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CPM Molybdenum Market Outlook 2012

  • ID: 657905
  • Report
  • October 2012
  • Region: Global
  • 370 Pages
  • CPM Group
A Comprehensive Study of the Global Molybdenum Market Including Projections Through 2021 of Molybdenum Supply by Mine, Demand by End-use, and Prices

Molybdenum is an essential industrial metal, with a market value of roughly US$8 Billion in 2010. The CPM Group 2012 Molybdenum Long-Term Outlook analyzes the molybdenum market in great detail. The 370-page study provides in-depth analysis of global molybdenum supply, demand, and price trends, including projections for the next 10 years.

The report contains mine-by-mine production statistics from 2000 through 2020, mine costs for both primary and byproduct producers, details on global roasting capacity, demand projections by end-use, and information on regional molybdenum markets around the world. The prospects for the Chinese molybdenum market are highlighted in a 60-page Focus on China section, which includes detailed production costs, project and provincial-level supply figures, mining regulation and trade policy changes, and key demand drivers. In addition, a project reference guide is provided with details on more than 125 potential molybdenum mines in various stages of development. The Molybdenum Market Outlook provides 10-year forecasts for supply, demand, and prices under a base case and two alternative scenarios.

CPM Group's long-term analyses are based on both macroeconomic and microeconomic approaches. CPM Group uses a top-down analysis of economic, financial, and political trends both globally and in major countries and regions to provide the umbrella overview of the economic environment in which these metals markets will develop. This is combined with a detailed bottom -up analysis of individual sectors of supply and demand. CPM Group's research incorporates the company's intimate knowledge of the metals markets.
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1 Executive Summary

2 Market Overview

2.1 Molybdenum Oxide Price Overview
2.2 Historical Molybdenum Oxide Price Overview
2.3 Ferromolybdenum Price Overview
2.4 Market Pricing and Investment Demand
2.4.1 LME Molybdenum Contract

3 Supply and Demand Outlook

3.1 Recent Supply and Demand Development and Outlook
3.2 Historical Price Sensitive Supply and Demand Balance
3.3 Inventory Analysis

4 Price Forecast

4.1 Price Forecast
4.2 Real Molybdenum Prices

5 Supply

5.1 Overview of Molybdenum Production, Reserves, and Reserve Base
5.2 By-Product Production versus Primary Production
5.3 Trends in Primary Production
5.4 Trends in Commodity Denominated Financing
5.5 Trends in Chinese Investments
5.6 Operating Costs
5.7 Long Term Cost Fundamentals

6 Molybdenum Mine Output

6.1 Canada
6.2 Chile
6.3 Mexico
6.4 Peru
6.5 United States
6.6 Other Producing Countries

7 Roasting Fundamentals

7.1 China
7.2 Other Countries

8 Supply Outlook

8.1 Supply Forecasting Methodology

9 Demand

9.1 Molybdenum Demand Overview
9.2 Molybdenum Demand Fundamentals
9.3 Demand Forecast Assumptions
9.4 Molybdenum in Steel
9.4.1 Full Alloy Steel
9.4.2 Stainless Steel
9.4.3 High Strength Low Alloy Steel
9.4.4 Tool and High Speed Steel
9.4.5 Carbon Steel
9.5 Other Metallurgical Applications
9.5.1 Cast Iron
9.5.2 Molybdenum Metal and Alloys
9.5.3 Superalloys
9.6 Non-Metallurgical Applications
9.6.1 Catalysts
9.6.2 Pigments
9.6.3 Lubricants
9.6.4 Chemical and Other Applications
9.7 Regional Molybdenum Demand
9.7.1 Europe
9.7.2 United States
9.7.3 Japan
9.7.4 South Korea
9.7.5 Russia and the Commonwealth of Independent States
9.7.6 India
9.7.7 Brazil

10 Focus on China

10.1 Overview of China's Molybdenum Industry
10.1.1 Historical Structure of the Chinese Molybdenum Market 10.1.2 Recent Policy Initiatives
10.2 China's Molybdenum Reserves
10.3 Chinese Molybdenum Production
10.3.1 Henan Province
10.3.2 Shaaxi Province
10.3.3 Inner Mongolia Province
10.3.4 Liaoning Province
10.3.5 Hebei Province
10.3.6 Fujian Province
10.3.7 Jilin Province
10.3.8 Jiangxi Province
10.3.9 Heilongjiang Province
10.3.10 Other Provinces
10.4 Chinese Supply Forecasting Methodology
10.5 Chinese Mining Costs
10.6 China's Economic Outlook
10.7 China's Molybdenum Demand
10.8 Molybdenum in Chinese Steel
10.8.1 Stainless Steel
10.8.2 HSLA Steel
10.8.3 Tool Steel and Other Specialty Steels

10.9 Other Molybdenum Applications
10.9.1 Cast Iron/Roller
10.9.2 Molybdenum Metal
10.9.3 Chemical Applications
10.10 Chinese Molybdenum Trade

11 End-Use Industry Analysis

11.1 Energy
11.1.1 Pipelines and Molybdenum Demand
11.1.2 Oil and Gas Drilling and Molybdenum Demand
11.2 Construction
11.3 Transportation
11.4 Aerospace
11.5 Defense
11.5.1 State Stockpiling
11.6 Medical

12 Substitutes

12.1 Elasticity of Demand
12.2 Limited Substitutability
12.3 Substitute Comparison and Market Developments
12.3.1 Boron
12.3.2 Chromium
12.3.3 Cobalt
12.3.4 Manganese
12.3.5 Nickel
12.3.6 Niobium
12.3.7 Tantalum
12.3.8 Tungsten
12.3.9 Titanium
12.3.10 Vanadium

13 Alternative Scenarios

13.1 High Case Scenario
13.2 Low Case Scenario

14 Fundamentals

14.1 Brief History of Molybdenum
14.2 Mining Production Fundamentals
14.3 Secondary Supplies
14.4 Molybdenum and Steel
14.5 Catalysts
14.6 Lubricants
14.7 The Energy Metal
14.8 Substitute Comparison

15 Appendix

Appendix A - Prices
Appendix B - Operating Costs with By-Product Credits
Appendix C - Operating Costs with By-Product and Co-Product Credits
Appendix D - Chinese Mining Cost Study, 2009
Appendix E - Trade Tables

Mine Project Reference Guide

Probable (Committed), Probable (Uncommitted), Tier 1 & 2 Possible Development Projects
Reserves Development and Exploration Projects
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