+353-1-416-8900REST OF WORLD
+44-20-3973-8888REST OF WORLD
1-917-300-0470EAST COAST U.S
1-800-526-8630U.S. (TOLL FREE)

China Cigarettes - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2025

  • PDF Icon

    Report

  • 60 Pages
  • July 2021
  • Region: China
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5402858
The China cigarette category is expected to register a negative volume CAGR over 2020-2025. Cigarettes are not considered to be a basic consumer good by the Chinese authorities and are therefore heavily taxed and have become a major source of revenue for the Chinese Government. Sales are forecast to fall back over the coming decade as an impact of rising prices and growing restrictions on smoking.

This report brings together multiple data sources to provide a comprehensive overview of the cigarette category in China, as part of the publisher's global coverage of the sector. It includes analysis on the following:


  • Market Context: The report provides comparative analysis of the value shares of China in the Asia-Pacific and global tobacco sector. Additionally, the per capita expenditure of cigarette in China is also compared with the Asia-Pacific and global levels.
  • Market Size and Structure: The report offers an overview of the growth at a sector level and provides analysis of the cigarette category. The category is analyzed by value, volume, and CAGR for the period 2015-2025. The section also includes value analysis of segments, value and volume analysis of sub-segments under the cigarette category for the period 2015-2025.
  • Production and Trade: Provides analysis on per capita expenditure of cigarettes in China, compared to the Asia-Pacific and global markets. Further, analysis on the leading distribution channels at category level in 2020. The consumer sector reports cover the following eight distribution channels: cash & carries and warehouse clubs, convenience stores, department stores, e-retailers, hypermarkets & supermarkets, tobacco specialists, vending machines, and other general retailers.
  • Taxation: It covers taxation landscape in the country and effects in the cigarette category
  • Manufacturers and Brands: The report provides analysis on leading companies in 2019.
  • The Smoking Population: The report covers consumption of tobacco by gender in China.
  • Operating Constraints: The report cover the impact of policies and regulation on the cigarette category in China.
  • Prospects and Forecasts: The report covers forecast analysis of the cigarette category
  • Macroeconomic analysis: The report also provides an outlook on macroeconomic indicators in China, with a detailed summary of the economy, labor market, and demographics.
  • Exchange rates: Exchange rates used to convert local currency to US dollars are annual average floating exchange rates.
  • Time period: The report provides sector value and volume data, including category and sector level data for the period 2015-2025. Distribution channel data is of 2020, and company data is included for 2019.

Scope


  • Per capita expenditure of tobacco was higher in China compared to the global and regional level in 2020
  • The per capita expenditure of cigarettes in China was higher than both Asia-Pacific and global averages in 2020​
  • Convenience stores is the leading distribution channel in the cigarettes category, with a volume share of 25.4% in 2020
  • Ban on smoking in enclosed public places came into force in 2011
  • Smoking prevalence in China is estimated at 23.8% in 2020 with 45.7% of men and 1.4% of women classified as smokers

Reasons to Buy


  • Get a detailed understanding of consumption to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market. Identify the areas of growth and opportunities, which will aid effective marketing planning.
  • The differing growth rates in regional product sales drive fundamental shifts in the market.
  • This report provides detailed, authoritative data on these changes - prime intelligence for marketers.
  • Understand the market dynamics and essential data to benchmark your position and to identify where to compete in the future.

Table of Contents

  • Report scope
  • Part 1: Introduction
  • Executive Summary
  • Part 2: Market Context
  • Value growth analysis by region
  • PCE of China compared to global and Asia-Pacific markets
  • Part 3: Market Size and Structure
  • China cigarette category snapshot
  • Market size analysis - category: cigarettes
  • Segment analysis : cigarettes
  • Sub-segment analysis: cigarettes
  • Part 4: Production and Trade
  • Per capita expenditure analysis by category
  • Channel share analysis - cigarettes
  • Part 5: Taxation
  • Part 6: Manufacturers and Brands
  • Leading companies by volume share - cigarettes
  • Brand share analysis of top five companies by category
  • Part 7: The Smoking population
  • Smoking population, by gender
  • Part 8: Operating Constraints
  • Part 9: Prospects and Forecasts
  • Tobacco product growth analysis-cigarettes
  • Part 10: Macroeconomic Analysis
  • GDP growth and inflation
  • Population growth
  • Labor market trend
  • Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends
  • China Risk Index (GCRI) 2020
  • China Risk Analysis
  • Compared to the Global and Asia-Pacific Markets
  • Methodology
  • Definitions
  • Appendix

List of Tables
  • Leading categories (value), 2020
  • Fastest-growing segments (value), 2020
  • Leading companies by category (volume), 2019*
  • Leading channel by category (volume), 2020*
  • Cigarettes - value analysis by segment, 2015-2025
  • Cigarettes - value analysis by sub segment, 2015-2025
  • Cigarettes - volume analysis by sub segment, 2015-2025
  • Per capita expenditure (by category), China compared to Asia-Pacific and global levels (in US$), 2020
  • Change in distribution share in cigarettes, 2015-2020
  • Brand volume shares of top companies by category, 2019
  • Performance Overview (Score: 1-100)
  • Sector data, by category
  • Per capita expenditure (US$), 2015-2025
  • Cigarette sales distribution in China (million pieces), 2020
  • Brand volume share by category, 2019
  • Real GDP and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Nominal GDP and Annual Growth (%), 2017-025
  • Consumer Price Inflation (%), 2017-2025
  • Employed People and Unemployment Rate (%), 2017-2025
  • Nominal Household Final Consumption Expenditure and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Population and Annual Growth (%), 2017-2025
  • Population by Age Group (%)
  • Population by Gender (%)
  • Population by Rural-Urban Split (%)
  • Exchange Rates, 2015-2025

List of Figures
  • Value share of China in the global and Asia-Pacific tobacco sector, 2020 2025
  • PCE comparison - China, Asia Pacific, and global, 2015 2025
  • Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cigarettes category, 2015-2025
  • Key distribution channels - cigarettes, in million pieces
  • Leading companies (in volume million pieces) in the cigarettes category, 2019
  • Percentages of adult smokers by gender, 2007-2020
  • Cigarettes consumption, million pieces, 2015-2025
  • Real GDP (C¥ billion) and annual growth (%)
  • Nominal GDP (C¥ billion) and annual growth (%)
  • Consumer price inflation (%)
  • Nominal household final consumption expenditure growth (%) in C¥ terms
  • Population (million) and annual growth (%)
  • Population by age group (%)
  • Population by gender (%)
  • Population by rural-urban split (%)
  • Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%)
  • Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends
  • Five Lowest Risk Nations in GCRI Q4 2020
  • Five Highest Risk Nations in GCRI Q4 2020
  • China's performance in country
  • risk analysis in comparison Asia Pacific and world average

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • China National Tobacco Corp (CNTC)