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Austria: Line pipe of a kind used for oil or gas pipelines of steel 2014-2024

  • ID: 5220709
  • Report
  • December 2020
  • Region: Austria
  • 31 pages
  • Financial Trends
UP TO OFF
until May 31st 2021
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Extract Knowledge and Insights from Data with this Report.
This new edition of the report forecasts the market evolution at an average annual rate of -43.81% to the level of 2 thousand euro in 2024.

The purpose of this edition is to better reflect the current landscape of the Austrian market of the product ''Line pipe of a kind used for oil or gas pipelines of steel'', emphasizing the explanation of the results for the historical evaluation of the demand, supply and prices with the help of quantitative models and on the presentation of the results of the forecast of the demand, supply and prices, for the next 5 years.



The report is divided into three sections: Supply, Demand and Price. The period covered in the report is 2014-2024 and it:
  • Combines the explanations and interpretation of the analysis results in written form (text) with the support of graphical methods specific to explanatory analysis to maximize information understanding.
  • Documents the historical analysis in terms of quantitative modeling of data to reach the most hidden conclusions.
  • Presents and explains the results of the estimates from the central scenario that include the impact of macroeconomic shocks at national and international level, along with the confidence intervals of ± 95%.
Section 1 - Supply

The first part of this chapter contains the detailed historical analysis, segmented on the two destination markets of the products, the domestic market and the non-domestic market (exports). In the second part of this chapter, the analysts have included the presentation and explanation of the results of the forecast models. Also, the results are divided into destination markets of the products, the domestic market and non-domestic market (exports).

Section 2 - Demand

The first part of this chapter includes the detailed historical analysis, segmented on the two markets of origin of the products, the domestic market and the non-domestic market (imports). In the second part of this chapter, the analysts have included the analysis of the demand disseminated at regional level. The third part of this chapter contains the presentation and explanation of the results of the forecast models. The results are segmented into the markets of origin of the products, the domestic and non-domestic market (imports).

Section 3 - Price

The first part of this chapter is dedicated to the study of the historical evolution of the price, the analysis includes both the supply part and the demand part. In the second part, the analysts present and explain the results of the models used in estimating the price for both the supply and demand.
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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  • Abbreviations
  • Data sources
  • Introduction
  • Summary
  • Key statistics
  • Key evolutions
1. Supply
1.1 Historical period 2014-2019
  • Production
  • Exports
  • In international context
1.2 Forecast period 2020-2024
  • Production
  • Exports
2. Demand
2.1 Historical period 2014-2019
  • Consumption
  • On regional level
  • Imports
  • In international context
2.2 Forecast period 2020-2024
  • Consumption
  • Imports
3. Price
3.1 Historical period 2014-2019
  • On Supply side
  • On Demand side
  • In international context
3.2 Forecast period 2020-2024
  • On Supply side
  • On Demand side
4. Appendix
4.1 Historical period data (2014-2019)
4.2 Forecast data for the next 5 years (2020-2024)

