Ductless Heating and Cooling Systems Market Report 2026

The ductless heating and cooling systems market size has grown strongly in recent years. It will grow from $93.05 billion in 2025 to $101.89 billion in 2026 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to growing adoption of energy-efficient hvac systems, rising consumer awareness of air quality, increasing retrofit activities in older buildings, expanding residential construction, shift toward cost-efficient climate control solutions.

The ductless heating and cooling systems market size is expected to see strong growth in the next few years. It will grow to $144.7 billion in 2030 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.2%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to rising demand for smart and connected hvac systems, growth in multi-zone system installations, increasing adoption of heat pump technologies, expansion of energy-efficient building standards, advancements in ductless system performance and filtration. Major trends in the forecast period include growing demand for energy-efficient temperature control solutions, rising adoption of multi-zone heating and cooling systems, increasing preference for ductless systems in retrofit and renovation projects, expansion of residential and light commercial installations, advancements in air quality and filtration technologies.

The increasing number of smart homes is expected to drive the growth of the ductless heating and cooling systems market in the coming years. Smart homes are residences equipped with internet-connected devices that allow automated control of household systems - such as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning - through centralized platforms or mobile applications. The adoption of smart homes is rising due to growing consumer demand for energy efficiency and remote accessibility, as homeowners look for automated solutions that offer real-time monitoring and control of indoor environments while reducing utility expenses. This rising demand for smart homes is boosting the need for ductless heating and cooling systems, as these zoned climate control units integrate seamlessly with smart home platforms, enabling homeowners to adjust temperature settings in individual rooms using automated controls and smartphone connectivity. For example, in August 2025, Eurostat, a Luxembourg-based statistical office of the European Union, reported that in 2024, 14.2% of people used internet-connected home energy management systems, 12.8% used smart home appliances, and 11.8% used smart home security devices. Therefore, the increasing number of smart homes is fueling the growth of the ductless heating and cooling systems market over the forecast period.

Leading companies in the Ductless Heating and Cooling Systems market are focusing on developing innovative solutions, such as ductless heat pump systems, to improve energy efficiency and offer flexible climate control options for both residential and commercial spaces. Ductless heat pump systems are energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions that comprise an outdoor unit and one or more indoor units, facilitating flexible climate control without the necessity for ductwork, enabling zoned temperature management, and enhancing indoor air quality. For example, in May 2024, Quilt, a U.S.-based technology-driven HVAC company, introduced an innovative ductless heat pump system designed for modern home climate control. This system features customizable indoor units with sleek designs and smart technology. It employs millimeter-wave radar sensors for occupancy detection, enabling efficient room-by-room temperature management through a smartphone app or a dedicated remote. With impressive energy efficiency ratings (SEER2 25 and HSPF2 12) and the capability to function effectively in extreme temperatures, the Quilt heat pump is priced at $6,499 per room, installation included.

In May 2024, Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd., a South Korea-based manufacturer of ductless heating and cooling systems, entered into a partnership with Lennox International Inc. to combine their technological innovation and market strengths in delivering next-generation HVAC comfort solutions. Through this collaboration, Samsung’s expertise in HVAC technology will be integrated with Lennox’s strong market presence across North America to expand the availability of high-efficiency heating and cooling systems in the U.S. and Canada. Lennox International Inc. is a U.S.-based provider of residential and commercial heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning solutions.

Major companies operating in the ductless heating and cooling systems market are Daikin Industries Ltd., Fujitsu General Ltd., Hitachi Ltd., Johnson Controls International PLC, Carrier Global Corporation, Trane Technologies plc, Emerson Electric Co., Honeywell International Inc., Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, Nortek Air Solutions LLC, Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd., GREE Electric Appliances Inc. of Zhuhai, Midea Group Co. Ltd., Panasonic Corporation, Haier Smart Home Co. Ltd., Electrolux AB, Lennox International Inc., Rheem Manufacturing Company, Pioneer Air Conditioning & Heating Co., Mirage HVAC Systems Inc., Friedrich Air Conditioning Co. Ltd., LG HVAC, Senville, Air-Con International Inc., Cooper&Hunter International Corporation, YMGI Group.

Note that the outlook for this market is being affected by rapid changes in trade relations and tariffs globally. The report will be updated prior to delivery to reflect the latest status, including revised forecasts and quantified impact analysis. The report’s Recommendations and Conclusions sections will be updated to give strategies for entities dealing with the fast-moving international environment.

Tariffs are impacting the ductless heating and cooling systems market by increasing the cost of imported components such as compressors, refrigerants, electronic controls, and heat pump units, thereby raising manufacturing and installation expenses. The heat pump, cooling-only split system, and smart window air conditioner segments are the most affected, particularly in regions dependent on imports such as North America and Europe. Despite these challenges, tariffs have also encouraged regional production expansion, strengthened domestic supply chains, and stimulated innovation in energy-efficient and locally manufactured ductless solutions.

The ductless heating and cooling systems market research report is one of a series of new reports that provides ductless heating and cooling systems market statistics, including ductless heating and cooling systems industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with a ductless heating and cooling systems market share, detailed ductless heating and cooling systems market segments, market trends and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the ductless heating and cooling systems industry. This ductless heating and cooling systems market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenario of the industry.

Ductless heating and cooling systems are essential for temperature control, optimizing airflow, and ensuring comfortable indoor environments. They present a cost-effective alternative to central HVAC installations, especially in spaces without existing ductwork, surpassing the convenience of single-room heaters and window air conditioners. These systems deliver superior control, energy efficiency, and enhanced air quality, thereby elevating the overall efficiency and comfort of indoor spaces.

Key variations of ductless heating and cooling systems include cooling-only split systems, heat pumps, chilled water systems, and window air conditioners. Cooling-only split systems comprise interconnected indoor and outdoor units through copper tubing. Split systems commonly feature an external heat pump or air conditioner, paired with an internal gas furnace or fan coil. Widely applicable in residential, commercial, and industrial settings, these ductless systems offer versatile solutions for temperature regulation.Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the ductless heating and cooling system market in 2025. The regions covered in the ductless heating and cooling systems market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, and Africa. The countries covered in the ductless heating and cooling system market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK and USA.

The ductless heating and cooling system market consists of sales of single zone and multi zone units. Values in this market are ‘factory gate’ values, that is the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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