The analyst expects the construction industry in Poland to shrink marginally in real terms by 0.2% in 2025, owing to headwinds such as falling building permits, high construction and labor costs as well as a rising budget deficit. According to Statistics Poland (GUS), the average cost for the construction and assembly production activities grew by 3.2% year-on-year (YoY) in the first nine months of 2025. Furthermore, according to the GUS, the total floor area of building permits issued in the country fell by 4.9% YoY in the first nine months of 2025. In addition to these challenges, weakening of public finances is estimated to have weighed on the industry’s output this year which can partially continue until early-2026. The Ministry of Finance in October 2025 revealed that the country had a budget deficit of PLN201.4 billion ($49.8 billion) at the end of September 2025, which is up from that of PLN172 billion ($42.5 billion) at the end of August 2025. Moreover, the average labor cost index grew by 7.1% YoY in the first six months of 2025, preceded by an annual growth of 13.8% in 2024, according to the Eurostat.
Over the remainder of the forecast period, however, the Polish construction industry is expected to recover from the second half of 2026 onwards by recording an annual average growth rate of 3.9% from 2026 to 2029, supported by investments in renewable energy, nuclear power and transport infrastructure projects. Growth over the forecast period will also be supported by the allocation of funds worth PLN18 billion ($4.5 billion) for the development of healthcare facilities under the National Reconstruction Plan and Enhancement of Resilience. Furthermore, under the National Road Construction Program, the government is aiming to construct 2,500km of new roads comprising of motorways and expressways by 2033 with a total investment of PLN290 billion ($71.7 billion). Some of the projects are construction of S5 expressway, S6 expressway, S8 expressway, S16 expressway and S12 expressway. Growth in the renewable energy sector will be supported by the government’s National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP), under which, it plans to produce 51.8% of electricity from renewables by 2030 and nearly 79.8% by 2040, compared to 29% in 2024. As part of the plan, the government also aims to cease operations of coal-fired power plants around 2035.
Over the remainder of the forecast period, however, the Polish construction industry is expected to recover from the second half of 2026 onwards by recording an annual average growth rate of 3.9% from 2026 to 2029, supported by investments in renewable energy, nuclear power and transport infrastructure projects. Growth over the forecast period will also be supported by the allocation of funds worth PLN18 billion ($4.5 billion) for the development of healthcare facilities under the National Reconstruction Plan and Enhancement of Resilience. Furthermore, under the National Road Construction Program, the government is aiming to construct 2,500km of new roads comprising of motorways and expressways by 2033 with a total investment of PLN290 billion ($71.7 billion). Some of the projects are construction of S5 expressway, S6 expressway, S8 expressway, S16 expressway and S12 expressway. Growth in the renewable energy sector will be supported by the government’s National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP), under which, it plans to produce 51.8% of electricity from renewables by 2030 and nearly 79.8% by 2040, compared to 29% in 2024. As part of the plan, the government also aims to cease operations of coal-fired power plants around 2035.
The Construction in Poland - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2029 (Q4 2025) report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into the Polish construction industry, including:
- The Polish construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Polish construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Report Scope
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Poland. It provides:
- Historical (2020-2024) and forecast (2025-2029) valuations of the construction industry in Poland, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using our standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts
- Understand the latest industry and market trends
- Formulate and validate business strategies using the analyst's critical and actionable insight
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors
Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance6 Construction Market Data
3 Context
4 Construction Outlook
5 Key Industry Participants
7 Appendix
List of Tables
List of Figures
