The military training aircraft market was valued at USD 4.9 billion in 2021, and it is projected to register a CAGR of over 3% during the forecast period (2022 - 2031).
The impact of COVID-19 on the overall market revenues was low as there was no downturn in the military training demand even during the pandemic. Global militaries are now focusing on maintaining smaller but capable aircraft fleets, which is propelling them to buy newer generation aircraft with advanced features and sophisticated cockpits. This factor is generating demand for pilot training on the newer aircraft interfaces, thereby driving the procurement of the respective trainer variants.
On the other hand, the high cost involved in the development of advanced trainer aircraft may challenge the growth of the players involved in these projects, while the adoption of basic trainer aircraft may be challenged by their lack of capability to provide air support to conventional aircraft when needed.
Furthermore, simulation-based training technologies have achieved a level of sophistication that can train pilots in complex warfare scenarios. Although they can complement the current training aircraft and reduce the need to train on the aircraft platforms, they cannot wholly substitute the use of trainer aircraft, at least during the forecast period.
Key Market Trends
The Fixed-wing Aircraft Segment Accounted for the Largest Market Share by Revenue in 2021
Currently, the fixed-wing aircraft segment has the highest share by revenue. The increasing number of developments in terms of fixed-wing military trainer aircraft and the increasing number of trainer programs may lead to the segment's growth. The introduction of various new fighter aircraft by manufacturers globally may lead to countries requiring trainer aircraft to train their pilots. In November 2021, Airbus unveiled a new Advanced Fighter Jet Trainer for the Spanish Air Force, which will replace the F-5 advanced training aircraft fleet currently in service. The future trainer aircraft are anticipated to provide pilot training for the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) and New Generation Fighter (NGF) programs. The Airbus Future Jet Trainer (AFJT) will provide trainer aircraft with advanced avionics that can simulate current and future complex scenarios. The deliveries of the aircraft are expected to begin by 2027. Similarly, in August 2021, India’s state-owned aerospace and defense firm Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) announced that its Hindustan Turbo Trainer-40 (HTT-40) aircraft completed spin certification flight testing. Earlier, in February 2021, HAL received an RFP from the Indian Air Force (IAF) to procure 70 HTT-40 basic trainer aircraft. The RFP includes an option for the IAF to procure 38 additional trainers. In addition, India is in the line to conduct the first flight for its homegrown HTT 40 basic trainer aircraft. After its testing operations, the prototype aircraft may be used for the first-stage training of all flying cadets. Currently, India relies on the Pilatus PC7 MK2 trainer, which was purchased after the grounding of the older fleet of HPT 32 trainers. The introduction of the new trainer aircraft in the Indian Air Force will help the pilots get a better training experience. Thus, the upcoming developments are expected to increase the focus on this segment.
North America May Continue to Hold a Major Share in the Military Trainer Aircraft Market During the Forecast Period
Presently, North America is generating the highest revenue in the military trainer aircraft market. The North American region is witnessing significant developments related to military trainer aircraft. New technical solutions and the application of modern technologies have led to the introduction of various combat aircraft configurations, with a significant improvement in reliability, flight performance, and operational performance through the creation of new features that enhance the ability to integrate sensors and process the information. The United States is involved in the development of new, hi-tech fighter jets, and it is currently planning to replace the aging trainer aircraft and procure a newer generation of trainer aircraft to train the pilots. One of the main acquisition programs for the new jet trainers for the US Air Force is the T-X program, which is a development and acquisition program for a new two-seat jet trainer to replace the Northrop T-38 Talon. The US Air Force selected the Boeing/Saab T-X entry (later named the T-7 Red Hawk) to become its trainer aircraft. The Air Force's initial plan is to purchase 351 T-7s with an option to purchase up to 475. In addition to the T-X program, the Air Force is considering a new trainer aircraft, the Advanced Tactical Trainer, intended to emulate 4th and 5th generation fighter jets and better provide combat training to the service’s newest fighter pilots. The increasing number of deliveries of fighter aircraft is likely to lead to the US procuring more trainer aircraft. In 2020, the US Navy launched its Undergraduate Jet Training System (UJTS) program to replace the T-45C Goshawk currently used by the US naval student pilots. The procurement of such trainer aircraft will propel the growth of the military training aircraft in North America during the forecast period.
Textron Inc., Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd, Pilatus Aircraft Ltd, BAE Systems PLC, and Leonardo SpA are the prominent players in the market. Various initiatives and product innovations are being undertaken by various companies, helping them strengthen their presence in the market. Boeing is expected to become the largest shareholder in the market once it starts delivering its advanced trainer jet aircraft, the T-7A Red Hawk, whose contract from the United States alone is worth USD 9.2 billion, with planned procurement of at least 350 units in the next 15-20 years. TAI’s Hurjet and Rostec’s Sukhoi light jet models that are being pitched favorably in the Middle-East, Central Europe, and African countries may play a key role in the market as their success in these regions can promote their demand across smaller Asian countries and in Latin America, which is currently dominated by light attack aircraft of the 70s and 80s and used aircraft received from allies like the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Israel, India, Singapore, and Australia. Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI)’s Hurjet trainer/light attack aircraft is anticipated to replace the Northrop T-38 Talon currently in service for the trainer role. The first flight of the aircraft is expected to be completed by late 2022. The development of such new aircraft is anticipated to support the growth of the companies in the coming years.
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1.2 Scope of the Study
1.3 Currency Conversion Rates for USD
3.2 Market Share by Aircraft Type, 2021
3.3 Market Share by Geography, 2021
3.4 Structure of the Market and Key Participants
4.2 Market Drivers
4.3 Market Restraints
4.4 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
4.4.1 Threat of New Entrants
4.4.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
4.4.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.4.4 Threat of Substitute Products
4.4.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
5.1.1 Fixed-wing Aircraft
184.108.40.206 Basic Jet Trainers
220.127.116.11 Intermediate Jet Trainers
18.104.22.168 Advanced Jet Trainers
5.2.1 North America
22.214.171.124 United States
126.96.36.199 United Kingdom
188.8.131.52 Rest of Europe
184.108.40.206 Rest of Asia-Pacific
5.2.4 Latin America
220.127.116.11 Rest of Latin America
5.2.5 Middle-East and Africa
18.104.22.168 United Arab Emirates
22.214.171.124 Saudi Arabia
126.96.36.199 South Africa
188.8.131.52 Rest of Middle-East and Africa
6.2 Company Profiles
6.2.2 Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd
6.2.3 Diamond Aircraft Industries
6.2.4 Embraer SA
6.2.5 Northrop Grumman Corporation
6.2.6 The Boeing Company
6.2.7 BAE Systems PLC
6.2.8 Pilatus Aircraft Ltd
6.2.9 Textron Inc.
6.2.10 Leonardo SpA
6.2.11 Lockheed Martin Corporation
6.2.12 Calidus LLC
A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes:
- Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd
- Diamond Aircraft Industries
- Embraer SA
- Northrop Grumman Corporation
- The Boeing Company
- BAE Systems PLC
- Pilatus Aircraft Ltd
- Textron Inc.
- Leonardo SpA
- Lockheed Martin Corporation
- Calidus LLC