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An Overview of European National Defence Strategies, 2018

  • ID: 4621313
  • Report
  • September 2018
  • Region: Europe
  • 163 Pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
The Emerging Threat Profiles, Defence Cooperation, Spending and Industry Evolution Shape the European Security Strategies

Europe’s economic recovery has been slow, countries are trying to reduce their national debt by reducing government spending , and this, in turn, has the potential to influence defence allocation .The economic situation of Cyprus, Italy, Greece, Spain, Portugal, and Ireland continues to be worrying and future bailouts to support these countries might put additional pressure on defence spending. Even against this background, emerging conventional and unconventional security threats and the pressure from NATO and the US to meet the spending commitments might be sufficient to see a considerable defence spending growth in the future. The exit of the UK might result in higher defence spending to conduct operations more independently.

The increased tempo of air policing measures carried out by European air forces and the need to maintain high availability of the combat aircraft fleet might result in the military aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul business grow in the coming years. With newer and more advanced threats appearing from rival nations such as Russia and China, more funds might be invested in larger European nations into newer capabilities. Central European countries will build their air forces around the purchase/lease of aircraft. Larger countries and Central European countries will look to bolster their air defence equipment, both tactical and missile defence systems, to counter Russian missile deployments.

The ground deployments by NATO in the Eastern Flank of Europe would require high-readiness armour and mechanised and artillery forces. Larger countries might invest in a small number of new tanks and artillery. While inducting new infantry fighting vehicles and wheeled personnel carriers, vehicles in storage might be put back into service along with upgrades to existing vehicles, which might create opportunities for repair and upgrades. Central European countries primarily aim at upgrading existing vehicles and adding new wheeled armoured vehicles and procuring used self-propelled howitzers.

The cyber and perception warfare might require upgrading cyber defence tools, cyber intelligence gathering, infrastructure, and training. The use of chemical weapons in conflicts in Syria and by ISIL might convince European nations to upgrade their CBRN capabilities; this might open up business avenues in NBC suites, new vehicles, or upgrades to existing vehicles with enhanced NBC reconnaissance capabilities. Larger European nations invest in configurable multi-mission ships for anti-air, anti-submarine , anti-surface warfare. Maritime patrol might be improved through upgrades to the P-3 and Atlantique fleets and procurement of smaller aircraft. The refugee crisis has highlighted the need for enhanced search and rescue and patrol capabilities. Smaller European nations might invest in patrol vessels to replace older vessels.

Key Issues Addressed

  • What are the drivers for defence spending in Europe and how are they impacting European spending priorities?
  • How much do European countries spend on defence-current defence budgets, budget pressures, and spending priorities?
  • How are defence forces structured and what are their key procurement and modernisation programmes?
  • What are the future scenarios that could unfold in the next ten years and how will they impact defence budgets and prioritisation?
  • How will the offerings of defence contractors need to evolve for them to compete?
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1. Executive Summary

  • Key Findings
  • Study Scope
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer

2. Introduction

  • An Overview of the European Security Scenario
  • European Geopolitical Scenario-Threats
  • European Defence Spending
  • European Security Strategy
  • European Defence Cooperation Frameworks
  • EU and NATO Members-2018
  • Operational Priorities for Cooperation
  • EU Common Security and Defence Strategy
  • European Bilateral and Multilateral Defence Cooperation Agreements
  • PESCO Capability Enhancement
  • Future European Strategy and Capability Enhancement
  • NATO and US Ground Deployments in the European Eastern Flank
  • NATO Engagement in Europe
  • US Policy Towards Europe
  • Future of US and NATO Role in Europe

3. Growth Opportunities and Companies To Action

  • Growth Opportunity 1-Simulated Training and Automated Logistics Management
  • Growth Opportunity 2-Compressing the Sensor to Shooter Loop
  • Growth Opportunity 3-Performance Based Logistics
  • Growth Opportunity 4-Europeanization of the Defence Industry
  • Growth Opportunity 5-ISR as a Service
  • Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

4. Europe-National Defence Strategies

  • United Kingdom-Strategic Context
  • The UK-Defence Structure
  • The UK-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • France-Strategic Context
  • France-Defence Structure
  • France-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Germany-Strategic Context
  • Germany-Defence Structure
  • Germany-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Poland-Strategic Context
  • Poland-Defence Structure
  • Poland-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Sweden-Strategic Context
  • Sweden-Defence Structure
  • Sweden-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Turkey-Strategic Context
  • Turkey-Defence Structure
  • Turkey-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Austria-Strategic Context
  • Austria-Defence Structure
  • Austria-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Switzerland-Strategic Context
  • Switzerland-Defence Structure
  • Switzerland-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Spain-Strategic Context
  • Spain-Defence Structure
  • Spain-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Bulgaria-Strategic Context
  • Bulgaria-Defence Structure
  • Bulgaria-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Finland-Strategic Context
  • Finland-Defence Structure
  • Finland-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Croatia-Strategic Context
  • Croatia-Defence Structure
  • Croatia-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • The Czech Republic-Strategic Context
  • The Czech Republic-Defence Structure
  • The Czech Republic-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Slovenia-Strategic Context
  • Slovenia-Defence Structure
  • Slovenia Republic-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Slovakia-Strategic Context
  • Slovakia-Defence Structure
  • Slovakia-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Serbia-Strategic Context
  • Serbia-Defence Structure
  • Serbia-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Denmark-Strategic Context
  • Denmark-Defence Structure
  • Denmark-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Belgium-Strategic Context
  • Belgium-Defence Structure
  • Belgium-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Italy-Strategic Context
  • Italy-Defence Structure
  • Italy-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Ireland-Strategic Context
  • Ireland-Defence Structure
  • Ireland-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Georgia-Strategic Context
  • Georgia-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Greece-Strategic Context
  • Greece-Defence Structure
  • Greece-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Romania-Strategic Context
  • Romania-Defence Structure
  • Romania-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Hungary-Strategic Context
  • Hungary-Defence Structure
  • Hungary-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Portugal-Strategic Context
  • Portugal-Defence Structure
  • Portugal-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Norway-Strategic Context
  • Norway-Defence Structure
  • Norway-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • The Netherlands-Strategic Context
  • The Netherlands-Defence Structure
  • The Netherlands-Defence Industrial Base and Opportunities
  • Estonia-Strategic Context
  • Estonia-Defence Structure and Opportunities
  • Latvia-Strategic Context
  • Latvia-Defence Structure and Opportunities
  • Lithuania-Strategic Context
  • Lithuania-Defence Structure and Opportunities
  • Cyprus-Strategic Context
  • Cyprus-Defence Structure and Opportunities
  • Malta-Strategic Context
  • Malta-Defence Structure and Opportunities
  • Albania-Strategic Context
  • Albania-Defence Structure and Opportunities
  • Montenegro-Strategic Context
  • Montenegro-Defence Structure and Opportunities
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina-Strategic Context
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina-Defence Structure and Opportunities
  • Macedonia-Strategic Context
  • Macedonia-Defence Structure and Opportunities
  • Kosovo-Strategic Context
  • Kosovo-Defence Structure and Opportunities

5. Conclusion

  • Legal Disclaimer

6. Appendix

  • Abbreviations
  • List of Exhibits
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  • Albania
  • Belgium
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Cyprus
  • Denmark
  • Estonia
  • Finland
  • France
  • Georgia
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Hungary
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Kosovo
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Macedonia
  • Malta
  • Montenegro
  • Norway
  • Poland
  • Portugal
  • Romania
  • Serbia
  • Slovenia Republic
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Switzerland
  • The Czech Republic
  • The Netherlands
  • The UK
  • Turkey
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