Kazakhstan Mining Market Trends and Insights
Surge in Global Copper Demand
Copper consumption for electric-vehicle wiring and grid upgrades is pulling 1.2 million tonnes of additional refined copper into the market by 2028. Kazakhstan’s Bozshakol and Aktogay mines produced 285,000 tonnes in 2025, ranking the country 11th worldwide. Rail electrification at Khorgos cut transit times to Chinese smelters from 21 days to 14 days, lowering landed costs by USD 120-150 per tonne and enabling sellers to capture a 3-4% price premium over seaborne cargoes. Newly drilled resources in the Balkhash basin add 4.8 million tonnes of inferred copper, supporting a moderate annual output hike through 2030.Government-Led Uranium Expansion Plans
Kazatomprom approved USD 1.2 billion for six new in-situ leach wellfields and sulfuric-acid capacity, seeking 28,000 tonnes of uranium by 2028 - roughly 43% of global supply. With 62 gigawatts of nuclear capacity under construction in China, India, and the UAE, long-term fuel contracts provide predictable demand. In-situ leach cuts capital intensity by up to 50% and slashes water use in the arid Chu-Sarysu basin. Capturing conversion margins at the Ulba Metallurgical Plant could add USD 400-500 million in annual export value by 2030.Volatile Global Commodity Prices
Copper prices swung from USD 9,850 per tonne in Jan 2024 to USD 6,400 in Oct 2024 before rebounding to USD 8,900 by mid-2025, squeezing mid-tier margins. Only 18% of 2025 output was hedged, versus 35-40% for peers in Chile and Australia. Limited access to derivatives leaves smaller firms exposed to spot risk or burdensome tolling terms with Chinese smelters.Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
- Modernisation of Coal-Fired Power Fleet
- Belt and Road Rail Upgrades Slash Export Costs
- Ageing Mine Infrastructure
Segment Analysis
The coal segment captured 38.80% of revenue in 2025, while the non-ferrous metal segment is set for growth at a 10.56% CAGR through 2031. Kazzinc’s Ust-Kamenogorsk refinery is boosting zinc capacity to 360,000 tonnes by 2026, while Tau-Ken Samruk’s Zhairem discovery underpins a 1.2 million-tonne underground mine by 2029. Rare-earth commitments of USD 180 million in 2025 further diversify earnings as battery materials demand rises.A second wave of investment targets manganese-lead-zinc ore in the Altai and Balkhash belts, underlining the pivot from bulk ferrous to specialty metals. Ferrous ores still feed 4.2 million tonnes of crude steel at ArcelorMittal Temirtau, but renewable power and rising scrap use constrain iron-ore upside. Coal output from Ekibastuz stabilizes electricity supply yet faces efficiency-driven demand plateaus.
Complete Report Scope:
- By Mineral Type
- Coal
- Ferrous Metal
- Non Ferrous Metal
- By Mining Method
- Surface (Open-pit)
- Underground
- In-situ Leach
- By End-user Industry
- Steel and Alloy Production
- Power Generation
- Non-Ferrous Smelting
- Construction Materials
- Other End-user Industries (Nuclear Fuel Cycle, Chemical Processing, etc.)
List of Companies Covered in this Report:
- ArcelorMittal
- Bogatyr Coal
- East Star Resources Plc
- Eurasian Resources Group
- JSC AK Altynalmas
- KAZ Minerals
- Kazakhmys Corporation LLC
- Kazzinc Ltd
- Ken Resources PLC
- NAC Kazatomprom JSC
- Stepnogorsk Mining & Chemical Complex LLP
- Tau-Ken Samruk
Additional Benefits:
- The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
- 3 months of analyst support
Table of Contents
Companies Mentioned (Partial List)
A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:
- ArcelorMittal
- Bogatyr Coal
- East Star Resources Plc
- Eurasian Resources Group
- JSC AK Altynalmas
- KAZ Minerals
- Kazakhmys Corporation LLC
- Kazzinc Ltd
- Ken Resources PLC
- NAC Kazatomprom JSC
- Stepnogorsk Mining & Chemical Complex LLP
- Tau-Ken Samruk

