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Opportunity Analysis on Russian Rail Market, Forecast to 2026

  • Report

  • 92 Pages
  • March 2020
  • Region: Russia
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • ID: 5008859

Electrifying Infrastructure and Expanding Rail Lines Represent $84 Billion in Project Spend for the Passenger and Freight Rolling Stock Ecosystems

Russia is expected to invest approximately $84 billion in railway projects by 2026 as the rail market undergoes major developments with several projects planned. This research looks at the key areas of fleet renewal in the passenger (locomotives, multiple units, coaches) and freight (locomotives, wagons) rail segments, high-speed rail (HSR) projects, infrastructure development, digitization of rolling stock and railway infrastructure, as well as upgradation of signaling and train control systems.

With the expected increase in freight volumes over the coming decade, Russia’s existing infrastructure and rail network have insufficient capacities and capabilities to handle the growing traffic. Expansion of railway networks, increasing freight rail rolling stock, and improving connectivity to make freight movement more efficient are the top priorities for projects in this segment.

The passenger segment is expected to see vast expansion in high-speed rail network and new high-speed rolling stock that will reach speeds up to 400 kph. High-speed rail projects are planned to have connectivity of 700 km on average, with some projects looking to link regions of Asia Pacific. New electric multiple unit (EMU) deliveries and electrification of passenger railway infrastructure are also expected to see significant increase in demand in the next 5 to 10 years across the region.

The improved connectivity in passenger rail services will reap greater returns once implemented, when the problem of last-mile connectivity for passengers is resolved. To address this issue, opportunities exist for transit authorities to make arrangements in last-mile connectivity via shared mobility providers and automated people movers (APMs). These new mobility solution providers are expected to collaborate with Russian transit agencies to cater to commuters’ last-mile needs.

Research Scope

The base year of this research is 2018 and forecasts end in 2026. The Russian rail market is segmented into freight rail and passenger rail. All major planned projects in Russia’s rail market are listed out, along with the go-to companies in the region. The study highlights regional trends impacting the rail sector and includes strategic initiatives that will help rail market participants partake in the huge growth opportunity in the region. Other research areas covered are investments allocated; potential growth in market size; forecasts of rolling stock in mainline, urban, and freight rail; and growth in traffic volumes for both passenger and freight rail segments. The study lists relevant strategies for ascertaining a significant share of the market.

Key Issues Addressed


  • What is the current status of the Russian rail market?
  • What are the key focus areas for rail investments in Russia between 2019 and 2026?
  • Where are the new opportunities in infrastructure investment?        
  • What is the business environment of the Russian rail market? What are the market dynamics?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
  • Key Findings
  • Executive Summary - Overview of Rolling Stock in Russia
  • Installed Base of Rolling Stock by OEM


2. Research Scope, Objectives, and Background
  • Research Scope
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Research Background


3. Definitions and Segmentation
  • Russian Rail Rolling Stock Market Segmentation
  • Definitions of Rail Services
  • Definitions of Terms


4. Introduction - Russian Rail Market
  • Russian Mainline Rail Network
  • Climatic Conditions across Russia
  • Russian Urban Rail Network
  • Russian Rail Traffic Volumes
  • Comparison of Russia with Top Countries by Rail Network Size
  • Rail Infrastructure Utilization
  • Rail Freight by Commodity


5. Market Drivers and Restraints
  • Market Drivers
  • Drivers Explained
  • Market Restraints
  • Restraints Explained


6. Overview of Investments in Russian Rail Market
  • 2018 Russian Rail Investments
  • Russian Railways - Vision 2025
  • 2019 Investments and Allocations
  • 2025 Priority Projects
  • Russian HSR - Overview of Current and Future Rail Lines
  • Russian Railways’ Digital Transformation Strategy


7. Russian Rail Rolling Stock
  • Installed Base of Rolling Stock by OEM
  • Market Share by Rolling Stock Fleet: Russia and CIS
  • Installed Base of Railway Fleet - Russia Overview
  • Installed Base of Railway Fleet - CIS Overview
  • Age of Powered Rolling Stock Fleet - Russia


8. Forecast of Rolling Stock in Operation and New Deliveries
  • Forecast Scenario - Installed Base of Diesel Locomotives
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Diesel Locomotive Deliveries
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Electric Locomotives by Installed Base
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Electric Locomotive Deliveries
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Mainline Multiple Units by Installed Base
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Mainline Multiple Unit Deliveries
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Urban Rail Units by Installed Base
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Urban Rail Transit Deliveries
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Freight Wagons by Installed Base
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Freight Wagon Deliveries
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Passenger Coaches in Installed Base
  • Forecast Discussion
  • Forecast Scenario of Passenger Coach Deliveries
  • Forecast Discussion


9. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
  • Growth Opportunity 1 - Demand for Rolling Stock Supply, Infrastructure, and New Digital Capabilities
  • Growth Opportunity 2 - Geographic Expansion and Partnerships
  • Strategic Imperatives for Suppliers


10. The Last Word
  • The Last Word - Three Big Predictions
  • Legal Disclaimer


11. Appendix
  • Market Engineering Methodology
  • List of Exhibits