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The Coming Market for Quantum Repeaters: A Ten-Year Market Forecast

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    Report

  • December 2022
  • Region: Global
  • Inside Quantum Technology
  • ID: 5725682

Report Predicts Total Purchases of Quantum Repeaters to Reach $350 million over the Coming Decade: Will Give Birth to the Quantum Internet

According to the analyst in its latest report, networks are expected to purchase a total of around $350 million in repeaters by 2032. As enabling technology, quantum repeaters’ impact will be enormous, leading directly to the creation of the Quantum Internet.

Report Scope:

Several years ago, the analyst was the first research firm ever to forecast the market for quantum repeaters. We have always believed that the quantum repeater is the enabling technology that will propel the Quantum Internet from a disconnected collection of testbeds to an integrated network capable of carrying qubits. In this new report, the analyst provides an analysis of what the value of the quantum repeater market will be and who the main contenders are in supplying quantum repeaters at a commercial level.

The introduction of optical amplifiers into the fiber optic networks in the 1980s and 1990s transformed optical networking into a global platform for high-speed data communications and IQT believes something similar will happen as quantum repeaters are installed in the network. In analyzing who will be the winners and losers in the quantum repeater stakes, we take into consideration vendors’ technology and marketing strengths as well their connections to the marketplace and the all-important government agencies.

This report also describes at a granular level the various approaches to building quantum repeaters and the tier one companies and research centers developing them.

Repeaters provide the ability to build distributed quantum networks connecting quantum devices such as quantum sensors and quantum computers and therefore potentially quantum repeaters create huge amounts of value for carriers, equipment vendors and component makers. But many challenges remain as do big differences of opinion on how quantum repeaters can be built most profitably. This report will provide a “guide for the perplexed” on where the money will be made and where it will be lost in the quantum repeater market to come.

Key Highlights: 

  • No firm has yet developed a commercial quantum repeater. Yet an impressive group of firms are involved with this issue. They include Cisco, ID Quantique, Juniper, Raytheon BBN, Qunnect, Aliro, NTT, NEC, Q-Bird, Toshiba, and LQUOM
  • Many quantum repeaters designs use quantum memory. These are expected to yield the most feature-rich repeaters. Some of the memory approaches that have been tried including solid-state impurities, quantum dots, trapped ions, neutral atoms, cold atomic ensembles. Another approach to building quantum repeaters uses all-optical components. These can be run at room temperature but suffer from limitations of scale.
  • For the next few years, IQT Research believes the Chinese market for quantum repeaters will dominate, with European markets a distant second. However, by 2029, IQT’s projections show the US becoming the main user of quantum repeaters, assuming that its growing government industry collaboration in quantum networking continues to grow and remains well funded.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary        
E.1 Goal and Scope of this Report
E.2 Quantum Memories and Quantum Repeaters
E.3 Markets for Quantum Repeaters
 
Chapter One: Introduction        
1.1 Goal and Scope of this Report
1.2 What is a Quantum Repeater?
1.2.1 New Technologies for Quantum Repeaters
1.2.2 Quantum Repeater Designs:  Quantum Memories and Optical Components
1.3 Markets for Quantum Repeaters:  Quantum Networks the Quantum Internet
1.3.1 Entanglement and Quantum Networking
1.4 Quantum Repeaters as a Business
 
Chapter Two: New Technologies Required for Quantum Repeaters   
2.1 Introduction
2.1.1 First-generation Repeaters
2.1.2 Materials for Repeaters
2.2 Quantum Memory
2.3 Synchronization for Quantum Repeaters
2.4 Photon Sources and Detectors for Quantum Repeaters
2.5 Entanglement Protocols for Quantum Repeaters
2.6 Error Correction for Quantum Repeaters
2.7 Outlook
 
Chapter Three: Quantum Repeaters in China         
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Jian Wei-Pan
3.2.1 All-Optical Approach to QRs
3.2.2 Cold Atoms
3.3 Guang-Can Guo
3.4 Outlook for China’s Quantum Networking
 
Chapter Four: Quantum Repeaters in Asia: South Korea, Japan, and Singapore   
4.1 Japan
4.1.1 QuREP
4.1.2 NTT
4.1.3 Toshiba
4.2 South Korea
4.3 Singapore
 
