Gas-to-Power Data Insights Report 2010-2024 provides the most comprehensive and up-to-date analysis of the current status and trajectory of Africa’s rapidly expanding GTP generation sector.
Based on constantly updated proprietary data and in-house analytics, supported by graphs, tables and maps, the report offers an essential grounding for any investor, lender or developer charting a strategy in this dynamic market.
The analytical PDF comes with an excel containing underlying aggregate data from African Energy Live Data, our proprietary database of more than 6,500 power projects. This means the report not only provides incisive read-outs to support strategic decision-making, but also allows users to set their own parameters, and to develop and test conclusions within their own analytical frameworks.
Key features
- Data and analysis supporting the view that GTP and liquid/natural gas dual fuel installed capacity (MW) will increase by approximately 75% from now until 2030 reaching a total of 193GW
- 39 pages of analysis, graphs and data
- 38 detailed charts and infographics
- Case studies on seven dominant gas consuming economies each with a map
- Customisable excel of background data with 288 tables
Reasons to buy:
- Use our report to gain an understanding of how trends in GTP and dual fuel installation may impact on your operations and investments.
- Gain insights into gas’s dominant role in Africa’s energy transition.
- Access and analyse our data through an interactive Excel-based dashboard.
- Inform your strategic decision-making on independent power generation forecasts based on the actual project development pipeline rather than estimates.
- Compare historic trends, current position and planned developments of GTP and dual-fuel generation by country, or region or see how the sector has developed across Africa.
- Understand from the data how the markets which have seen the most rapid expansion of GTP capacity in recent years will now see slower growth while others are set for a very steep growth trajectory.
- See a clear picture of how GTP is and will be positioned in the wider energy mix.
Table of Contents
- Introduction
- Economic view of Africa
- Africa: gas-to-power installed capacity, 2010-24
- Africa: gas installed capacity, 2010-24 (by region)
- North Africa: gas-to-power Installed capacity, 2010-24
- Egypt looks to domestic markets as gas export hit by coronavirus
- Libya hopes LNG import plan will solve the power crisis
- East Africa: gas-to-power Installed capacity, 2010-24
- Kenya looks to gas conversions to balance grid
- West Africa: gas-to-power installed capacity, 2010-24
- Nigeria: Buhari pushes gas agenda
- Senegal’s gas to power strategy aimed at increasing capacity to 2.5GW by 2030
- Southern Africa: gas-to-power installed capacity, 2010-24
- Mozambique’s gas boom faces security and economic pressures
- South Africa: 3GW of gas-to-power to be procured
- Central Africa: gas-to-power installed capacity, 2010-24
- On-grid gas-to-power capacity in Africa, 2019 - 24 (map showing installed capacity (MW)
- Gas-to-power capacity growth in Africa, 2010-24 (compared with other fuel types, by region and country)
- Tough economic conditions make LNG imports and FSRUs an attractive option
- Planned liquid fuel to gas conversions
- Long term gas-to-power installed capacity (MW) projection, 2019-30
- Upstream Mozambique developments
- Senegal: Greater Tortue gas delayed to 2023
Data Excel contents
1 Capacity by status
2 Total installed capacity by Fuel (MW), 2010-2024
3 Net capacity additions by Fuel (MW), 2010-2024
4 Total installed capacity by Fuel (%), 2010-2024
5 Total installed capacity by country (MW), 2010 - 2024
6 Total installed capacity by country (%)
TECHNOLOGY
7 Installed gas-to-power capacity by technology (MW)
8 Installed gas-to-power capacity by technology (%)
9 New gas-to-power capacity additions per year by technology (MW)
10 New gas-to-power projects each year by technology (Number of projects)
11 Total gas-to-power operating per year by technology (Number of projects)
12 Average time between PPA signing and financial close (days), by technology
13 Average time between construction start and commissioning (days), by technology
OWNERSHIP
14 Installed gas-to-power capacity by ownership type (MW)
15 Installed gas-to-power capacity by ownership type (%)
16 New gas-to-power capacity additions, per year by ownership (MW)
17 Total gas-to-power operating per year by ownership (Number of projects)
18 New gas-to-power projects each year by ownership (Number of projects)
19 Average time between PPA signing and financial close (days), by ownership
20 Average time between construction start and commissioning (days), by ownership
CAPACITY RANGE
21 Installed gas-to-power capacity by capacity range (MW)
22 Installed gas-to-power capacity by capacity size (%)
23 New gas-to-power capacity additions, per year by capacity size (MW)
24 Total gas-to-power operating per year, by capacity size (Number of projects)
25 New gas-to-power projects each year by capacity range (Number of projects)
26 Average time between PPA signing and financial close (days), by capacity range
27 Average time between construction start and commissioning (days), by capacity range
Executive Summary
Across the world, countries looking to steer away from carbon-intensive power generation have identified gas as their main transition fuel. This is also true in Africa. Historically, only those countries with significant natural gas resources such as Egypt, Algeria and Nigeria were able to realise the potential of cheap domestically sourced gas. However, in recent years, several African governments have started importing gas as a flexible and cheap way to bolster the existing generation. Aided by the current low global gas prices and advances in floating storage, countries without domestic gas resources are tapping gas’ potential without huge investments in onshore gas terminals or pipelines. Many more are likely to make this shift in the coming years.
Gas-to-power’s trajectory across Africa is highlighted by the Gas-to-Power Data Insights Report 2010-24, via an analysis of past trends, a review of current gas generation and a discussion on the future path towards 2030.
African Energy’s Gas-to-Power Data Insights Report 2010-24 is intended to provide a snapshot of the continent’s electricity supply industry (ESI) and the role of gas technologies as Africa’s transition fuel. The focus of the Gas-to-Power Data Insights Report 2010-24 is an on-grid generation, drawing on rigorously researched project information from the African Energy Live Data resource. It also draws on African Energy’s extensive experience of monitoring and working in a range of countries to build a picture of gas markets and provide fit-for-purpose information for financial institutions, project developers, investors and other stakeholders.
Data used in this report are sourced from African Energy Live Data, an innovative online database which, as this report went to press, contains more than 6,200 power generation projects across Africa. Being constantly updated, Live Data provides a highly accurate view of African electricity generation projects. This allows Live Data to provide instant access to the latest aggregated statistics for this report.
Electricity generation variables presented in this report are neither estimates nor based on modelling. Historical data is accurate and fully verified, whereas future years show the pipeline of planned projects. This data is the sum of projects with announced commercial operations dates and have achieved some milestones indicating that the announced timeline is still achievable. As a result, they do not take into account government targets, planned future procurement rounds or projects in early-stage development without announced commissioning dates.
It is likely that an undetermined amount of new capacity will be brought online through to 2024, in addition to the already announced pipeline. Many of these projects are either yet to be announced, or remain in the early stages of development. As such, the pipeline will inevitably change and data for 2023-24 should be treated as purely indicative.
While African Energy’s proprietary content forms the bedrock of the report, external data sources are used to help inform this analysis.
Companies Mentioned (Partial List)
A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:
- Aldwych International
- BP
- BWSC
- Electricidade de Moçambique (EdM)
- Empresa Nacional de Hidrocarbonetos (ENH, Mozambique)
- Eni
- ExxonMobil
- General Electric Company of Libya (Gecol)
- Gigajoule Energy
- GL Africa Energy
- Golar LNG
- Karadeniz
- Karpowership
- KenGen
- Kenya Power
- Kosmos Energy
- Matola Gas Company
- Mozambique LNG
- National Energy Regulator of South Africa (Nersa)
- Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation
- Renergen
- Shell
- Total
- Wärtsilä
- World Bank
