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Nigeria Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market, 2023-2027

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    Report

  • 42 Pages
  • December 2023
  • Region: Nigeria
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5782613
The publisher expects the construction industry in Nigeria to expand by 2.8% in real terms in 2024, before recording an average annual growth of 3.1% from 2025 to 2027. The industry’s output over the forecast period will be supported by the government’s focus on stabilising the country’s ailing economy, developing infrastructure and social welfare programs, and attracting more foreign investment. In November 2024, the Nigerian President Bola Tinubu unveiled the country's NGN27.5 trillion ($55.1 billion) Budget for 2024; this marks a 10.8% growth compared to the 2023 Budget of NGN24.8 trillion ($49.7 billion). Of the total 2024 Budget, NGN9.9 trillion ($19.9 billion) is for non-debt recurrent expenditure, NGN8.7 trillion ($17.4 billion) is for capital expenditure, NGN8.3 trillion ($16.5 billion) is for debt servicing, and the remaining NGN630 billion ($1.3 billion) is for other expenditure.

Forecast-period growth in the industry will also be supported by investments in the oil and gas, electricity, transport, industrial, health, and education infrastructure projects. In late September 2023, Nigeria's state oil firm Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) and oil majors agreed to shorten the time taken for concluding contract talks from three years currently to six months, to accelerate projects in the oil and gas sector. In the same month, President Tinubu reported that international oil firms have committed investments worth NGN6.7 trillion ($13.5 billion) over the next 12 months, to lift oil production. These investments are expected to result in oil production increasing from 1.18 million barrels per day (bpd) in August 2023 to 2.1 million bpd by December 2024. Forecast-period growth in the industry will also be support by financial assistance from several multinational lenders to support investments across various sectors. In November 2023, Nigeria's cabinet approved a NGN498.9 billion ($1 billion) concessionary loan from the African Development Bank (AfDB) to support financing the budget and improving foreign exchange supply in the country.

The report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Nigerian construction industry, including:

  • The Nigerian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Nigerian construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Nigeria. It provides -
  • Historical (2018-2022) and forecast (2023-2027) valuations of the construction industry in Nigeria, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using the standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.
  • Formulate and validate strategy using the critical and actionable insight.
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
  • Outlook
  • Latest news and developments
  • Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
  • About the Publisher
  • Contact the Publisher
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Nigeria, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Nigeria, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 4: Nigeria, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Nigeria, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 6: Nigeria, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Nigeria, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 8: Nigeria, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Nigeria, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 10: Nigeria, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Nigeria, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 12: Nigeria, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Nigeria, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 14: Nigeria, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Nigeria, Key Contractors
Table 16: Nigeria, Key Consultants
Table 17: Nigeria, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 18: Nigeria, Construction Output Value (Nominal, NGN Million)
Table 19: Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2021-27
Figure 2: Nigeria, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2021-23 and 2024-27
Figure 3: Nigeria, Risk Summary
Figure 4: Nigeria, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 5: Nigeria, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018-27
Figure 6: Nigeria, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 7: Nigeria, Construction Value-Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 8: Nigeria, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 9: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 10: Nigeria, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 11: Nigeria, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 12: Nigeria, Accommodation and Food Services Value-Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 13: Nigeria, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 14: Nigeria, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 15: Nigeria, Manufacturing Value-Add (NGN Billion, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 16: Nigeria, Total Export Value (NGN Billion)
Figure 17: Nigeria, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 18: Nigeria, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 19: Nigeria, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 20: Nigeria, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 21: Nigeria, Telecommunications and Information Services Value-Add (NGN Billion, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 22: Nigeria, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 23: Nigeria, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 24: Nigeria, Education Sector Value-Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 21: Nigeria, Human Health and Social Services Value-Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 26: Nigeria, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 27: Nigeria, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 28: Nigeria, Real estate Value-Add (NGN Billion, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 29: Nigeria, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 30: Nigeria, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)