Chapter Five: Quantum Repeaters in Europe         
5.1 Introduction
5.1.1 Outlook for European QR Development
5.2 Austria
5.2.1 The Invention of GHZ
5.2.2 Quantum Austria Funding Initiative
5.3 France
5.3.1 French Quantum Plan
5.3.2 CNRS and PASQAL
5.3.3 CEA
5.3.4 INRIA
5.4 Spain
5.4.1 Institute of Photonic Sciences (ICFO)
5.4.2 Barcelona Institute of Science and Technology
5.5 Switzerland
5.5.1 University of Geneva
5.5.2 EPFL
5.5.3 ETH-Zurich
5.5.4 IDQuantique
5.6 The Netherlands
5.6.1 QIA
5.7 United Kingdom
5.7.1 The Networked Quantum Information Technologies NQIT Hub
5.7.2 Advances in Quantum Memories
 
Chapter Six: Quantum Repeaters in North America         
6.1 Introduction
6.1.1 National Quantum Initiative
6.1.2 National Subcommittee on Quantum Information Science
6.1.3 CHIPS
6.2 Center for Quantum Networking
6.3 DOE and DOD Quantum Information Science Centers
6.3.1 The Quantum Science Center
6.3.2 Q-NEXT Science Center
6.3.3 Other DOD-led Research Centers
6.4 National Institute of Standards - NIST
6.5 Stony Brook University and Brookhaven National Labs
6.6 Other University Efforts
6.7 Commercial Labs: Amazon, Cisco, and Juniper
6.7.1 Cisco Systems
6.7.2 Juniper
6.7.3 Amazon
6.8 Outlook for Quantum Repeater Development in the U.S.
 
Chapter Seven: Early Entrants into the Quantum Repeater and Related Markets  
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Aliro Quantum (United States)
7.2.1 Emulators and Simulators
7.2.2 Outlook
7.3 ColdQuanta (United States)
7.3.1 Outlook
7.4 LQUOM (Japan)
7.4.1 Products
7.5 Quantum Network Technologies (United States)
7.6 Q-bird (The Netherlands)
7.7 Qunnect (United States)
7.7.1 Qunnect Hardware
7.7.2 Finance
7.8 Raytheon BBN (United States)
 
Chapter Eight: Market Forecast          
8.1 Introduction:  Forecasting Methodology
8.2 Available Market for Quantum Repeaters
8.3 Penetration Rates
8.4 Replacement Rates
8.5 Price Points
 
List of Exhibits
Exhibit E-1:  Three Generations of Quantum Repeater Development
Exhibit 2-1:  Memory Technologies for Quantum Repeaters
Exhibit 3-1: China Commercial Ventures in Quantum Communication
Exhibit 4-1:  Optical Link Technology for Quantum Memory in Japan
Exhibit 4-2: Quantum Repeater Fundamental Technology in Japan
Exhibit 5-1: Quantum Repeater Fundamental Technologies: Selected QIA Activity
Exhibit 6-1: Research Thrusts for CQN Program
Exhibit 6-2: Scientific Research Thrusts for the OSC
Exhibit 6-3: Scientific Research Thrusts for the Q-NEXT
Exhibit 6-4: DOE QIS Research Centers with Less Focus on Quantum Networking
Exhibit 6-5: Key Components Being Developed by NIST
Exhibit 8-1: Ten-year Market Forecast of Worldwide Quantum Repeater Market:
Primary Analysis
Exhibit 8-2: Ten-year Market Forecast of Worldwide Quantum Repeater Revenues: By Technology Generation
($ Millions)
Exhibit 8-3: Ten-year Market Forecast of Worldwide Quantum Repeater Market: By Geography ($ Millions)

Companies Mentioned

  • Aliro Quantam
  • Amazon
  • CEA
  • CHIPS
  • CNRS and PASQAL
  • Cisco Systems
  • Cold Atoms
  • ColdQuanta
  • EPFL
  • ETH-Zurich
  • Guang-Can Guo
  • IDQuantique
  • INRIA
  • Jian Wei-Pan
  • Juniper
  • LQUOM
  • NTT
  • Q-bird
  • QIA
  • QuREP
  • Quantum Network Technologies
  • Qunnect Hardware
  • Raytheon BBN
  • The Quantum Science Center
  • Toshiba
  • University of Geneva

Methodology

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