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Commercial Credit Cards: International Markets Review and Forecast, 2020-2025

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    Report

  • 22 Pages
  • July 2021
  • Region: Global
  • Mercator Advisory Group
  • ID: 5360337
COVID Bounce Back Not Expected Until 2023

In global markets outside of North America, spending growth remains underpinned by corporate cards, used mostly for travel and entertainment (T&E), as well as virtual cards used to settle with travel management companies. The consequent spending volume in corporate cards is closely tied to travel budgets and general corporate adoption. The pandemic had a deleterious effect on global business travel spend. A new research report, Commercial Credit Cards: International Markets Review and Forecast, 2020-2025; COVID Bounce Back Not Expected Until 2023, reviews the current situation and outlook as the industry recovers from the effects of COVID-19 and business lockdowns.


 


Given the remedies selected by most government entities to combat viral spread, varying levels of GDP declines were felt across regions in 2020, with economic recovery expected to have a similar level of variability during 2021-22. As such there was an expected massive drop off in spending on corporate cards. Commercial credit card spend for mid-large market companies outside of North America was 42% lower than in 2019. Going forward, recovery levels and expected behavioral changes in business travel are the most pressing issue. A continued shift to digital payments and virtual cards will help improve spending levels through 2022 and partially offset the travel slowdowns. In this report we will discuss the overall pandemic impact on economic growth, then address how that plays out both short and longer term on spending in each indicated region.


“The pandemic underscored the relative dependency of the commercial card industry in most regions on business travel versus the broader B2B use cases that have been pursued in North America, and to some extent, Western Europe,” commented Steve Murphy, Director of the Commercial and Enterprise Advisory Service and the author of this report. “Once economies emerge again, which is already underway, travel will return at some level, but most issuers will be redoubling efforts to expand commercial card spend into B2B uses.”


Highlights of this research report include:


  • Post-pandemic economic outlook in the indicative global markets
  • Review of overall card spending trends and expectations across multiple regions
  • Regional highlights of developments potentially impacting commercial card businesses 
  • Estimated spending on commercial credit cards for the indicated regions through 2025
  • Executive Summary 
  • Introduction 
  • The COVID Economy 
  • Western Europe 
  • Asia Pacific 
  • Latin America and Caribbean (LAC)
  • Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa
  • Conclusion

Figures & tables
Figure 1: Pandemic controls drove economic downturns at varying levels,with expected similar shifts in recovery rates. 
Figure 2: Baseline global business travel expected to recover in about 4-5 years 
Figure 3: Adjusted Western Europe overall credit card spend growth based on GDP impact by payment type 
Figure 4: Commercial credit card mid-to large-market spend growth estimates in western Europe, 2020–2025 
Figure 5: Adjusted Asia-Pacific overall credit card spend growth based on GDP impact by payment type 
Figure 6: Commercial card mid-to large-market estimated spend growth in Asia-Pacific region, 2020–2025 
Figure 7: Adjusted LAC overall credit card spend growth based on GDP impact by payment type 
Figure 8: Commercial card mid-to large-market estimated spend growth in LAC region, 2020–2025
Figure 9: Adjusted MEA overall credit card spend growth based on GDP impact by payment type 
Figure 10: Commercial card mid-to large-market estimated spending growth CEEMEA, 2020-2025


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