Following an annual growth in real terms of 1.7% in 2024, the Russian construction industry is expected to decline marginally by 0.7% in 2025, due to weakness in the housing sector, coupled with high interest rates and effects of Western sanctions. The increasing western sanctions, coupled with a 32.5% increase in defense spending due to war in Ukraine are expected to weigh on the construction industry in 2025, as defense spending accounts for most of the total national budget. In December 2024, the Ministry of Transport reported that for incurring an interest payment cost of RUB687.5 billion ($6.9 billion), Russia’s state-owned railway company Russia Railways will reduce its spending on the development of the railway infrastructure to RUB890 billion ($8.6 billion) in 2025, a decline of 40% compared to 2024. Also, the rising threat of mass bankruptcies in Russian road companies coupled with cessation of operations of foreign construction companies are expected to weigh on the construction works in 2025. In late-February 2025, the French construction company, Vinci ceased its operations in Russia due to looming hindrances in its business operations.
Despite the ongoing challenges and weakness in the housing sector, The analyst expects the construction industry to reflect a recovery from 2026 by growing at an annual average growth rate of 2.4% between 2026 and 2029, supported by investments in mining, transport infrastructure, oil and gas projects and renewable energy infrastructure. In January 2025, President Putin announced plans to modernize 75 airports in the country at a total cost of RUB264.8 billion ($2.7 billion) by the end of 2029 as part of the airport infrastructure modernization program to modernize 100 airports by 2030.
Despite the ongoing challenges and weakness in the housing sector, The analyst expects the construction industry to reflect a recovery from 2026 by growing at an annual average growth rate of 2.4% between 2026 and 2029, supported by investments in mining, transport infrastructure, oil and gas projects and renewable energy infrastructure. In January 2025, President Putin announced plans to modernize 75 airports in the country at a total cost of RUB264.8 billion ($2.7 billion) by the end of 2029 as part of the airport infrastructure modernization program to modernize 100 airports by 2030.
The Construction in Russia - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2029 (Q1 2025) report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Russian construction industry, including:
- The Russian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Russian construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Scope
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Russia. It provides:
- Historical (2020-2024) and forecast (2025-2029) valuations of the construction industry in Russia, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using our standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts
- Understand the latest industry and market trends
- Formulate and validate business strategies using the analyst's critical and actionable insight
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors
Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance6 Construction Market Data
3 Context
4 Construction Outlook
5 Key Industry Participants
7 Appendix
List of Tables
List of Figures