Autonomous Commercial Vehicle Market Report 2026

The autonomous commercial vehicle market size has grown rapidly in recent years. It will grow from $11.48 billion in 2025 to $13.47 billion in 2026 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.3%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to logistics efficiency demand, driver shortage issues, early autonomous trucking pilots, fleet digitization, fuel cost optimization.

The autonomous commercial vehicle market size is expected to see rapid growth in the next few years. It will grow to $26.22 billion in 2030 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.1%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to autonomous logistics scalability, electric commercial vehicle adoption, AI-driven fleet optimization, regulatory approvals, smart highway infrastructure. Major trends in the forecast period include deployment of autonomous freight trucks, adoption of platooning technologies, integration of autonomous fleet management, expansion of last-mile automation, growth of electric autonomous commercial vehicles.

The rising demand for efficient transportation is expected to drive growth in the autonomous commercial vehicle market. Transportation involves the movement of people, animals, or goods from one location to another. Autonomous commercial vehicles optimize routes, speeds, and driving behaviors to reduce fuel consumption, offering cost savings for fleet operators while supporting environmental regulations and sustainability goals. Lower fuel costs make these vehicles an attractive option for transportation companies. For example, in June 2025, official UK statistics reported that total motor-vehicle traffic in Great Britain increased in 2024, with vehicle miles traveled rising 1.6% to 336.2 billion vehicle-miles. Therefore, the growing need for efficient transportation is fueling demand for autonomous commercial vehicles.

Key companies in the autonomous commercial vehicle market are advancing technologies such as AI-powered autonomous driving systems to enhance safety, efficiency, and reduce labor costs in logistics and transportation. These systems integrate AI algorithms with sensor fusion technologies, including LiDAR, radar, and cameras, enabling vehicles to perceive their environment, make real-time decisions, and navigate safely without human intervention. For instance, in September 2025, Kodiak Robotics, a US-based autonomous trucking company, launched its Kodiak Driver-equipped autonomous truck. The system features modular, vehicle-agnostic hardware with proprietary SensorPods, an AI compute platform, a redundant Actuation Control Engine (ACE) safety compute, and advanced safety actuation mechanisms. The Kodiak Driver enables scalable deployment in commercial trucking, improving operational efficiency, safety, and reliability. The first Roush-upfitted truck with this technology was delivered to Atlas Energy Solutions, marking a milestone in commercial autonomous trucking.

In April 2025, Toyota Motor Corporation, a Japan-based automaker, partnered with Waymo, a US-based autonomous driving software and robotaxi developer, to integrate Waymo’s self-driving technology into future vehicle platforms. This collaboration aims to accelerate development of next-generation autonomous vehicles and supports Toyota’s long-term vision of zero-accident mobility.

Major companies operating in the autonomous commercial vehicle market report include Volkswagen AG, Daimler AG, Tesla Inc., Denso Corporation, Continental AG, Waymo LLC, Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft, Isuzu Motors Limited, General Motors Company, AB Volvo, Beiqi Foton Motor Co. Ltd., Skywell New Energy Vehicles Group Co. Ltd., Dongfeng Motor Corporation, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group Co. Ltd. (SINOTRUK), FAW Jiefang Automobile Co. Ltd., Shaanxi Automobile Group Co. Ltd. (China Shaanqi), Beiben Trucks Group Co. Ltd. (Beiben Trucks), SAIC Iveco Hongyan Commercial Vehicle Co. Ltd. (SAIC Hongyan), Jiangling Motors Corporation Group (JMC), Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co. Ltd. (Zhengzhou Yutong Bus), Xiamen King Long United Automotive Industry Co. Ltd. (King Long Bus), CRRC Electric Vehicle Co. Ltd. (CRRC Electric Vehicle), Xiamen Golden Dragon Bus Co. Ltd. (Xiamen Golden Dragon Bus), Anhui Ankai Automobile Co. Ltd. (Anhui Ankai Automobile), Plus.ai Inc. (Plus.ai), Embark Trucks Inc. (Embark Trucks), Daimler Trucks North America LLC (Daimler Trucks), NVIDIA Corporation, Zoox Inc., Luminar Technologies Inc.

Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the autonomous commercial vehicle market in 2025. North America was the second largest region in the autonomous commercial vehicle market. The regions covered in the autonomous commercial vehicle market report include Asia-Pacific, South East Asia, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa. The countries covered in the autonomous commercial vehicle market report include Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Taiwan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.

The autonomous commercial vehicle market consists of sales of autonomous buses and coaches. Values in this market are factory gate values, that is the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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