List of Figures
  • Figure 1: Evolution of production (thousand euros)
  • Figure 2: Production structure (%)
  • Figure 3: Contribution to the yearly variation (%)
  • Figure 4: Yearly production volatility
  • Figure 5: Yearly production volatility by destination markets
  • Figure 6: Output gap (%)
  • Figure 7: Dynamic of production vs. consumption
  • Figure 8: Distribution of shares compared to the historical average
  • Figure 9: Production trend by destination markets
  • Figure 10: Volatility of production values compared to the historical average
  • Figure 11: Exports evolution (thousand euros)
  • Figure 12: Concentration of exports at the level of the first 10 trading partners '14vs'19(%)
  • Figure 13: Yearly exports dynamic (YoY) of the first 10 trading partners
  • Figure 14: Average annual growth rate of exports of the first 10 trading partners
  • Figure 15: Cumulative contribution to exports growth '14-'19(pp)
  • Figure 16: Evolution of production in an international context (2019 = 100)
  • Figure 17: Production dynamic in an international context
  • Figure 18: Production structure in an international context (%)Production structure in an international context (%)
  • Figure 19: Production per capita in an international context - relative to the EU average
  • Figure 20: Evolution of exports in an international context (2019 = 100)
  • Figure 21: Exports dynamic in an international context
  • Figure 22: Exports per capita in an international context - relative to the EU average
  • Figure 23: Model fitting in historical period
  • Figure 24: Results of the forecast model 2020-2024
  • Figure 25: Contribution to yearly dynamic - Forecast central scenario '20-'24(%)
  • Figure 26: Production structure - Forecast central scenario '20-'24(%)
  • Figure 27: Forecast of production values according to destination '20-'24
  • Figure 28: Model fitting in historical period
  • Figure 29: The results of the forecast model 2020-2024
  • Figure 30: Yearly percentage evolution of the central scenario (YoY)%
  • Figure 31: Cumulative contribution to exports growth '20-'24(pp)
  • Figure 32: Yearly dynamic of exports (YoY) of the first 10 trading partners
  • Figure 33: Evolution of consumption (thousand euros)
  • Figure 34: Consumption structure (%)
  • Figure 35: Contribution to the yearly variation (%)
  • Figure 36: Yearly consumption volatility
  • Figure 37: Yearly consumption volatility by destination markets
  • Figure 38: Output gap(%)
  • Figure 39: Distribution of shares compared to the historical average
  • Figure 40: Demand trend by destination markets
  • Figure 41: Volatility of consumption values compared to the historical average
  • Figure 42: Regions performance scoreboard
  • Figure 43: Evolution of apparent consumption at the regional level
  • Figure 44: Cumulative contribution to the growth of aparent consumption (pp)
  • Figure 45: Region performance scoreboard Oberösterreich
  • Figure 46: Region consumption evolution Oberösterreich
  • Figure 47: Region performance scoreboard Tirol
  • Figure 48: Region consumption evolution Tirol
  • Figure 49: Region performance scoreboard Wien
  • Figure 50: Region consumption evolution Wien
  • Figure 51: Region performance scoreboard Salzburg
  • Figure 52: Region consumption evolution Salzburg
  • Figure 53: Region performance scoreboard Vorarlberg
  • Figure 54: Region consumption evolution Vorarlberg
  • Figure 55: Region performance scoreboard Niederösterreich
  • Figure 56: Region consumption evolution Niederösterreich
  • Figure 57: Region performance scoreboard Steiermark
  • Figure 58: Region consumption evolution Steiermark
  • Figure 59: Region performance scoreboard Kärnten
  • Figure 60: Region consumption evolution Kärnten
  • Figure 61: Region performance scoreboard Burgenland
  • Figure 62: Region consumption evolution Burgenland
  • Figure 63: Imports value (thousand euros)
  • Figure 64: Concentration of imports at the level of the first 10 trading partners '14vs'19(%)
  • Figure 65: Yearly imports dynamic (YoY) of the first 10 trading partners
  • Figure 66: Average annual growth rate of imports of the first 10 trading partners
  • Figure 67: Cumulative contribution to imports growth '14-'19(pp)
  • Figure 68: Evolution of consumption in an international context (2019 = 100)
  • Figure 69: Demand dynamic in an international context
  • Figure 70: Demand structure in an international context (%)
  • Figure 71: Consumption per capita in an international context - relative to the EU average
  • Figure 72: Evolution of imports in an international context (2019 = 100)
  • Figure 73: Imports dynamic in an international context
  • Figure 74: Imports per capita in an international context - relative to the EU average
  • Figure 75: Model fitting in the historical period
  • Figure 76: Results of the forecast model 2020-2024
  • Figure 77: Contribution to yearly dynamic - Forecast central scenario '20-'24(%)
  • Figure 78: Consumption structure - Forecast central scenario '20-'24(%)
  • Figure 79: Forecast of consumption values according to source '20-'24
  • Figure 80: Model fitting in the historical period
  • Figure 81: The results of the forecast model 2020-2024
  • Figure 82: Yearly percentage evolution of the central scenario (YoY)%
  • Figure 83: Cumulative contribution to imports growth '20-'24(pp)
  • Figure 84: Yearly dynamic of imports (YoY) of the first 10 trading partners
  • Figure 85: Evolution of the total production price (euro)
  • Figure 86: Price-quantity produced relation
  • Figure 87: Contribution to the yearly price variation (pp%)
  • Figure 88: Nominal price level depending on the destination market (euro)
  • Figure 89: Average price difference DM vs N-DM (%)
  • Figure 90: Volatility of production prices compared to the historical average
  • Figure 91: The evolution of the total consumption price (euro)
  • Figure 92: Price-quantity consumed relation
  • Figure 93: The evolution of the price structure - the contribution to the total variation
  • Figure 94: Nominal price level depending on the market of origin (euro)
  • Figure 95: Average price difference DM vs N-DM (%)
  • Figure 96: Consumer price volatility compared to the historical average
  • Figure 97: The price in the international context - compared to the EU average
  • Figure 98: The price in the international context - Price evolution
  • Figure 99: The price in the international context - Price volatility
  • Figure 100: The price in the international context - compared to the EU average
  • Figure 101: The price in the international context - Price evolution
  • Figure 102: The price in the international context - Price volatility
  • Figure 103: Results of the forecast model 2020-2024
  • Figure 104: Results of the forecast model 2020-2024
List of Tables
  • Table 1: Forecast of absolute values of production '20-'24 period u.m. thousand euro
  • Table 2: Forecast of absolute values of exports '20-'24 period u.m. thousand euro
  • Table 3: Forecast of absolute values of consumption '20-'24 period u.m. thousand euro
  • Table 4: Forecast of absolute values of imports '20-'24 period u.m. thousand euro
  • Table 5: Forecast nominal price values in the central scenario - '20-'24 u.m euro - Supply
  • Table 6: Forecast nominal price values in the central scenario - '20-'24 u.m euro - Demand
  • Table 7: Historical period data (2014-2019) - Values - u.m. thousand euro
  • Table 8: Historical period data (2014-2019) - Quantity - u.m. 1000kg
  • Table 9: Top 10 destination markets (according to 2019 data) - Value u.m. thousand euro
  • Table 10: Top 10 origin markets (according to 2019 data) - Value u.m. thousand euro
  • Table 11: Production - Forecast data for the next 5 years (2020-2024) - Value (u.m.: thousand euro)
  • Table 12: Exports - Forecast data for the next 5 years (2020-2024) - Value (u.m.: thousand euro)
  • Table 13: Consumption - Forecast data for the next 5 years (2020-2024) - Value (u.m.: thousand euro)
  • Table 14: Imports - Forecast data for the next 5 years (2020-2024) - Value (u.m.: thousand euro)
  • Table 15: Production - Forecast data for the next 5 years (2020-2024) - Quantity (u.m.: 1000kg)
  • Table 16: Exports - Forecast data for the next 5 years (2020-2024) - Quantity (u.m.: 1000kg)
  • Table 17: Consumption - Forecast data for the next 5 years (2020-2024) - Quantity (u.m.: 1000kg)
  • Table 18: Imports - Forecast data for the next 5 years (2020-2024) - Quantity (u.m.: 1000kg)
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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The market will register an average annual evolution (AAGR%) of -43.81% in the 2020-2024 period, according to the central estimates:
  • Influenced by declining demand for imported products;
  • The domestic market will absorb with 0 less percentages of production compared to the historical period.
Supply

