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South Africa Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market, 2023-2027

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    Report

  • 50 Pages
  • December 2023
  • Region: South Africa
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5782607
The publisher expects the construction industry in South Africa to grow by 1.9% in real terms in 2024, supported by the government’s focus on infrastructure development, to achieve high economic growth and expand access to basic services. The South African government presented its medium-term budget policy statement in November 2023. As part of the statement, the government announced a plan to establish the “Infrastructure Finance and Implementation Support Agency” to attract private sector finance and expertise into public infrastructure programmes. The government will also widen the scope for concessional borrowing, through which private-sector investors and multilateral institutions can co-invest with the government in selected infrastructure projects. As part of its next budget that is scheduled to be unveiled in February 2024, the government plans to announce measures to help the automotive sector transition to new energy vehicle (EV) production.

Forecast-period growth in the South African construction industry will also be supported by investments in the transport, energy, industrial and housing projects. The government plans to increase the share of renewable energy in its total electricity mix from 11% in 2019 to 41% by 2030 and decommission 8-12GW of coal-fired power plants by the end of 2030. In mid-December 2023, the government launched a bidding round for over 7.6GW of new power generation capacity, to address power outage in the country. This includes bids for 5GW of renewable energy - including bids for 3.2GW of onshore wind and 1.8GW of solar photovoltaic (PV) power capacity, 2GW of energy via gas and 615MW from battery storage. Bid submission is scheduled for April 2024, with the winners expected to be announced three months post the bid submission date. Previously, in November 2023, the government had secured ZAR31.8 billion ($1.9 billion) in concessional loans from major international lenders, for its energy transition plan. In a boost to the industry’s output, in late November 2023, the South African National Roads Agency SOC Limited (Sanral) announced that it will re-advertise 86 road construction tenders, collectively valued at ZAR7.2 billion ($430.4million); these projects were among those stalled due to a legal impasse between Sanral and some construction companies.

The report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the South African construction industry, including:

  • The South African construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the South African construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in South Africa. It provides -
  • Historical (2018-2022) and forecast (2023-2027) valuations of the construction industry in South Africa, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using the standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.
  • Formulate and validate strategy using the critical and actionable insight.
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
  • Outlook
  • Latest news and developments
  • Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
  • Outlook
  • Project analytics
  • Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
  • About the Publisher
  • Contact the Publisher
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: South Africa, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: South Africa, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 4: South Africa, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: South Africa, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 6: South Africa, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: South Africa, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 8: South Africa, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: South Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 10: South Africa, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: South Africa, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 12: South Africa, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: South Africa, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018-27
Table 14: South Africa, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: South Africa, Key Contractors
Table 16: South Africa, Key Consultants
Table 17: South Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 18: South Africa, Construction Output Value (Nominal, ZAR Million)
Table 19: Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2021-27
Figure 2: South Africa, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2021-23 and 2024-27
Figure 3: South Africa, Risk Summary
Figure 4: South Africa, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 5: South Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018-27
Figure 6: South Africa, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 7: South Africa, Construction Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 8: South Africa, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices))
Figure 9: South Africa, Employment in the Construction Industry (In Thousands)
Figure 10: South Africa, Value of Building Plans Passed, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 11: South Africa, Value of Buildings Reported as Completed, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 12: South Africa, Construction Materials Price Index, Total Construction, Dec 2021=100
Figure 13: South Africa, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 14: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 15: South Africa, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 16: South Africa, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 17: South Africa, Total Value of Building Plans Passed for Office and Banking Space and Shopping Space, Current Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 18: South Africa, Total Value of Building Plans for Office and Banking Space and Shopping Space Reported as Completed, Current Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 19: South Africa, Income from Accommodation and Food Services (ZAR Million, Current Prices)
Figure 20: South Africa, Total Retail and Wholesale Trade Sales (Constant 2019 Prices, ZAR Billion)
Figure 21: South Africa, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 22: South Africa, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 23: South Africa, Manufacturing Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 24: South Africa, Total Value of Industrial and Warehouse Space Plans Passed, Current Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 25: South Africa, Volume Index of Manufacturing Production (2019=100)
Figure 26: South Africa, Absa Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), Business Activity Index and New Sales Orders Index, Seasonally Adjusted
Figure 27: South Africa, Total Merchandise Exports (ZAR Billion)
Figure 28: South Africa, Volume Index of Mining Production (2019=100) and Mineral Sales (Current Prices, ZAR Billion)
Figure 29: South Africa, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 30: South Africa, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 31: South Africa, Construction Materials Price Index, Civil Engineering Construction, Dec 2021=100
Figure 32: South Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 33: South Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 34: South Africa, Electricity, Gas and Water Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 35: South Africa, Electricity Production (GWh)
Figure 36: South Africa, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 37: South Africa, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 38: South Africa, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018-27
Figure 39: South Africa, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 40: South Africa, Real Estate Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 41: South Africa, Gross Fixed Capital Formation Residential (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 42: South Africa, Total Value of Residential Building Plans Passed, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 43: South Africa, Total Value of Residential Buildings Reported as Completed, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 44: South Africa, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 45: South Africa, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)