Key Takeaways
- Thyroid eye disease (TED) is associated with thyroid disease, and most commonly occurs in Graves’ disease, where it is estimated to be present in ~40% of patients.
- Epidemiological data are limited for TED, but it is reported in the literature that annual incidence in the general population is 16 per 100,000 in women and three per 100,000 in men.
- Based on these rates, the publisher estimates that in 2020, there were 384,000 incident cases of TED worldwide, and expects that number to increase to 438,000 incident cases by 2029.
- The only approved drug in the TED space is Horizon’s Tepezza, which targets insulin-like growth factor-1 receptor. It is currently available as an intravenous formulation.
- The only industry-sponsored drug in active clinical development for TED is in Phase II.
- The only drug in development for TED targets the neonatal Fc receptor. It is administered via the subcutaneous route.
- The only high-impact upcoming event in the TED space is topline results from Tepezza’s Chronic TED trial. The overall likelihood of approval of a Phase I ophthalmology-other asset is 22.8%, and the average probability a drug advances from Phase III is 55%. Drugs, on average, take 8.6 years from Phase I to approval, compared to 8.9 years in the overall ophthalmology space.
- Clinical trials for TED are equally distributed between the mid and late phases of development.
- Horizon Therapeutics has the highest number of completed clinical trials for TED, with three trials.
- Horizon Therapeutics leads industry sponsors with the highest overall number of clinical trials for TED

