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Construction in Nigeria - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q4 2021)

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    Report

  • 47 Pages
  • December 2021
  • Region: Nigeria
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5521315
The publisher expects the Nigerian construction industry to expand by 2.3% in real terms this year, which is a relatively sluggish recovery from the 2020 contraction of 7.7%. Although the expansion in output in 2021 will be supported by the easing of restrictions, the gradual recovery in overall economic conditions, and investments in the healthcare and energy sector, total construction output will not surpass 2019 levels until 2023.

The industry recorded a steady improving trend in the first half of this year, with its value add expanding by 3.7% year on year (YoY) in Q2 2021, compared to the year-on-year (Y-o-Y) growth rates of 1.4% in Q1 2021 and 1.2% in Q4 2020, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). Assuming there is no repeat of the strict lockdown similar to last year, the industry is projected to continue recovering over the remainder of the forecast period, and register an annual average growth of 3.8% between 2022-2025, supported by the government’s investment on infrastructure and housing development projects. The industry’s output is also expected to be supported by the government’s plans to improve energy and transport infrastructure. Moreover, the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB), which was officially passed in July 2021, is expected to bring in new investments in energy infrastructure. The PIB aims to increase government revenue from oil, and establish a strong legal and regulatory framework for the Nigerian oil industry. The plunge in global oil prices due to the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic - which triggered a 60% collapse in Nigerian government revenues in 2020 - may lead to a pressing need to reform the sector. Furthermore, through a 10-year scheme, known as the Road Infrastructure Development and Refurbishment Investment Tax Credit Scheme, which was announced in 2019, the government plans to attract investment in country, which will further boost the infrastructure sector.

The publisher’s Construction in Nigeria - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Nigerian construction industry, including:

  • The Nigerian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Nigerian construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Nigeria. It provides:

  • Historical (2016-2020) and forecast (2021-2025) valuations of the construction industry in Nigeria, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using the publisher's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.
  • Formulate and validate strategy using the publisher's critical and actionable insight.
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 COVID-19 Status
3.5 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
  • Outlook
  • Latest news and developments
  • Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments

5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
7.4 The Publisher Construction
  • Contact The Publisher

List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Nigeria, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Nigeria, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 4: Nigeria, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Nigeria, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 6: Nigeria, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Nigeria, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 8: Nigeria, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Nigeria, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 10: Nigeria, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Nigeria, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 12: Nigeria, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Nigeria, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 14: Nigeria, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Nigeria, Key Contractors
Table 16: Nigeria, Key Consultants
Table 17: Nigeria, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)
Table 18: Nigeria, Construction Output Value (Nominal, NGN Billion)
Table 19: The Publisher Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2020 and 2021
Figure 2: Nigeria, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Billion)
Figure 3: Nigeria, COVID-19 Confirmed Cases
Figure 4: Nigeria, Risk Summary
Figure 5: Nigeria, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 6: Nigeria, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Billion, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2016-2025
Figure 7: Nigeria, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 8: Nigeria, Construction Value Add (NGN Billion, 2010 Constant Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 9: Nigeria, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 10: Middle-East and Africa, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 11: Nigeria, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 12: Nigeria, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 13: Nigeria, Accommodation and Food Services Value Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 14: Nigeria, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 15: Nigeria, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 16: Nigeria, Manufacturing Value Add (NGN Billion, 2010 Constant Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 17: Nigeria, Total Export Value (NGN Billion), % Change YoY
Figure 18: Nigeria, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 19: Nigeria, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 20: Nigeria, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 21: Nigeria, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 22: Nigeria, Telecommunications and Information Services Value Add (NGN Billion, 2010 Constant Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 23: Nigeria, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 24: Nigeria, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 25: Nigeria, Education Sector Value Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 26: Nigeria, Human Health and Social Services Value Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 27: Nigeria, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 28: Nigeria, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 29: Nigeria, Real Estate Value Add (NGN Billion, 2010 Constant Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 30: Nigeria, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 31: Nigeria, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)