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Indian Passenger Vehicles Market, Forecast to 2020

  • ID: 4458883
  • Report
  • January 2018
  • Region: India
  • 97 Pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
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  • Ford
  • Honda
  • Hyundai
  • Maruti Suzuki
  • Renault
  • MORE

Driven by aggressive pricing and an increasing number of exports, passenger vehicle (PV) production in India is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.0% from FY2015 to FY2020. New models—like Hyundai Xcent, Hyundai Creta, and Maruti Baleno launched at aggressive pricing in different segments are responsible for driving the Indian PV market. Also, the launch of entry-level sedans and entry-level SUVs by major global OEMs like Honda, Hyundai, Ford, and Renault has made it more convenient for buyers to select the most advanced vehicles at lower costs, thereby increasing business margins.

Rapid fluctuations in fuel prices and growth of public transport are expected to restrain the Indian PV market growth in the future. With the narrowing price difference between gasoline and diesel variant vehicles and newer technologies being introduced in gasoline engines, the share of diesel vehicles is likely to decline in the near future. The overall inflation remains high due to a persistent rise in fuel prices and this is expected to continue for the next few months or a year.

The used car market in India is set to grow at a CAGR of 11% from 3.45 million units in 2016 to 5.8 million units in 2021. The organized sector is expected to reach a market share of 25% in 2021 from 20% in 2016 due to the shift in focus where customers will be more likely to pay more to get reliable cars at a reasonable price than go for the cheapest, yet unreliable deals. Customers are increasingly using the online channel because they want to be better informed before making a decision. This also connects them to a seller at a quicker pace. The effect of this increasing use of the online players is such that around 10% to 20% of sales for unorganized dealers are currently completed with the help of online platforms.

Despite Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of (Hybrid &) Electric Vehicles (FAME) incentives and the introduction of the Corporate Average Fuel Efficiency (CAFÉ) norm, the share of electric vehicles (EVs) and full hybrid electric vehicle (FHEV) is expected to remain low at around 1% to 2% even by 2020. The primary reason for this will be the sluggish infrastructure and possible high cost of batteries. Another reason is that average displacement of Indian engines is relatively low and they are typically fuel efficient, capable of achieving fuel efficiency with an expanded proportion of mild hybrid vehicles.

The aftermarket in India is currently unregulated for both parts and services. Because there is no mandatory standard for products sold in the aftermarket, the production and import of counterfeit products cannot be checked—a huge challenge. In parts manufacturing, the unorganized sector does not adhere to government stipulations and poses a significant threat to the organized sector due to price competitiveness.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
2 of 3


  • Ford
  • Honda
  • Hyundai
  • Maruti Suzuki
  • Renault
  • MORE

1. Executive Summary

  • Executive Summary-Key Findings
  • Executive Summary-Market Engineering Measurements
  • Executive Summary-PV Market Forecast
  • Executive Summary-Snapshot of Indian Manufacturing Segments

2. Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology

  • Research Scope
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Research Background
  • Research Methodology
  • Key OEMs or Participant Groups Compared in this Study

3. Definitions and Segmentation

  •  Passenger Vehicle Segment Categorization

4. Mega Trends Impacting Indian Automotive Market

  • Five Main Trends in Urbanization
  • India Urbanization Rate
  • Smart City Investment
  • Indian Infrastructure-Estimated Trillion Dollar Investment
  • India GDP Projections-India Needs to Grow 10% Per Annum
  • The Middle Bulge
  • Working Age Demographic Dividend
  • Aging India
  • Make in India-Insights Behind the Initiative
  • Snapshot of Indian Manufacturing Segments
  • Key Policy Announcements-Doing Business In India

5. Indian Passenger Vehicles Market

  • Passenger Vehicles-Past Trends
  • Segment-wise Market Share-Domestic Sales FY2016
  • OEM-wise Share-Production, Domestic Sales, and Exports FY 2016
  • India’s Growth Outperformance Factors
  • Passenger Vehicles Market-Major Trends
  • Major Investments and Developments in the Indian PV Market

6. Market Drivers and Restraints

  • Market Drivers
  • Drivers Explained
  • Market Restraints
  • Restraints Explained

7. Indian Passenger Vehicles Market Forecast

  • Market Engineering Measurements
  • Passenger Vehicles-Market Forecast
  • Opportunity Pyramid FY2016
  • Opportunity Pyramid FY2020
  • Gasoline Diesel Equation in India Market

8. Legislative and Technological Trends in the Indian Passenger Vehicles Market

  • Evolution of Bharat Stage VI Norms in India
  • BS IV to BS VI Transformation-Reduction in Emission Caps
  • Euro V and Euro VI Compliance-Technology Solutions
  • Impact of GST on Indian Automotive Industry
  • Global Development of Active Safety Regulations and Ratings
  • Bharat New Vehicle Safety Assessment Program (BNVSAP)

9. Pre-owned Car Market

  • Region-wise Model and Brand Preferences
  • Key Global Used Car Markets
  • Online Selling Platform-Business Model
  • Used Car Price Analysis-Price Range vs Share

10. Passenger Vehicles Distribution/Channel Analysis

  • PV Sales Showroom of Major OEMs
  • Typical Revenue Streams in a Passenger Vehicle Dealership in India
  • Snapshots of New Formats of Auto Retail in India

11. Auto Components Sourcing and Exports-India

  • Indian Auto Components Industry Overview
  • Aftermarket Auto Components Imports, FY2016
  • PV Component Potential
  • Current Trends in Auto Component Distribution and Retail
  • Current and Emerging Distribution Hubs
  • Top Reasons OEMs Choose India as Component Sourcing Base

12. Conclusions and Future Outlook

  • Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
  • The Last Word-3 Big Predictions
  • Legal Disclaimer

13. Appendix
List of Exhibits

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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4 of 3
  • Honda
  • Hyundai
  • Ford
  • Renault
  • Maruti Suzuki
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown