Dairy Products and Alternatives in Canada

Report
68 Pages
September 2023
Region: Canada
Euromonitor International
ID: 5576759

The Canadian landscape has been marked by its highest levels of inflation in recent years. Particularly notable are the food price increases that reached unprecedented heights in 2022, and this trend has carried over into 2023. These fluctuations have had a multifaceted impact on dairy products and alternatives. The prices of nearly all products experienced substantial surges, with butter and spreads, as well as baby food, leading the pack in terms of price escalation.

The Dairy Products and Alternatives in Canada report offers in-depth knowledge of the market at a national level, providing local insight and understanding unavailable elsewhere. In addition to the latest retail sales data 2018-2022, it identifies the leading companies, brands and retail outlets, and assesses the key trends and demographic shifts behind consumer demand and sales growth. How key trends such as health and wellness, sustainability and recovery from the pandemic are shaping the market in 2023 directly informs the forecasts to 2027, clearly indicating how the market is expected to change.

Product coverage: Baby Food, Dairy, Plant-based Dairy.

Data coverage: market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

Why buy this report?

Get a detailed picture of the Dairy Products and Alternatives market
Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change
Understand the competitive environment, the market’s major players and leading brands
Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop

The analyst has over 40 years' experience of publishing market research reports, business reference books and online information systems. With offices in London, Chicago, Singapore, Shanghai, Vilnius, Dubai, Cape Town, Santiago, Sydney, Tokyo and Bangalore and a network of over 800 analysts worldwide, The analyst has a unique capability to develop reliable information resources to help drive informed strategic planning.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Dairy products and alternatives in 2023: The big picture
Key trends in 2023
Competitive Landscape
Channel developments
What next for dairy products and alternatives?

MARKET DATA

Table 1 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 2 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 3 NBO Company Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2019-2023
Table 4 LBN Brand Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2020-2023
Table 5 Penetration of Private Label by Category: % Value 2018-2023
Table 6 Distribution of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 1 Research Sources

BABY FOOD IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Healthy snacking spurs baby food sales (excluding milk formula) in 2023
Milk formula shows modest recovery, yet shortages continue
Competitive landscape continues to evolve amidst Nestlé’s divesture of Good Start

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Slowdown in growth in the forecast period led by slowdown in milk formula
Consumer preference will continue to shift towards healthier and speciality products
Plant-based baby food: An emerging trend

CATEGORY DATA

Table 9 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 10 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 11 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 12 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 13 Sales of Growing-Up Milk Formula by Age: % Value 2018-2023
Table 14 NBO Company Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2019-2023
Table 15 LBN Brand Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2020-2023
Table 16 Distribution of Baby Food by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 17 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 18 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 19 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 20 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

BUTTER AND SPREADS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Butter and spreads growth remain flat, plagued by higher prices
Margarine and spreads perform strongly, backed by plant-based alternatives
Consumers switch to lower priced brands, including private label

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Butter to emerge as a winner in the forecast period
Inflationary pressures will continue to impact companies and retailer margins
Companies must prioritise innovation to drive growth

CATEGORY DATA

Table 21 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 22 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 23 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 24 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 25 NBO Company Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2019-2023
Table 26 LBN Brand Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2020-2023
Table 27 Distribution of Butter and Spreads by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

CHEESE IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Cheese shows improvement in growth as consumption increases
Strong new product development activity results in wider array of cheese
Hard cheese remains the top performer, driven by healthy snacking trends

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Inflation expected to slow down growth in cheese sales
Soft cheese to witness healthier performance
Plant-based cheese a potential threat to traditional cheese sales

CATEGORY DATA

Table 32 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 33 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 34 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 35 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 36 Sales of Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 37 Sales of Soft Cheese by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 38 Sales of Hard Cheese by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 39 NBO Company Shares of Cheese: % Value 2019-2023
Table 40 LBN Brand Shares of Cheese: % Value 2020-2023
Table 41 Distribution of Cheese by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DRINKING MILK PRODUCTS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Drinking milk products continue to register decline in growth
Butterfat content: An important criterion for purchase
Significant price inflation negatively impacts consumption of drinking milk products

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Drinking milk products projected to continue declining
Foodservice to witness a rebound in the forecast period
Lack of innovation shifts manufacturers’ focus to more profitable options

CATEGORY DATA

Table 46 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 47 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 48 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 49 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 50 NBO Company Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2019-2023
Table 51 LBN Brand Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2020-2023
Table 52 Distribution of Drinking Milk Products by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 56 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

YOGHURT AND SOUR MILK PRODUCTS IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Yoghurt and sour milk products register a decent performance, albeit lower than 2022
Aggressive manufacturer activities drive strong growth for drinking yoghurt
Lactalis acquires Khaas to reach immigrant population

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Growth to shrink owing to slowdown in prices, yet healthy performance is expected
Sour milk products to emerge as winners due to growing immigrant population
Healthy snacking habits to propel category’s growth

CATEGORY DATA

Table 57 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 58 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 59 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 60 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 61 Sales of Flavoured Yoghurt by Flavour: Rankings 2018-2023
Table 62 NBO Company Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2019-2023
Table 63 LBN Brand Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2020-2023
Table 64 Distribution of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 65 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 66 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 67 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 68 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

OTHER DAIRY IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Other dairy registers modest growth amidst record high inflation
Cream overtakes coffee whiteners to emerge as category leader
Chilled snacks manufacturers address health concerns through labelling

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

A decent performance expected, albeit with shrinking growth due to lower prices
Plant-based alternatives offer lucrative opportunities
Foodservice to outperform retail in the forecast period

CATEGORY DATA

Table 69 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 70 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 71 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 72 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 73 Sales of Cream by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 74 NBO Company Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2019-2023
Table 75 LBN Brand Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2020-2023
Table 76 Distribution of Other Dairy by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 79 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 80 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

PLANT-BASED DAIRY IN CANADAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Stabilised growth in plant-based dairy, yet sustained healthy performance
Soy drinks yield market share to alternative options
Manufacturers focus on innovation to capture broader consumer base

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Slowdown in price rises expected to yield lower yet robust category growth
Emergence of other plant-based milk as strongest performer
Demand for plant-based dairy to drive reversal in foodservice growth

CATEGORY DATA

Table 81 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 82 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 83 Sales of Other Plant-Based Milk by Type: % Value 2020-2023
Table 84 NBO Company Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2019-2023
Table 85 LBN Brand Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2020-2023
Table 86 Distribution of Plant-Based Dairy by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 87 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 88 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

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