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Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market by Solution (Hardware, Service, Software), Platform (Aerial Delivery Drones, Ground Delivery Vehicles), Payload, Range, Application - Forecast 2023-2030

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  • 188 Pages
  • March 2024
  • Region: Global
  • 360iResearch™
  • ID: 5533465
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The Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market size was estimated at USD 2.56 billion in 2022, USD 3.26 billion in 2023, and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 33.12% to reach USD 25.30 billion by 2030.

Autonomous last-mile delivery refers to the use of automated systems and vehicles to transport goods from transportation hubs to their final delivery destinations without human intervention. Utilizing autonomous delivery vehicles, including drones and self-driving cars or robots, this innovative approach aims to increase efficiency, reduce delivery times, and decrease the costs associated with the last mile of delivery. Increasing demand for faster delivery times, a surge in e-commerce, advancements in AI and robotics, cost-effectiveness over the long term, and consumer preference for contactless delivery options are cumulatively propelling the growth of the autonomous last-mile delivery market. However, challenges facing this sector encompass technological complexities, high initial investment costs, regulatory hurdles concerning safety and liability, and the need for sophisticated infrastructure support. Despite the hindering factors, integration with smart city initiatives, enhancement in machine learning for better navigation and customer service, and expansion within rapidly developing economies present significant future growth prospects for the autonomous last-mile delivery market.

Regional Insights

The autonomous last-mile delivery market in the Americas, particularly in the United States and Canada, is showing significant growth. This can be attributed to the presence of significant technology companies and the early adoption of autonomous delivery systems in the region. Major e-commerce retailers and logistics companies are running pilot projects and are engaged in partnerships with tech startups to optimize their delivery processes. In EMEA, Europe, with its regulatory reform, allows for a more conducive environment for autonomous delivery vehicles. The European Union's focus on sustainability is leading to increased innovation in electric and autonomous delivery solutions. The Middle East is leveraging its wealth to invest in smart city projects that include autonomous delivery systems, further contributing to the market expansion in this region. Moreover, the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region is experiencing a fast-paced expansion in the autonomous last-mile delivery market. China, Japan, South Korea, and Singapore are contributing majorly to this bolstering expansion with their technological advancements, government backing, and investments. The region benefits from a strong manufacturing sector, which aids in the large-scale production of autonomous delivery vehicles. High population densities and the increasing demand for e-commerce in the Asia-Pacific region also contribute to a significant potential market for autonomous delivery services.

FPNV Positioning Matrix

The FPNV Positioning Matrix is pivotal in evaluating the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market. It offers a comprehensive assessment of vendors, examining key metrics related to Business Strategy and Product Satisfaction. This in-depth analysis empowers users to make well-informed decisions aligned with their requirements. Based on the evaluation, the vendors are then categorized into four distinct quadrants representing varying levels of success: Forefront (F), Pathfinder (P), Niche (N), or Vital (V).

Market Share Analysis

The Market Share Analysis is a comprehensive tool that provides an insightful and in-depth examination of the current state of vendors in the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market. By meticulously comparing and analyzing vendor contributions in terms of overall revenue, customer base, and other key metrics, we can offer companies a greater understanding of their performance and the challenges they face when competing for market share. Additionally, this analysis provides valuable insights into the competitive nature of the sector, including factors such as accumulation, fragmentation dominance, and amalgamation traits observed over the base year period studied. With this expanded level of detail, vendors can make more informed decisions and devise effective strategies to gain a competitive edge in the market.

Key Company Profiles

The report delves into recent significant developments in the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, highlighting leading vendors and their innovative profiles. These include A2Z Drone Delivery, LLC, Airbus SE, Amazon.Com, Inc., ANYbotics AG, Box Bot, Inc., Cheetah Logistic Technology by MercuryGate International, Inc., Deutsche Post AG, DPDgroup Limited, Drone Delivery Canada Company, Flytrex Inc., Kiwibot, Matternet, Inc., Nuro, Inc., Postmates Inc. by Uber Technologies, Inc., Refraction AI, Relay Robotics, Inc., Robby Technologies, Robomart, Inc., Skycart Inc., SkyDrop, ST Engineering Aethon, Inc., Starship Technologies, Inc., TeleRetail, Udelv, Inc., Wing Aviation LLC, Workhorse Group Inc., and Zipline Inc.

Market Segmentation & Coverage

This research report categorizes the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market to forecast the revenues and analyze trends in each of the following sub-markets:

  • Solution
    • Hardware
    • Service
    • Software
  • Platform
    • Aerial Delivery Drones
      • Fixed-Wing
      • Hybrid
      • Rotary-Wing
    • Ground Delivery Vehicles
      • Delivery Bots
      • Self-Driving Vans & Trucks
  • Payload
    • 5-10 KG
    • < 5 KG
    • >10 KG
  • Range
    • Long Range (>20 KM)
    • Short Range (< 20 KM)
  • Application
    • Healthcare & Pharma
    • Logistics & Transportation
    • Retail & Food
  • Region
    • Americas
      • Argentina
      • Brazil
      • Canada
      • Mexico
      • United States
        • California
        • Florida
        • Illinois
        • New York
        • Ohio
        • Pennsylvania
        • Texas
    • Asia-Pacific
      • Australia
      • China
      • India
      • Indonesia
      • Japan
      • Malaysia
      • Philippines
      • Singapore
      • South Korea
      • Taiwan
      • Thailand
      • Vietnam
    • Europe, Middle East & Africa
      • Denmark
      • Egypt
      • Finland
      • France
      • Germany
      • Israel
      • Italy
      • Netherlands
      • Nigeria
      • Norway
      • Poland
      • Qatar
      • Russia
      • Saudi Arabia
      • South Africa
      • Spain
      • Sweden
      • Switzerland
      • Turkey
      • United Arab Emirates
      • United Kingdom

The report offers valuable insights on the following aspects

  1. Market Penetration: It presents comprehensive information on the market provided by key players.
  2. Market Development: It delves deep into lucrative emerging markets and analyzes the penetration across mature market segments.
  3. Market Diversification: It provides detailed information on new product launches, untapped geographic regions, recent developments, and investments.
  4. Competitive Assessment & Intelligence: It conducts an exhaustive assessment of market shares, strategies, products, certifications, regulatory approvals, patent landscape, and manufacturing capabilities of the leading players.
  5. Product Development & Innovation: It offers intelligent insights on future technologies, R&D activities, and breakthrough product developments.

The report addresses key questions such as

  1. What is the market size and forecast of the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market?
  2. Which products, segments, applications, and areas should one consider investing in over the forecast period in the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market?
  3. What are the technology trends and regulatory frameworks in the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market?
  4. What is the market share of the leading vendors in the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market?
  5. Which modes and strategic moves are suitable for entering the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market?

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This report also includes a complimentary Excel file with data from the report for purchasers at the Site License or greater level.

