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5G 2020: What's Real? What's Smoke? What's Mirrors?

  • ID: 5011606
  • Report
  • February 2020
  • Region: Global
  • Information Gatekeepers Inc
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Apple
  • Ericsson
  • Huawei
  • Intel
  • Lg
  • Nokia
  • MORE

We read a great deal about 5G in the local papers and hear about it almost every night on TV news. Most of what we read and hear is, at best, confusing and, too often, misleading and downright wrong!

  • Carrier A claims to be the first in the country;
  • Carrier B claims to be the first in the country;
  • Carrier C claims the fastest service:
  • One carrier is suing another carrier for false advertising;
  • This company is barred from the US because of spying accusations;
  • We see claims for 5G, even at the Super Bowl;

Major carriers are talking, but not investing.

What’s going on?

So what is the truth? What exactly is 5G’s status? Who is really deploying and investing like they are talking? What developmental issues remain? Who is going to pay for this development and deployment?

This comprehensive report considers these issues and ultimately suggests the likely scenario for 5G deployment in this country. All based on the publisher's current viewpoint from about one year of deployment experience in the US. The report also describes and explains 5G from many perspectives, including objectives, frequency plans, architecture, and a discussion of the vendors involved in the various parts of 5G infrastructure - phones, radios, and chipsets.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
2 of 3

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Apple
  • Ericsson
  • Huawei
  • Intel
  • Lg
  • Nokia
  • MORE

Introduction     

What is 5G?     

  • Rationale for 5G     
  • Developmental Needs     
  • Cross-Band Phones     
  • Interior Penetration of Mmwave     
  • Infrastructure Deployment Aids     
  • Support Systems

Types of 5G     

  • Millimeter-Wave 5G     
  • Mid-Band 5G     
  • Location Types of 5G     
  • Stationary     
  • Mobile     
  • Economics     

What are the Characteristics of 5G?    

  • Higher Capacity     
  • Higher Data Rate    
  • Lower Latency     
  • Massive Device Connectivity     
  • Reduced Costs     
  • Consistent Quality of Experience Provisioning

Status of 5G - Primary Us Carriers    

  • Verizon Wireless     
  • Verizon 5G Deployment Status     
  • At&T Mobility    
  • At&T 5G Deployment Status     
  • T-Mobile Us     
  • T-Mobile Us 5G Deployment Status     
  • Sprint Corporation     
  • T-Mobile Us 5G Deployment Status     
  • T-Mobile and Sprint Merger     
  • Dish Network   

Investments for 5G     

  • What Investments are Involved in Infrastructure?     
  • Spectrum     
  • Cell Site Work and Additions     
  • Transmission     
  • Network Core     
  • Support Systems     
  • How Much will Infrastructure Investments Cost?     
  • How Much are the Major Telcos Going to Spend on 5G Infrastructure?  

Architecture of 5G     

  • 5G Network Cooperation    
  • 5G Frequency Plans    
  • Various Cell Sizes for 5G Networks    
  • 5G Network Architecture and Application Illustrations    
  • 5G Infrastructure Components    
  • Small Cell Antennas    
  • Mimo    
  • Mimo and 5G     
  • Massive Mimo Spectrum Multiplying Advantage    
  • Fiber     
  • Verizon Fiber Plan for 5G    
  • Phones    
  • 5G Phones     
  • Quick Look    
  • Android Based Phones    
  • Apple    
  • Samsung    
  • Lg    
  • Huawei    
  • Other Customer Access Devices    
  • Radio Equipment Manufactures    
  • Huawei    
  • Ericsson    
  • Nokia    
  • Zte     
  • Samsung    
  • Chip Set Vendors    
  • Intel    
  • Qualcomm    
  • Samsung    
  • Apple    
  • Huawei    

5G Forecasts     

  • Forecast Deployment Scenario     
  • 2019     
  • 2020     
  • 2021     
  • 2022 and Later     
  • Timeline     
  • Capital Forecast for 5G     
  • Individual Area Forecasts     
  • Mobile Traffic Forecast     
  • Us Mobile Carriers Forecast     
  • 5G Penetration Forecast – Us     
  • Smartphone Growth Forecast for 5G - the Us     
  • 5G Phone Introduction Plans     
  • 5G Us Penetration Forecast - Phones     
  • Major Use Cases of 5G – Penetration Forecast     
  • Iot – Internet of Things – 5G Penetration Forecast     
  • Autonomous Vehicles – 5G Penetration Forecast     
  • Forecast Network Impact of Autonomous Vehicles and Iot     
  • Over-Build Forecast     
  • Forecast Summary     
  • Traffic:     
  • Us Mobile Carriers:     
  • Phones:     
  • 5G Penetration:     
  • Iot:     
  • Autonomous Vehicles:     
  • Overbuild/ Cross-Boundary:

Appendix I - History of Generations of Cellular Phones in the Usa    

  • History of Cellular Phones in the Us    
  • What are the Generations?     
  • 1St Generation     
  • 1G Standards     
  • 2Nd Generation     
  • 2G Standards     
  • 3Rd Generation     
  • High-Speed Downlink Packet Access -     
  • 3Gpp Long Term Evolution, the Precursor of Lte Advanced –     
  • Evolved Hspa     
  • 3G Standards     
  • 4Th Generation     
  • Lte Advanced     
  • Mimo     
  • 4G Standards     
  • 5Th Generation     
  • 5G Standards     

