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Poland Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market, 2023-2027

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    Report

  • 47 Pages
  • December 2023
  • Region: Poland
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5782472
The construction industry in Poland is expected to have grown by 1.3% in real terms in 2023, owing to government efforts to increase investment in transport and energy infrastructure projects. In June 2023, the country received PLN4.4 billion ($906.8 million) in funding from the European Union's Connecting Europe Facility (CEF) to implement transport infrastructure projects. The funding will support 11 transport infrastructure projects, including three railroad projects, three multilateral projects, two maritime projects, two Polish-Ukrainian railroad and road projects, and the Rail Baltica project that connects Poland with the Baltic countries. In another positive development, in August 2023, to develop the regional rail infrastructure, the Council of Ministers announced an investment of PLN198.5 billion ($40.9 billion) under the Polish National Railway Programme. However, subdued investor and consumer confidence, high interest rates and high construction costs are expected to continue to weigh on the industry’s performance in 2023 and 2024. Thus, the publisher expects the Polish construction industry to decline by 1.1% in 2024. According to Eurostat, the average construction cost index registered a year-on-year (Y-o-Y) increase of 9.7% the first ten months of 2023, preceded by annual growth of 13.2% in 2022.

The construction industry is however expected to rebound at an average annual growth rate of 3.4% from 2025 to 2027, supported by investments in transport and renewable energy infrastructure projects. The government aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 7% by 2030, compared to 2015 levels and net zero by 2050. To support this target, it is focusing on increasing the capacity of renewable energy across the country. Thus, in March 2023, the European Investment Bank (EIB) Group announced a PLN29.1 billion ($6 billion) plan to finance projects in the transport and energy sectors. Under the Kolej Plus program, the government plans to spend PLN6.6 billion ($1.7 billion) by 2028 to develop railway infrastructure in cities that currently do not have access to railway transport. Furthermore, the government is expected to increase investment in the energy sector over the medium to long term, to both support the development of renewable energy infrastructure - in line with its RepowerEU commitments - and to increase energy self-sufficiency following Russia’s decision to cut gas exports to Poland.

The report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Polish construction industry, including:

  • The Polish construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Polish construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Poland. It provides -
  • Historical (2018-2022) and forecast (2023-2027) valuations of the construction industry in Poland, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using the standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.
  • Formulate and validate strategy using the critical and actionable insight.
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
  • Outlook
  • Latest news and developments
  • Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
  • About the Publisher
  • Contact the Publisher
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Poland, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 4: Poland, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 6: Poland, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 8: Poland, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 10: Poland, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 12: Poland, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 14: Poland, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Poland, Key Contractors
Table 16: Poland, Key Consultants
Table 17: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 18: Poland, Construction Output Value (Nominal, PLN Million)
Table 19: Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2021-27
Figure 2: Poland, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2021-23 and 2024-27
Figure 3: Poland, Risk Summary
Figure 4: Poland, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 5: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018-27
Figure 6: Poland, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 7: Poland, Construction Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 8: Poland, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (Chain Linked Volumes, PLN Million)
Figure 9: Poland, Employment in the Construction Industry, In Thousands
Figure 10: Poland, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 11: Eastern Europe, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 12: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 13: Poland, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 14: Poland, Wholesale and Retail Trade Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 15: Poland, Foreign Tourist Arrivals and Overnight Stays (Number in Thousand)
Figure 16: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 17: Poland, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 18: Poland, Manufacturing Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 19: Poland, Manufacturing Cost Index (The same period of the previous year = 100)
Figure 20: Poland, Total Merchandise Exports (PLN Million)
Figure 21: Poland, Manufacturing Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2010=100, % Change, YoY)
Figure 22: Poland, Mining and Quarrying Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2010=100, % Change, YoY)
Figure 23: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 24: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 25: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 26: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 27: Poland, Information and Communication Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 28: Poland, Electricity, Gas, Steam, and Air Conditioning Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2010=100, % Change, YoY)
Figure 29: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 30: Poland, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 31: Poland, Public Administration, Defense, Education, Human Health, and Social Work Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 32: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 33: Poland, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 34: Poland, Real Estate Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 35: Poland, Dwellings Completed (in Thousands)
Figure 36: Poland, Residential Building Permits (in Thousands)
Figure 37: Poland, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 38: Poland, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)