Table of Contents

1. Preface
1.1. Objectives of the Study
1.2. Market Segmentation & Coverage
1.3. Years Considered for the Study
1.4. Currency & Pricing
1.5. Language
1.6. Limitations
1.7. Assumptions
1.8. Stakeholders
2. Research Methodology
2.1. Define: Research Objective
2.2. Determine: Research Design
2.3. Prepare: Research Instrument
2.4. Collect: Data Source
2.5. Analyze: Data Interpretation
2.6. Formulate: Data Verification
2.7. Publish: Research Report
2.8. Repeat: Report Update
3. Executive Summary
4. Market Overview
4.1. Introduction
4.2. Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, by Region
5. Market Insights
5.1. Market Dynamics
5.1.1. Drivers
5.1.1.1. Increasing Demand for the Fast Delivery of Consumer Goods Packages
5.1.1.2. Increasing Implementation of Autonomous Ground Delivery Vehicles
5.1.1.3. Rising Amendments in Regulatory Frameworks to Encourage the Use of Aerial Delivery Drones
5.1.2. Restraints
5.1.2.1. Lack of Infrastructure to Support Operations of Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery
5.1.3. Opportunities
5.1.3.1. New Advancements in Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery
5.1.3.2. Rising Potential for Aerial Delivery Drones Into Hard-To-Reach Areas
5.1.4. Challenges
5.1.4.1. Legal and Operational Challenges Associated With The Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Solutions
5.2. Market Segmentation Analysis
5.2.1. Solution: Emerging deployment of AI and machine learning-backed software
5.2.2. Payload: Rising frequency of < 5 kg payload orders owing to quick delivery services
5.2.3. Range: Significant benefits of short-range delivery solutions, focused on speed and frequency
5.2.4. Application: Growing adoption of autonomous last-mile delivery in retail & food sector to deliver quick consumer goods
5.3. Market Trend Analysis
5.4. Cumulative Impact of COVID-19
5.5. Cumulative Impact of Russia-Ukraine Conflict
5.6. Cumulative Impact of High Inflation
5.7. Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
5.7.1. Threat of New Entrants
5.7.2. Threat of Substitutes
5.7.3. Bargaining Power of Customers
5.7.4. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
5.7.5. Industry Rivalry
5.8. Value Chain & Critical Path Analysis
5.9. Regulatory Framework
5.10. Client Customization
6. Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, by Solution
6.1. Introduction
6.2. Hardware
6.3. Service
6.4. Software
7. Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, by Platform
7.1. Introduction
7.2. Aerial Delivery Drones
7.3.1. Fixed-Wing
7.3.2. Hybrid
7.3.3. Rotary-Wing
7.3. Ground Delivery Vehicles
7.4.1. Delivery Bots
7.4.2. Self-Driving Vans & Trucks
8. Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, by Payload
8.1. Introduction
8.2. 5-10 KG
8.3. < 5 KG
8.4. >10 KG
9. Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, by Range
9.1. Introduction
9.2. Long Range (>20 KM)
9.3. Short Range (< 20 KM)
10. Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, by Application
10.1. Introduction
10.2. Healthcare & Pharma
10.3. Logistics & Transportation
10.4. Retail & Food
11. Americas Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market
11.1. Introduction
11.2. Argentina
11.3. Brazil
11.4. Canada
11.5. Mexico
11.6. United States
12. Asia-Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market
12.1. Introduction
12.2. Australia
12.3. China
12.4. India
12.5. Indonesia
12.6. Japan
12.7. Malaysia
12.8. Philippines
12.9. Singapore
12.10. South Korea
12.11. Taiwan
12.12. Thailand
12.13. Vietnam
13. Europe, Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market
13.1. Introduction
13.2. Denmark
13.3. Egypt
13.4. Finland
13.5. France
13.6. Germany
13.7. Israel
13.8. Italy
13.9. Netherlands
13.10. Nigeria
13.11. Norway
13.12. Poland
13.13. Qatar
13.14. Russia
13.15. Saudi Arabia
13.16. South Africa
13.17. Spain
13.18. Sweden
13.19. Switzerland
13.20. Turkey
13.21. United Arab Emirates
13.22. United Kingdom
14. Competitive Landscape
14.1. FPNV Positioning Matrix
14.2. Market Share Analysis, By Key Player
14.3. Competitive Scenario Analysis, By Key Player
14.3.1. Agreement, Collaboration, & Partnership
14.3.1.1. Foretellix and Nuro Announce Partnership to Accelerate Safe Deployment of Autonomous Vehicles
14.3.2. New Product Launch & Enhancement
14.3.2.1. JD Logistics to Develop Autonomous Driving Technology Ecosystem for Logistics Industry, Signs Partnership with AutoCore.ai
14.3.2.2. Ottonomy Debuts Autonomous Delivery Robots at CES Ahead of US Rollout
