evolution of supply and demand in the domestic and non-domestic market for the period. 2014-2024. In the central scenario the publisher anticipates an average annual evolution (AAGR%) for the entire period of 5.14%. In addition to the data from the historical period, the publisher anticipates that the domestic market will have an absolute cumulative contribution of 0pp.

Demand

In the historical period, consumption had an upward trend recording an average annual growth rate (AAGR%) of 29.98%. During this period, the demand was met on average, in proportion of 87% by import products. Analyzing the structure of demand, the publisher identified that demand for domestic products contributed with 82.84pp to the cumulative evolution of the demand for the whole period.

Referring further to the historical period but to the second market of origin of products, imported products, the publisher identified that imports had an upward evolution registering an average annual growth rate (AAGR%) of 14.14%. Among the most important countries from which the supply is made the publisher finds AT, BE, CA, CH, CN, DK AE, BR, CY, CZ.

Estimation of demand for the period 2020-2024 was made with the help of historical data from the period 2014-2019. In the central scenario the publisher anticipates an average annual evolution (AAGR%) for the entire period of 5.22%. In addition to the data from the historical period, the publisher anticipates that the domestic market will have an absolute cumulative contribution of 0pp.
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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