Canada Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis to 2030 (Q3 2026)
Summary
The construction industry in Canada is expected to register real-term growth of 1.2% in 2026, marking a deceleration from the 2.3% growth recorded in 2025. This moderation is due to reduced investment in industrial developments, elevated energy costs, and persistent trade uncertainty linked to tensions in the Middle East and the ongoing trade war with the US. Statistics Canada reports that the industry’s value-add at constant prices (seasonally adjusted at annual rates) edged down by 0.5% year-on-year (YoY) in H1 2026. By segment, residential construction declined by 2.4%, while non-residential construction delivered a subdued performance during the same period. For decades, trade agreements among the US, Mexico, and Canada have supported the free movement of goods across the bloc.Over the remainder of the forecast period, the Canadian construction industry is projected to record an annual average growth of 2.5% between 2027 and 2030, underpinned by sustained investments in transport infrastructure, data centers, and housing construction. Growth during the forecast period will be further reinforced by the Ontario government’s plan to invest CAD210 billion ($153.1 billion) in social infrastructure over 10 years, including CAD37 billion ($27 billion) in 2026-27. This program includes the development of hospitals, highways, transit, and community infrastructure to strengthen Ontario’s economy and ensure communities thrive for generations to come. In addition, in April 2026, the Government of Canada launched the Build Communities Strong Fund, which will provide CAD51 billion ($37.2 billion) in funding over 10 years to support the development of housing, health, transit, sport, education, and climate adaptation across the country.
The analyst’s Construction in Canada - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2030 (Q3 2026) report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into Canada’s construction industry, including:
- Canada’s construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in Canada’s construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline
Scope
- This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Canada. It provides:
- Historical (2021-2025) and forecast (2026-2030) valuations of the construction industry in Canada, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using our standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts
- Understand the latest industry and market trends
- Formulate and validate business strategies using the analyst's critical and actionable insight
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors

