- Despite inflation receding, post-COVID-19 recovery is challenged by a range of macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges.
- Inflation will be tamed in 2024, but its impact on the healthcare will still be elevated.
- Although the situation has improved in most of the countries, risings costs still triggered patients to postpone or stop treatments in H2 2023.
- Despite some improvement, out-of-pocket costs were an important factor for patients when choosing a treatment in H2 2023.
- Surveyed HCPs expected drug prices to grow with the inflation rate.
- Despite the pharma industry’s skepticism, US HCPs believed that the IRA could lead to lower drug prices.
- Physicians agreed that biosimilars could provide cost savings for the patients and healthcare systems and their use should be encouraged.
- Drug pricing control and movement towards preventive care were highlighted as the top solutions to reduce inflation in the healthcare sector.
- Despite decreasing inflation rates, the healthcare sector will face turbulent times in 2024.
- Despite some improvement, rising costs are forcing patients to postpone or stop treatments; it will take years for the backlogs to clear.
- Drug pricing control and movement towards preventive care may be reliable methods to reduce inflation in the healthcare sector.
Scope
- Assess the impact of inflation on the healthcare sector
- Highlight the impact of inflation on patient treatment
- Capture physicians’ opinions on drug price growth
- Identify possible inflation reduction measures in the healthcare sector
- Explore physicians’ views on inflation reduction acts, such as the IRA
- Assess physicians’ opinions on biosimilar use as a mean to provide cost savings
- Compare results with previous, 2022 and 2023 H1 survey findings
Reasons to Buy
- Develop and design your corporate strategies through an in-house expert analysis of the key factors to impact the healthcare industry.
- Develop business strategies by understanding the key factors to impact healthcare research and manufacturing due to inflation.
- Stay up to date on the industry’s changing sentiment during inflation within the healthcare industry.
- Identify emerging industry trends to gain a competitive advantage.
- Understand current macro events impacting healthcare industry.
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary2. Study Design
3. Economic Outlook
4. Inflation in the US, 5EU and Japan
5. Inflation - Impact on Patient Treatment
6. Inflation - Drug Prices and Treatment Costs
7. Future Considerations
8. Summary of Key Findings
9. Appendix 1
10. Appendix 2
11. Contact the Publisher
List of Tables
Table 1a: Abbreviations
Table 1b: Abbreviations
Table 1c: Abbreviations
Table 2a: Related reports
Table 2b: Upcoming reports
Table 3: Estimated discounts generated by medicare drug negotiations
List of Figures
Figure 1: Respondent Mix
Figure 2a: Respondent Mix by specialty
Figure 2b: Respondent Mix by country
Figure 3: Rating of anticipated impact of emerging regulatory and macroeconomic trends on the pharmaceutical industry in 2024
Figure 4: Optimism about the industry’s growth, 2021-2024
Figure 5: Global economy projections
Figure 6: Health spending value measured as a share of GDP
Figure 7: Retail pharmaceutical spending value measured as a share of GDP
Figure 8: Consumer price inflation - France
Figure 9: Consumer price inflation - US
Figure 10: Consumer price inflation - Germany
Figure 11: Consumer price inflation - Italy
Figure 12: Consumer price inflation - Spain
Figure 13: Gas prices for household consumers: France, Germany, Italy, and Spain
Figure 14: Electricity prices for household consumers: France, Germany, Italy, and Spain
Figure 15: Consumer price inflation - UK
Figure 16: Consumer price inflation - Japan
Figure 17a: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare in the US
Figure 17b: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare will stabilize in US
Figure 18a: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare in the France
Figure 18b: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare will stabilize in France
Figure 19a: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare in the Germany
Figure 19b: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare will stabilize in Germany
Figure 20a: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare in the Italy
Figure 20b: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare will stabilize in Italy
Figure 21a: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare in the Spain
Figure 21b: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare will stabilize in Spain
Figure 22a: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare in the UK
Figure 22b: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare will stabilize in UK
Figure 23a: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare in the Japan
Figure 23b: Number of patients stopping or postponing treatment increased due to rising costs of healthcare will stabilize in Japan
Figure 24: Inflation impact on patient treatment: 2022 vs 2023 H1 vs 2023 H2 data
Figure 25a: Number of patients considering “out of pocket” costs as a more important factor when choosing a treatment plan increased in the US
Figure 25b: Drug prices will grow with the inflation rate in the US
Figure 26: HCPs’ thoughts on the IRA’s ability to reduce drug prices
Figure 27a: Number of patients considering “out of pocket” costs as a more important factor when choosing a treatment plan increased in the France
Figure 27b: Drug prices will grow with the inflation rate in the France
Figure 28a: Number of patients considering “out of pocket” costs as a more important factor when choosing a treatment plan increased in the Germany
Figure 28b: Drug prices will grow with the inflation rate in the Germany
Figure 29a: Number of patients considering “out of pocket” costs as a more important factor when choosing a treatment plan increased in the Italy
Figure 29b: Drug prices will grow with the inflation rate in the Italy
Figure 30a: Number of patients considering “out of pocket” costs as a more important factor when choosing a treatment plan increased in the Spain
Figure 30b: Drug prices will grow with the inflation rate in the Spain
Figure 31a: Number of patients considering “out of pocket” costs as a more important factor when choosing a treatment plan increased in the UK
Figure 31b: Drug prices will grow with the inflation rate in the UK
Figure 32: Number of people on NHS waiting lists for consultant-led elective care
Figure 33a: Number of patients considering “out of pocket” costs as a more important factor when choosing a treatment plan increased in the Japan
Figure 33b: Drug prices will grow with the inflation rate in the Japan
Figure 34: Inflation - treatment cost: 2022 vs 2023 H1 data
Figure 35: Inflation - sentiment change
Figure 36: Main cause of inflation and rising costs in healthcare
Figure 37: Initiatives that could help to reduce inflation in healthcare
Figure 38: Initiatives that could help to reduce inflation in healthcare, by country
Figure 39: Physician comfort level with using AI
Figure 40: Percentage of physicians and patients who felt comfortable with AI use in various patient care-related tasks
Figure 41a: Use of biosimilars can provide cost savings for the patients and healthcare systems in the US
Figure 41b: Use of biosimilars should be encouraged in the US
Figure 42a: Use of biosimilars can provide cost savings for the patients and healthcare systems in the France
Figure 42b: Use of biosimilars should be encouraged in the France
Figure 43a: Use of biosimilars can provide cost savings for the patients and healthcare systems in the Germany
Figure 43b: Use of biosimilars should be encouraged in the Germany
Figure 44a: Use of biosimilars can provide cost savings for the patients and healthcare systems in the Italy
Figure 44b: Use of biosimilars should be encouraged in the Italy
Figure 45a: Use of biosimilars can provide cost savings for the patients and healthcare systems in the Spain
Figure 45b: Use of biosimilars should be encouraged in the Spain
Figure 46a: Use of biosimilars can provide cost savings for the patients and healthcare systems in the UK
Figure 46b: Use of biosimilars should be encouraged in the UK
Figure 47a: Use of biosimilars can provide cost savings for the patients and healthcare systems in the Japan
Figure 47b: Use of biosimilars should be encouraged in the Japan
Companies Mentioned (Partial List)
A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:
- AbbVie
- Amgen
- Astellas
- AstraZeneca
- BMS
- Boehringer Ingelheim
- Eli Lilly
- J&J
- Merck
- Novartis
- Novo Nordisk
- Pfizer