Construction in Bulgaria - Key Trends & Opportunities to 2022

  • ID: 4564134
  • Report
  • Region: Bulgaria
  • 41 pages
  • Timetric
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Construction in Bulgaria - Key Trends & Opportunities to 2022

Summary:

Construction in Bulgaria - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022 report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Bulgarian construction industry, including -
  • The Bulgarian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Bulgarian construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Synopsis:

In real terms, the Bulgarian construction industry recovered in 2017, after registering a lackluster performance in 2016. This recovery was driven by positive developments in regional economic conditions, a revival in both investor and consumer confidence and government investment in transport infrastructure. Consequently, the country’s construction industry registered a growth of 5.9% in 2017 in real terms.

Over the forecast period (2018-2022), the government’s efforts to enhance transport infrastructure will support the growth of the industry. Financial assistance from the European Union (EU) for infrastructure development is expected to support industry growth. Under the European Structural and Investment Funds for 2014-2020, the EU is investing BGN19.3 billion (US$10.9 billion) until 2020 to develop the transport, industrial, energy and healthcare sectors. Moreover, an increase in the number of new building permits issued is also expected to support new construction activity over the forecast period.

The industry’s output value in real terms is expected to rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.29% over the forecast period, compared to -0.17% during the review period.

Key Highlights:

The research expects the infrastructure construction market to retain its leading position over the forecast period, with a share of 33.9% of the industry’s total value in 2022. In December 2017, the Sofia Municipality announced a plan to invest BGN103.0 million (US$59.4 million) in transport infrastructure in 2018. Of the total planned investment, BGN37.0 million (US$21.3 million) will be spent on the tramway track.

According to the Ministry of Transport, Information Technology and Communications, in order to develop the country’s transport infrastructure, BGN4.4 billion (US$2.5 billion) will be invested under the Operational Program for Transport and Transport Infrastructure and BGN406.0 million (US$234.1 million) under the Connecting Europe Facility (CEF) by 2020.

The research expects the residential construction market output to record a forecast-period CAGR of 9.41% in nominal terms, supported by improving economic conditions, the low unemployment rate and rising consumer confidence. Moreover, an increase in the number of new building permits issued is also expected to support new construction activity over the forecast period. According to the NSI, the total number of new building permits issued for residential construction in the country increased by 23.2%, going from 4,514 in 2016 to 5,562 in 2017.

In the 2018 budget, the government increased its expenditure on the education sector by 12.8%, going from BGN3.4 billion (US$1.9 billion) in 2017 to BGN3.8 billion (US$2.2 billion) in 2018. Furthermore, the government’s 2018 budget spending on healthcare increased by 10.3%, going from BGN4.2 billion (US$2.4 billion) in 2017 to BGN4.7 billion (US$2.7 billion) in 2018. This will support construction activity in the institutional construction market over the forecast period.

The total construction project pipeline in Bulgaria, as tracked by the Construction Intelligence Center (CIC) and including all mega projects with a value above US$25 million, stands at BGN58.5 billion (US$33.7 billion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is well balanced, with 49.3% of the pipeline value being in projects in the pre-planning and planning stages as of May 2018.

Scope:

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Bulgaria. It provides -
  • Historical (2013-2017) and forecast (2018-2022) valuations of the construction industry in Bulgaria, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants.
Reasons for Purchase:
  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using the researcher's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.
  • Formulate and validate strategy using the researcher's critical and actionable insight.
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.
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1. Executive Summary

2 Construction Outlook: At-a-glance

3 Latest News and Indicators

4 Key Drivers and Risks
4.1 Economic Performance
4.2 Political Environment
4.3 Demographics

5 Construction Outlook
5.1 All Construction
5.1.1 Outlook
5.1.2 Project analytics
5.2 Commercial Construction
5.2.1 Outlook
5.2.2 Project analytics
5.3 Industrial Construction
5.3.1 Outlook
5.3.2 Project analytics
5.4 Infrastructure Construction
5.4.1 Outlook
5.4.2 Project analytics
5.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
5.5.1 Outlook
5.5.2 Project analytics
5.6 Institutional Construction
5.6.1 Outlook
5.6.2 Project analytics
5.7 Residential Construction
5.7.1 Outlook
5.7.2 Project analytics

6 Key Industry Participants
6.1 Contractors
6.2 Consultants

7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 About the Publisher
7.4 About The Construction Intelligence Center
7.5 Disclaimer

List of Tables
Table 1: Bulgaria, Key Economic Indicators
Table 2: Bulgaria, Construction Output Value (nominal, BGN Million)
Table 3: Bulgaria, Construction Output Value (nominal, US$ Million)
Table 4: Bulgaria, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Bulgaria, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 6: Bulgaria, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Bulgaria, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 8: Bulgaria, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Bulgaria, Top Residential and Mixed-Use Construction Projects by Value
Table 10: Bulgaria, Key Contractors
Table 11: Bulgaria, Key Consultants
Table 12: Construction Market Definitions
Table 13: Construction Risk Index Ratings and Scores

List of Figures
Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix
Figure 2: Bulgaria, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (BGN Million)
Figure 3: Bulgaria, New Building Permits Issued (Total Numbers)
Figure 4: Bulgaria, House Prices Index
Figure 5: Bulgaria, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ billion, 2017 prices and exchange rate)
Figure 6: Bulgaria, Construction Output Value, Growth Matrix
Figure 7: Bulgaria, Construction Output Value, by Sector (BGN Million), 2013-2022
Figure 8: Bulgaria, Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BGN Million), 2017-2022
Figure 9: Bulgaria, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 10: Bulgaria, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (BGN Million), 2013-2022
Figure 11: Bulgaria, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 12: Bulgaria, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 13: Bulgaria, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (BGN Million), 2013-2022
Figure 14: Bulgaria, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 15: Bulgaria, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 16: Bulgaria, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (BGN Million), 2013-2022
Figure 17: Bulgaria, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 18: Bulgaria, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 19: Bulgaria, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (BGN Million), 2013-2022
Figure 20: Bulgaria, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 21: Bulgaria, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 22: Bulgaria, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (BGN Million), 2013-2022
Figure 23: Bulgaria, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 24: Bulgaria, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 25: Bulgaria, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (BGN Million), 2013-2022
Figure 26: Bulgaria, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 27: Bulgaria, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BGN Million)
Figure 28: Bulgaria, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 29: Bulgaria, Headquarters of Foreign Contractors (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Contractor)
Figure 30: Bulgaria, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 31: Bulgaria, Headquarters of Foreign Consultants (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Consultants)
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