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Intense Competition among Dealers and Distributors Reshaping the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Bus Industry

  • Report

  • 133 Pages
  • December 2020
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • ID: 5234675

Government Efforts and Initiatives to Develop Infrastructure and Boost Tourism Fuel Growth Strategies

The GCC bus industry is expected to grow at a compound annual growth (CAGR) of 3.6% by 2025. Industry sales have been severely impacted by the economic downturn, resulting from decline in oil prices due to the OPEC Agreement. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic is having a major effect on GCC bus industry sales, which are estimated to decline by 19% in 2020. An expected rollback of GCC government infrastructure development projects in Q2/ Q3 of 2021 and government initiatives to diversify economies and investments in non-oil reforms will help the GCC bus industry gain momentum in the next 3 to 4 years.

Key trends expected to fuel demand for new buses include the following: increasing urbanization; government focus on boosting public transportation infrastructure in alignment with National Vision 2030 to make the GCC a world-class tourist destination; implementation of emission regulations; deployment of integrated and multi-modal transportation practices; implementation of On-Demand Responsive Transit systems; increasing adoption of autonomous, driverless shuttles in public transportation fleets by respective transit authorities; increasing penetration of digitalization; and increasing adoption of telematics and connected vehicles.

This study covers the medium- and heavy-duty bus market in the GCC nations (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Oman, Qatar, and Bahrain), including application-specific bus segment (school, staff and labor, transit, and coach) sales volumes, both historic and forecasts up to 2025.

The 2 Core Objectives of this Study:


  • Provide a strategic overview of the GCC bus industry, including key and emerging megatrends and opportunities shaping its future
  • Present market size and forecasts of the medium- and heavy-duty bus industry

Key Issues Addressed


  • What is the current state of the bus industry in select GCC countries?
  • How large will the bus industry get in select GCC countries by 2025?
  • Who are the major market participants and what is their market share?
  • What is driving the bus industry across GCC?
  • What is the impact of regulatory and macro-economic trends on bus industry growth?

Table of Contents

Strategic Imperatives
  • Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
  • The Strategic Imperative 8™
  • The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Bus Industry
  • Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™


Executive Summary
  • Changing Market Dynamics of the Bus Industry in GCC
  • GCC Bus Industry - Key Findings
  • GCC Bus Industry- Key Findings (continued)
  • GCC Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis, 2010 to 2018
  • GCC Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis - Application Split, 2010 to 2018
  • GCC Bus Industry - Competition Landscape
  • Forecast Assumptions, GCC Bus Industry
  • GCC Bus Industry Forecast, 2019 to 2025
  • GCC Bus Industry Application Forecast, 2019 to 2025
  • Top Three Predictions for the GCC Bus Industry


Research Scope and Segmentation
  • GCC Bus Industry Scope of Analysis
  • GCC Bus Industry Segmentation
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Research Methodology


Top Mega Trends Impacting the GCC Bus Industry
  • Trend 1- Urbanization in the GCC
  • Trend 2 - Economic Diversification
  • Trend 3 - Telematics and Connectivity Solutions in the Bus Segment
  • Trend 4 - Integrated Mobility and Multimodal Transport
  • Trend 5 - Demand Responsive Transit: Enablers and Challenges
  • Trend 6 - Technology Trends: Electric Shuttles
  • Trend 7 - Autonomous Technology as a Catalyst for DRT Implementation
  • Trend 8 - Demand Responsive Transit: Future Vehicle Design
  • Trend 9 - Electrification of Buses: Government Plan and Initiatives
  • Trend 10 - Emission Regulation Landscape: GCC Bus Industry


Regional Bus Industry - Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
  • PESTEL Overview of the Bus Industry in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA)
  • Macroeconomic Trends Impacting the Bus Industry in KSA
  • KSA Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis, 2010 to 2018
  • KSA Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis - Application-Split, 2010 to 2018
  • KSA Bus Industry - Competition Landscape
  • Forecast Assumptions - KSA Bus Industry
  • KSA Bus Industry Forecast, 2019 to 2025
  • KSA Bus Industry Application Forecast, 2019 to 2025


Regional Bus Industry- United Arab Emirates
  • PESTEL Overview of the Bus Industry in the UAE
  • Macroeconomic Trends Impacting the Bus Industry in UAE
  • UAE Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis, 2010 to 2018
  • UAE Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis - Application Split, 2010 to 2018
  • UAE Bus Industry - Competition Landscape
  • Forecast Assumptions - UAE Bus Industry
  • UAE Bus Industry Forecast, 2019 to 2025
  • UAE Bus Industry Application Split Forecast, 2019 to 2025


Regional Bus Industry, Kuwait
  • PESTEL Overview of the Bus Industry in Kuwait
  • Macroeconomic Trends Impacting the Bus Industry in Kuwait
  • Kuwait Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis, 2010 to 2018
  • Kuwait Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis - Application Split, 2010 to 2018
  • Kuwait Bus Industry - Competition Landscape
  • Forecast Assumptions - Kuwait Bus Industry
  • Kuwait Bus Industry Forecast, 2019 to 2025
  • Kuwait Bus Industry Application Forecast, 2019 to 2025


Regional Bus Industry - Oman
  • PESTEL Overview of Bus Industry in Oman
  • Macroeconomic Trends Impacting the Bus Industry in Oman
  • Oman Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis, 2010 to 2018
  • Oman Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis - Application Split, 2010 to 2018
  • Oman Bus Industry - Competition Landscape
  • Forecast Assumptions - Oman Bus Industry
  • Oman Bus Industry Forecast, 2019 to 2025
  • Oman Bus Industry Application Forecast, 2019 to 2025


Regional Bus Industry - Qatar
  • PESTEL Overview of Bus Industry in Qatar
  • Macroeconomic Trends Impacting the Bus Industry in Qatar
  • Qatar Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis, 2010 to 2018
  • Qatar Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis - Application Split, 2010 to 2018
  • Qatar Bus Industry - Competition Landscape
  • Forecast Assumptions - Qatar Bus Industry
  • Qatar Bus Industry Forecast, 2019 to 2025
  • Qatar Bus Industry Application Forecast, 2019 to 2025


Regional Bus Industry - Bahrain
  • PESTEL Overview of Bus Industry in Bahrain
  • Macroeconomic Trends Impacting the Bus Industry in Bahrain
  • Bahrain Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis, 2010 to 2018
  • Bahrain Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis - Application Split, 2010 to 2018
  • Bahrain Bus Industry - Competition Landscape
  • Forecast Assumptions - Bahrain Bus Industry
  • Bahrain Bus Industry Forecast, 2019 to 2025
  • Bahrain Bus Industry Application Forecast, 2019 to 2025


Key Findings - GCC Bus Industry
  • GCC Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis, 2010 to 2018
  • GCC Bus Industry Historic Sales Analysis - Application Split, 2010 to 2018
  • GCC Bus Industry - Competition Landscape
  • Forecast Assumptions - GCC Bus Industry
  • GCC Bus Industry Forecast, 2019 to 2025
  • GCC Bus Industry Application Forecast, 2019 to 2025
  • GCC Bus Industry - Key Findings
  • Top 3 Predictions for the GCC Bus Industry


Growth Opportunity Universe, Bus Industry, GCC
  • Growth Opportunity 1- Investment to Boost Public Transport Infrastructure, 2020
  • Growth Opportunity 2 - Implementation of Higher Emission Standards Force Feet Overhauls and Stock Clearance at Dealerships and Road Transport Authorities, 2020


Appendix
  • List of Abbreviations
  • Next Steps
  • Your Next Steps
  • Why Frost, Why Now?
  • List of Exhibits