15. Competitive Portfolio
15.1. Key Company Profiles
15.1.1. A2Z Drone Delivery, LLC
15.1.2. Airbus SE
15.1.3. Amazon.Com, Inc.
15.1.4. ANYbotics AG
15.1.5. Box Bot, Inc.
15.1.6. Cheetah Logistic Technology by MercuryGate International, Inc.
15.1.7. Deutsche Post AG
15.1.8. DPDgroup Limited
15.1.9. Drone Delivery Canada Company
15.1.10. Flytrex Inc.
15.1.11. Kiwibot
15.1.12. Matternet, Inc.
15.1.13. Nuro, Inc.
15.1.14. Postmates Inc. by Uber Technologies, Inc.
15.1.15. Refraction AI
15.1.16. Relay Robotics, Inc.
15.1.17. Robby Technologies
15.1.18. Robomart, Inc.
15.1.19. Skycart Inc.
15.1.20. SkyDrop
15.1.21. ST Engineering Aethon, Inc.
15.1.22. Starship Technologies, Inc.
15.1.23. TeleRetail
15.1.24. Udelv, Inc.
15.1.25. Wing Aviation LLC
15.1.26. Workhorse Group Inc.
15.1.27. Zipline Inc.
15.2. Key Product Portfolio
16. Appendix
16.1. Discussion Guide
16.2. License & Pricing
List of Figures
FIGURE 1. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET RESEARCH PROCESS
FIGURE 2. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, 2022 VS 2030
FIGURE 3. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, 2018-2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 4. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2022 VS 2030 (%)
FIGURE 5. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2022 VS 2023 VS 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 6. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET DYNAMICS
FIGURE 7. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY SOLUTION, 2022 VS 2030 (%)
FIGURE 8. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY SOLUTION, 2022 VS 2023 VS 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 9. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY PLATFORM, 2022 VS 2030 (%)
FIGURE 10. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY PLATFORM, 2022 VS 2023 VS 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 11. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY PAYLOAD, 2022 VS 2030 (%)
FIGURE 12. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY PAYLOAD, 2022 VS 2023 VS 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 13. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY RANGE, 2022 VS 2030 (%)
FIGURE 14. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY RANGE, 2022 VS 2023 VS 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 15. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY APPLICATION, 2022 VS 2030 (%)
FIGURE 16. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY APPLICATION, 2022 VS 2023 VS 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 17. AMERICAS AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY COUNTRY, 2022 VS 2030 (%)
FIGURE 18. AMERICAS AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY COUNTRY, 2022 VS 2023 VS 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 19. UNITED STATES AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY STATE, 2022 VS 2030 (%)
FIGURE 20. UNITED STATES AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY STATE, 2022 VS 2023 VS 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 21. ASIA-PACIFIC AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY COUNTRY, 2022 VS 2030 (%)
FIGURE 22. ASIA-PACIFIC AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY COUNTRY, 2022 VS 2023 VS 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 23. EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY COUNTRY, 2022 VS 2030 (%)
FIGURE 24. EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SIZE, BY COUNTRY, 2022 VS 2023 VS 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 25. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET, FPNV POSITIONING MATRIX, 2022
FIGURE 26. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET SHARE, BY KEY PLAYER, 2022

Companies Mentioned

  • A2Z Drone Delivery, LLC
  • Airbus SE
  • Amazon.Com, Inc.
  • ANYbotics AG
  • Box Bot, Inc.
  • Cheetah Logistic Technology by MercuryGate International, Inc.
  • Deutsche Post AG
  • DPDgroup Limited
  • Drone Delivery Canada Company
  • Flytrex Inc.
  • Kiwibot
  • Matternet, Inc.
  • Nuro, Inc.
  • Postmates Inc. by Uber Technologies, Inc.
  • Refraction AI
  • Relay Robotics, Inc.
  • Robby Technologies
  • Robomart, Inc.
  • Skycart Inc.
  • SkyDrop
  • ST Engineering Aethon, Inc.
  • Starship Technologies, Inc.
  • TeleRetail
  • Udelv, Inc.
  • Wing Aviation LLC
  • Workhorse Group Inc.
  • Zipline Inc.

Methodology

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Table Information