Fuel Oil Market Report 2025

The fuel oil market size has grown steadily in recent years. It will grow from $191.29 billion in 2024 to $196.03 billion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.5%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to industrialization and economic growth, rise in power generation, increasing maritime and shipping industry, population growth.

The fuel oil market size is expected to see steady growth in the next few years. It will grow to $228.39 billion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.9%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to infrastructure development, energy efficiency, resilience and emergency preparedness, increasing demand for backup power solutions. Major trends in the forecast period include advanced emissions control technologies, decentralized energy solutions, maritime shipping, technological innovations.

The forecast of 3.9% growth over the next five years indicates a slight reduction of 0.2% from the previous projection. This reduction is primarily due to the impact of tariffs between the US and other countries. This is likely to directly affect the US through reduced availability of vacuum gas oil blending components from Middle Eastern suppliers, forcing power plants and marine operators to seek more expensive alternatives. The effect will also be felt more widely due to reciprocal tariffs and the negative effect on the global economy and trade due to increased trade tensions and restrictions.

The rising demand for oil is expected to drive the growth of the fuel oil market in the coming years. In the petroleum industry, oil refers to crude oil, a naturally occurring mixture of hydrocarbons and other organic compounds found in subsurface rock formations. Sectors such as transportation, industrialization, and power generation have high energy needs, with growing global populations, economic development, and seasonal factors also influencing fuel oil demand. For example, in October 2024, the Energy Information Administration, a U.S.-based federal agency responsible for collecting and disseminating energy information, reported that global production of petroleum and other liquid fuels will increase by 2 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2025, compared to a growth of just 0.5 million b/d in 2024. Additionally, in June 2023, the International Energy Agency, a France-based intergovernmental organization, projected that global oil demand would reach 105.7 million barrels per day (mb/d) by 2028, marking a cumulative increase of 6% from 2022. As a result, the growing demand for oil is driving the expansion of the fuel oil market.

The burgeoning demand for electricity is set to power the growth of the fuel oil market in the foreseeable future. Electricity, the movement of electric charge through conductors, fuels an array of electrical devices and systems, underpinning modern technology and our daily lives. The escalating need for electricity holds particular significance in the fuel oil sector, as it plays a pivotal role in enhancing the efficiency, safety, and control of fuel oil heating systems. The amalgamation of electricity with fuel oil can pave the way for more dependable and energy-efficient heating solutions. For instance, in 2022, as per data published by Our World in Data, a UK-based scientific online publication, the demand for electricity in the United States surged from 4,192.9 terawatt-hours (TWh) in 2021 to 4,338.1 TWh in 2022. This upswing in electricity demand is a pivotal driver for the burgeoning growth of the fuel oil market.

The leading companies in the fuel oil market are embracing cutting-edge technologies like eFining to fortify their market standing. eFining technology involves a methanol-to-jet fuel (MTJ) process, enabling the reliable and large-scale conversion of eMethanol to eSAF (electronic sustainable aviation fuel). In May 2023, Honeywell International Inc., a US-based conglomerate corporation, unveiled its UOP eFining technology - a revolutionary method for generating sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) from captured carbon dioxide (CO2) and renewable hydrogen. This technology surpasses others in terms of efficiency and scalability, positioning it as a prime choice for adoption in the aviation sector. Its efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and scalability make it a pivotal tool in meeting the escalating demand for renewable fuels, particularly SAF. This advancement aligns with global endeavors to expedite the integration of sustainable aviation fuels and attain ambitious decarbonization objectives in the aviation industry.

In September 2022, Approved Oil Company, a US-based provider of energy products and oils, acquired New Utrecht Fuel Oil Co. for an undisclosed amount. This acquisition is part of Approved's strategic effort to broaden its market presence, tap into new industry knowledge, enhance customer service capabilities, and capitalize on economies of scale. This move positions Approved as a more robust contender in the fuel oil market, enabling it to provide enhanced services to its customers. New Utrecht Fuel Oil Co. is a US-based full-service oil company.

Major companies operating in the fuel oil market are Royal Dutch Shell PLC, TotalEnergies SE, BP p.l.c., Chevron Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Phillips 66 Company, Saudi Aramco, ENI S.p.A., Valero Energy Corporation, PJSC Rosneft Oil Company, Reliance Industries Limited, Indian Oil Corporation, Petronas (Petroliam Nasional Berhad), Repsol S.A., Pemex (Petroleos Mexicanos), OMV Group, Petrleos de Venezuela S.A (PDVSA), SK Innovation Co. Ltd., Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL), Surgutneftegas PJSC, Hess Corporation, QatarEnergy, Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation, Sinopec Corp., ExxonMobil Corporation, PJSC Gazprom, OAO Lukoil, National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC).

Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the fuel oil market in 2024. Middle-East is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the forecast period. The regions covered in fuel oil report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East and Africa. The countries covered in the fuel oil market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.

Note that the outlook for this market is being affected by rapid changes in trade relations and tariffs globally. The report will be updated prior to delivery to reflect the latest status, including revised forecasts and quantified impact analysis. The report’s Recommendations and Conclusions sections will be updated to give strategies for entities dealing with the fast-moving international environment.

The sharp rise in U.S. tariffs and ensuing trade tensions in spring 2025 are heavily impacting the oil and gas industry, especially in areas such as exploration equipment, pipeline development, and refining operations. Increased import duties on drilling rigs, steel pipes, and specialized machinery have significantly raised capital expenditures across both upstream and downstream segments. Midstream players are grappling with cost surges for essential components like valves, compressors, and storage tanks, causing delays and disruptions in expansion projects. Refiners, meanwhile, are contending with higher expenses for imported catalysts and control systems critical to operational efficiency. In addition, retaliatory tariffs from major trade partners have curtailed U.S. exports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and crude oil, reducing global competitiveness. In response, companies are ramping up investments in domestic manufacturing alliances, digital asset management tools, and diversified energy portfolios to maintain resilience and protect profitability.

Fuel oil is a petroleum distillation byproduct, existing as a thick, dark liquid ranging from yellowish to light brown. It undergoes refining processes to become a versatile energy source, finding applications in heating, power generation, industrial operations, and transportation.

Fuel oil comes primarily in two forms such as heavy fuel oil (HFO) and light fuel oil. Heavy fuel oil stands out for its higher density and viscosity compared to other fuel oils. It is utilized across various sectors, including transportation via road and domestic waterways, marine bunkers, petrochemicals, residential, commercial, agricultural use, and electricity generation. It can be sourced through oil pipelines, gas stations, and distribution outlets.

The fuel oil market research report is one of a series of new reports that provides fuel oil market statistics, including fuel oil industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with a fuel oil market share, detailed fuel oil market segments, market trends and opportunities and any further data you may need to thrive in the fuel oil industry. This fuel oil market research report delivers a complete perspective on everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenarios of the industry.

The fuel oil market consists of sales of jet fuel, furnace oil, bunker fuel, industrial fuel oil, marine fuel oil, storage tanks, bitumen, asphalt, and kerosene. Values in this market are ‘factory gate’ values, that is, the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD, unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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