Appendix Ii. Major Use Cases for 5G: IoT, Autonomous Vehicles, Overbuild    

  • IoT - the Internet of Things     
  • Availability of a Network for Connection – a Major Problem with IoT    
  • Cellular IoT Connections Explained: Nb-Iot Vs. Lte-M Vs. 5G and more     
  • How Did Cellular Iot Come to Be?     
  • Cellular IoT is Meant to Meet the Requirements of Low-Power, Long-Range Applications.     
  • Cat-1     
  • Cat-0     
  • Cat-M1/Cat-M/Lte-M     
  • Nb-Iot/Cat-M2     
  • Ec-Gsm (Formerly Ec-Egprs)     
  • 5G As An IoT Connection Solution     
  • How Does 5G Enable IoT?     
  • Autonomous Vehicles     
  • Autonomous Vehicles Benefits     
  • Current Versions of Autonomy     
  • Issues with Autonomous Development     
  • Safety     
  • Business Case     
  • Availability of a Network for Interconnection     
  • Overbuild - 5G As a Major Competitive Tool     
  • Overbuilding     
  • Cross-Boundary Service     
  • Competitive Implications     

Appendix Iii - List of US Cellular Carriers    

  • Contiguous Us and Hawaii]     
  • Alaska     

Appendix Iv - Traffic Statistics Relationships     

  • Sonet/Sdh Data Rates     

Appendix V Data Traffic Fundamentals    

  • Internet Traffic Calculations     
  • Bits and Bytes     
  • Transfer Rate     
  • Busy Hour Traffic     
  • Protocol Efficiencies     
  • Statistical Multiplexing     
  • Peaking     

Appendix Vi the Lightwave Network Series of Reports    

  • The Lightwave Network     
  • The Lightwave Series of Reports     
  • General Reports on the Network     
  • General Market Reports     
  • Specific Systems Reports     

List of Figures
Figure 1 5G Download Speeds     
Figure 2 Fixed Wireless 5G     
Figure 3 5G Capacity Capabilities     
Figure 4 Theoretical 5G Speed     
Figure 5 Standards Evolution from 4G to 5G     
Figure 6 Lower Latency Triangle - 5G     
Figure 7 IoT Sensing Points Explosion     
Figure 8 5G Connection Capabilities     
Figure 9 US Major Mobile Carriers (Subscribers)     
Figure 10 Verizon Coverage Map     
Figure 11 AT&T Coverage Map     
Figure 12 T-Mobile Coverage Map     
Figure 13 Sprint Coverage Map     
Figure 14 Size of Major Mobile Carriers after Merger '000s (end of 2017- 2019 data)     
Figure 15 Major Telco Capital Expenditures 2013-2018     
Figure 16 5G Overall Layout     
Figure 17 Cell/Technology Cooperation     
Figure 18 5G Frequency Allocation – US     
Figure 19 Cell Types from Macro to Small     
Figure 20 5G Pictorial Architecture     
Figure 21 5G Infrastructure Applications     
Figure 22 Different Types of Antennas to be Used with 5G     
Figure 23 MIMO Multipath Propagation Increases Thru-Put     
Figure 24 Depiction of Massive MIMO     
Figure 25 Example of MIMO Antenna     
Figure 26 5G Layout Showing Fiber Connections     
Figure 27 Graphical Illustration of Fiber's Place in a 5G Network     
Figure 28 Smartphone Growth in US     
Figure 29 5G Phones and Carrier     
Figure 30 5G Forecast Timeline     
Figure 31 Capital Expenditure Forecast     
Figure 32 Major Data Traffic Sources     
Figure 33 US Mobile Phone Data Traffic     
Figure 34 US Major Mobile Carriers Forecast     
Figure 35 5G Penetration - One Forecast     
Figure 36 5G Penetration Forecast by Major Application     
Figure 37 Smartphones as a Proportion of Total US Mobile Phones (all types)     
Figure 38 Landlines are a Dying Bread     
Figure 39 US Smartphone Shipments     
Figure 40 Smartphone Penetration Forecast     
Figure 41 IoT Sense Point Forecast     
Figure 42 Network Impact of Autonomous Vehicles and IoT     
Figure 43 Wireless Penetration by Generation and Forecast     
Figure 44 Network Generations Timeline     
Figure 46 Cellular Approaches to IoT Connections     
Figure 47 Goals of 5G     
Figure 48 Some Current Partially Autonomous Versions     
Figure 49 Verizon's NOOF FiOS Service     
Figure 50 5G Cross Boundary Service Example     
Figure 51 Fixed Broadband Service Providers - US     
Figure 52 Fixed Wireless Depiction     
Figure 53 Traffic/Speed Relationships     
Figure 54 Example of Various Traffic Sizes     
Figure 55 Multiples of Byte     
Figure 56 Wavelength to Frequency Conversion Chart     
Figure 57 Sonet/SDH Conversions     
Figure 58 New Transfer Rate Forecast     
Figure 59 Summary of Concepts     
Figure 60 Lightwave Network

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
3 of 3
  • Apple        
  • Ericsson    
  • Huawei        
  • Intel    
  • Lg    
  • Nokia    
  • Qualcomm    
  • Samsung    
  • Verizon    
  • Zte    
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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