In the historical period, the evolution of production had, an upward trend, recording an average annual growth rate (AAGR) of 22.47%. In this timeframe 137% of the production went to the non-domestic market. Calculating the cumulative contribution of the sources of influence on the evolution of the whole period, we identified that the production destined for the domestic market had a cumulative positive contribution of 85.32pp.

Referring further to the historical period but to the second destination market of production, the non-domestic market, we identified that exports had an upward evolution registering an average annual growth rate (AAGR%) of 10.12%. In order to understand the evolution of exports, it is necessary to analyze the concentration of exports at the level of destination markets, more precisely at the level of the first 10 destination markets because they sum up on average 18.06 % of the total exports. Among the most important destination markets we find CZ AL, BA, BE, CH, CL, CN, DE, DZ, EG.

Estimating the offer for the period 2020-2024 was made with the help of historical data from the period 2014-2019. The data obtained are the result of linear log-log models, which allowed the approximation of the evolution of supply and demand in the domestic and non-domestic market for the period. 2014-2024. In the central scenario we anticipate an average annual evolution (AAGR%) for the entire period of 3.96%. In addition to the data from the historical period, we anticipate that the domestic market will have an absolute cumulative contribution of 0pp.

Demand

In the historical period, consumption had an upward trend recording an average annual growth rate (AAGR%) of 0.06%. During this period, the demand was met on average, in proportion of 100% by import products. Analyzing the structure of demand, we identified that demand for domestic products contributed with 0pp to the cumulative evolution of the demand for the whole period.

Referring further to the historical period but to the second market of origin of products, imported products, we identified that imports had an upward evolution registering an average annual growth rate (AAGR%) of 0.06%. Among the most important countries from which the supply is made we find CH, CZ, DK, GB, HR, HU, IN, IT, KR DE.

Estimation of demand for the period 2020-2024 was made with the help of historical data from the period 2014-2019. In the central scenario we anticipate an average annual evolution (AAGR%) for the entire period of -43.81%. In addition to the data from the historical period, we anticipate that the domestic market will have an absolute cumulative contribution of 0pp.
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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