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CPM Group's Gold Long-Term Outlook 2015

  • ID: 3500066
  • Book
  • September 2015
  • Region: Global
  • CPM Group
CPM Group’s Gold Long-Term Outlook 2015 provides comprehensive analysis of global gold supply, demand, and price trends, including projections for the next 10 years. The report contains supply and demand statistics from 1950 through 2025. It contains details on gold mine cost structures and emerging gold mine projects, a breakdown of gold demand by end-use, an examination of investment demand trends, and comprehensive analysis of central bank buying and selling activity.

CPM Group’s long-term analyses are based on both macroeconomic and microeconomic approaches. CPM Group uses a top-down analysis of economic, financial, and political trends both globally and in major countries and regions to provide the umbrella overview of the economic environment in which these metals markets will develop. This is combined with a detailed bottom-up analysis of individual sectors of supply and demand, including the extremely important and highly illusive area of secondary recovery from scrapped products, jewelry, electronics, and other applications. CPM Group’s research also incorporates the company’s intimate knowledge of the investment markets for precious metals, including both over the counter physical demand trends and the more transparent retail investment products recently introduced and gaining in popularity.
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

1. Research Methodology

2. Gold Base Case (Main) Scenario
- Chart: Real and Nominal Gold Prices, Base Case Scenario
- Chart: Gold Supply and Demand, Base Case Scenario
- Table: Gold Supply, Demand, and Prices, Scenario

3. Macroeconomic Outlook
- Chart: Real Gross Domestic Product
- Table: The Economy
- Chart: Real Gross Domestic Product in Select Advanced Economies
- Chart: Real Gross Domestic Product in BRIC Countries
- Chart: Trade-Weighted U.S. Dollar Index
- Chart: Global Debt Stock
- Table: Gross Domestic Product

4. Investment Demand
- Chart: Investment Demand’s Effect on Gold Prices
- Table: Factors Determining Investment Demand For Gold
- Chart: Returns on Gold and Real Interest Rates
- Chart: Median Returns on Gold in Different Real Interest Rate Environments
- Chart: Gold and U.S. Inflation
- Chart: OECD M1 and M3
- Chart: M1 Money Supply and U.S. Inflation
- Chart: MZM Money Supply and U.S. Inflation
- Chart: Global Financial Assets
- Chart: Gold as a Percentage of Global Financial Assets
- Chart: Official Gold Coin Fabrication
- Chart: Monthly U.S. Mint Gold Coin Sales to Dealers
- Chart: Net Positions of Large Non-Commercials and Gold Prices
- Chart: Gross Long and Short Positions of Non-Commercial Market Participants
- Chart: Exchange Traded Funds’ Physical Gold Holdings
- Chart: Net Additions to Combined Gold ETF Holdings
- Chart: Annual U.S. Mint Gold Coin Sales To Dealers
- Chart: Dealer Premia on U.S. Mint Gold Coins
- Chart: Monthly Changes in ETP Gold Holdings and Percent Change in gold Prices
- Table: Long-Term Correlation

5. Official Transactions
- Chart: Official Transactions, Main Scenario
- Chart: Reported Chinese Central Bank Gold Reserves
- Chart: CPM Group Estimates Of Chinese Central Bank Gold Additions
- Chart: Major Central Bank’s Share in Gross Annual Gold Purchases, 2008-2014

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown