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Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD): Opportunity Analysis and Forecasts to 2028

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    Report

  • 114 Pages
  • June 2019
  • Region: Global
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 4845363
Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD): Opportunity Analysis and Forecasts to 2028

Summary

Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) is a psychiatric disorder that can occur in people who have experienced or witnessed a traumatic event such as a natural disaster, a serious accident, a terrorist act, war/combat, rape, or other violent personal assault. Symptoms include “re-experiencing” distressing memories, hypervigilance, avoidant behaviors, sweating, tremors, and dissociation.

The total Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) market was estimated to be worth US$211.4m across the seven major markets (7MM - US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK and Japan) in 2018. This is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.7% to reach US$1.2bn by 2028. Lack of efficacy is the most pressing unmet need in the Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) market and there have been no approved products to treat the disorder since 2001.

However, two drug candidates in the Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) pipeline that are expected to launch in the seven major markets (7MM - US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK and Japan) by 2022 are set to revolutionize the treatment of the disorder, as evidenced by promising results in clinical trials. Zoloft and Paxil, currently the only two approved products in the seven major markets (7MM - US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK and Japan) for Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD), are antidepressants of the selective-serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) class. The fact that Zoloft and Paxil work via the same mechanism of action means that they have the same unpleasant side effects as well as boxed warnings for impulsiveness and suicidal behaviors.

Brexpiprazole, an atypical antipsychotic approved for the treatment of major depressive disorder and schizophrenia, is in the pipeline for Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) and has shown efficacy when administered as an adjunct to Zoloft. The well-established safety profile and low frequency of adverse effects puts brexpiprazole in good stead to become the highest selling drug in the market, with forecasted annual sales of US$361.7m by 2028.

MDMA is a stimulant and late-stage pipeline product which was given breakthrough designation by the FDA, despite being a widely abused recreational drug. Its superior efficacy to marketed therapies and low frequency of administration are likely to be viewed favorably by physicians and patients alike. It is expected that in its first year on the market, MDMA is set to acquire a large patient share in the US as the first new drug for chronic Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) to be approved in 18 years. Brexpiprazole and MDMA are set to make up 47% of drug sales in 2022 and this figure will climb to 59% in 2028.

This potential for high sales whilst addressing the longstanding clinical unmet needs for the indication is clear assurance of the increasing efforts to add Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) to the list of psychiatric disorders that will experience market growth in the coming years and beyond.

The report “Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD): Opportunity Analysis and Forecasts to 2028” provides an overview of Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD), including epidemiology, etiology, pathophysiology, symptoms, diagnosis, and disease management. Key topics covered include strategic competitor assessment, market characterization, unmet needs, clinical trial mapping and implications for the Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) therapeutics market

Key Questions Answered
  • What were the key Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) treatments in 2018?
  • When will the late stage pipeline products launch, and how will it affect drug sales and the overall Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) market in the seven major markets (7MM - US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK and Japan)?
  • Which unmet needs will remain unaddressed in the forecast period and what opportunities remain for pharmaceutical companies?

Scope
  • Overview of PTSD, including epidemiology, etiology, pathophysiology, symptoms, diagnosis, and disease management.
  • Annualized PTSD therapeutics market revenue, cost of therapy per patient, and treatment usage patterns in three patient segments (acute, chronic and delayed-onset) forecast from 2018 to 2028.
  • Key topics covered include strategic competitor assessment, market characterization, unmet needs, clinical trial mapping and implications for the PTSD therapeutics market
  • Pipeline analysis: comprehensive data assessing emerging trends and mechanisms of action under development for PTSD therapy. The most promising candidates in Phase III development are profiled.
  • Analysis of the current and future market competition in the global PTSD therapeutics market. Insightful review of the key industry drivers, restraints and challenges. Each trend is independently researched to provide qualitative analysis of its implications.

Reasons to Buy

The report will enable you to -
  • Develop and design your in-licensing and out-licensing strategies through a review of pipeline products and technologies, and by identifying the companies with the most robust pipeline.
  • Develop business strategies by understanding the trends shaping and driving the global PTSD therapeutics market.
  • Drive revenues by understanding the key trends, innovative products and technologies, market segments, and companies likely to impact the global PTSD therapeutics market in the future.
  • Formulate effective sales and marketing strategies by understanding the competitive landscape and by analysing the performance of various competitors.
  • Identify emerging players with potentially strong product portfolios and create effective counter-strategies to gain a competitive advantage.
  • Organize your sales and marketing efforts by identifying the market categories and segments that present maximum opportunities for consolidations, investments and strategic partnerships.

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents
2 PTSD: Executive Summary
2.1 Double-Digit Growth Expected in PTSD Market from 2018-2028
2.2 Focus Is on Label Expansion, Comorbidities, and Novel Mechanisms of Action in PTSD Pipeline
2.3 Lack of Efficacious Pharmacotherapeutic Options Is a Major Unmet Need
2.4 Brexpiprazole and Midomafetamine to Be Top-Selling Drugs in 2028
2.5 What Do Physicians Think?
3 Introduction
3.1 Catalyst
3.2 Related Reports
4 Disease Overview
4.1 Etiology and Pathophysiology
4.1.1 Etiology
4.1.2 Pathophysiology
4.2 Classification or Staging Systems
5 Epidemiology
5.1 Disease Background
5.2 Risk Factors and Comorbidities
5.3 Global and Historical Trends
5.4 Forecast Methodology
5.4.1 Sources Used
5.4.2 Forecast Assumptions and Methods
5.5 Epidemiological Forecast for PTSD (2018-2028)
5.5.1 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of PTSD
5.5.2 Age-Specific 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of PTSD
5.5.3 Sex-Specific 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of PTSD
5.5.4 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of PTSD by Onset of Disease
5.6 Discussion
5.6.1 Epidemiological Forecast Insight
5.6.2 Limitations of Analysis
5.6.3 Strengths of Analysis
6 Current Treatment Options
6.1 Overview
6.2 Psychotherapy
7 Unmet Needs and Opportunity Assessment
7.1 Overview
7.2 Improved Efficacy of Available Treatments
7.3 Improving Side-Effect Profiles and Patient Compliance
7.4 Increased Access to Treatment for Vulnerable Populations
7.5 Clearer Diagnostic Guidelines
8 R&D Strategies
8.1 Overview
8.1.1 Repurposing Atypical Antipsychotics and Other Marketed Drugs
8.1.2 Drug Candidates with Novel Mechanisms of Action
8.1.3 Targeting Key Comorbidities of PTSD
8.2 Clinical Trials Design
8.2.1 The Preference for Straightforward Treatment Regimens
8.2.2 The Interplay of Psychotherapeutic and Pharmacotherapeutic Strategies
8.2.3 Studying Off-Label Therapeutics to Generate Reliable Clinical Data
9 Pipeline Assessment
9.1 Overview
9.2 Innovative Early-Stage Approaches
9.3 Other Drugs in Development
10 Pipeline Valuation Analysis
10.1 Clinical Benchmark of Key Pipeline Drugs
10.2 Commercial Benchmark of Key Pipeline Drugs
10.3 Competitive Assessment
10.4 Top-Line 10-Year Forecast
10.4.1 US
10.4.2 5EU
10.4.3 Japan
11 Appendix
11.1 Bibliography
11.2 Abbreviations
11.3 Methodology
11.3.1 Forecasting Methodology
11.3.2 Diagnosed Patients
11.3.3 Percent Drug-Treated Patients
11.3.4 Drugs Included in Each Therapeutic Class
11.3.5 Launch and Patent Expiry Dates
11.3.6 General Pricing Assumptions
11.3.7 Individual Drug Assumptions
11.3.8 Generic Erosion
11.3.9 Pricing of Pipeline Agents
11.4 Primary Research - KOLs Interviewed for This Report
11.4.1 KOLs
11.5 Primary Research - Prescriber Survey
11.6 About the Authors
11.6.1 Analyst
11.6.2 Therapy Area Director
11.6.3 Epidemiologist
11.6.4 Reviewers
11.6.5 Global Director of Therapy Analysis and Epidemiology
11.6.6 Global Head and EVP of Healthcare Operations and Strategy
11.7 About the Author
11.8 Contact Us
11.9 Disclaimer
List of Tables
Table 1: Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder: Key Metrics in the 7MM
Table 2: Overview of PTSD symptoms included in DSM-5
Table 3: Risk Factors and Comorbid Conditions Associated with PTSD
Table 4: Off-Label Drugs for PTSD in the 7MM
Table 5: Treatment Guidelines for PTSD
Table 6: Approved Treatments for PTSD, 2019
Table 7: Comparison of Therapeutic Classes in Development for PTSD, 2018-2028
Table 8: Innovative Early-Stage Approaches for PTSD, 2019
Table 9: Drugs in Development for PTSD, 2019
Table 10: Clinical Benchmark of Key Pipeline Drugs - PTSD
Table 11: Commercial Benchmark of Key Pipeline Drugs - PTSD
Table 12: Key Events Impacting Global Sales for PTSD, 2018-2028
Table 13: PTSD Market - Global Drivers and Barriers, 2018-2028
Table 14: Key Historical and Projected Launch Dates for PTSD
Table 15: High-Prescribing Physicians (non-KOLs) Surveyed, By Country
List of Figures
Figure 1: Global Sales Forecast by Country for PTSD in 2018 and 2028
Figure 2: Competitive Assessment of the Marketed and Pipeline Drugs Benchmarked Against the SOC, Zoloft
Figure 3: Fight-or-Flight Response Overview and Pathophysiological Aspects of PTSD
Figure 4: 7MM, 12-Month Total Prevalence of PTSD (%), Men and Women, Ages =18 Years, 2018
Figure 5: 7MM, Sources Used and Not Used to Forecast the 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of PTSD
Figure 6: 7MM, Sources Used to Forecast the 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of PTSD by Onset of Disease
Figure 7: 7MM, 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of PTSD, Both Sexes, Ages =18 Years, 2018
Figure 8: 7MM, Age-Specific 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of PTSD, Both Sexes, Ages =18 Years, 2018
Figure 9: 7MM, Sex-Specific 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of PTSD, Ages =18 Years, 2018
Figure 10: 7MM, 12-Month Total Prevalent Cases of PTSD by Onset of Disease, Both Sexes, Ages =18 Years, 2018
Figure 11: Unmet Needs and Opportunities in PTSD
Figure 12: Overview of the Development Pipeline in PTSD
Figure 13: Key Phase II/III Trials for the Promising Pipeline Agents that GlobalData Expects to Be Licensed for PTSD in the 7MM During the Forecast Period
Figure 14: Competitive Assessment of the Marketed and Pipeline PTSD Drugs Benchmarked Against the SOC, Zoloft
Figure 15: Global (7MM) Sales Forecast by Country for PTSD in 2018 and 2028
Figure 16: Global Sales Forecast by Brand for PTSD in 2018 and 2028
Figure 17: Sales Forecast by Brand for PTSD in the US in 2018 and 2028
Figure 18: Sales Forecast by Brand for PTSD in the 5EU Markets in 2018 and 2028
Figure 19: Sales Forecast by Brand for PTSD in Japan in 2018 and 2028

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • Pfizer
  • GSK
  • Tonix Pharmaceuticals
  • Seelos Therapeutics
  • Multidisciplinary Association for Psychedelic Studies
  • Bionomics
  • Otsuka
  • NeuroRx
  • Catalyst Pharmaceuticals
  • SpringWorks Therapeutics