Tobacco in India - Research and Markets

After seeing declines during the first year of the pandemic in 2020, cigarettes experienced volume and current value growth in India in 2021 and 2022, which continued for a third year in 2023. This was due to increased office occupancy, moderate price hikes, and a focus on premiumisation. According to commercial real estate firm Cushman and Wakefield, office occupancy rates increased significantly, averaging 70% in November 2023, up from 40-50% in 2022.

The Tobacco in India report offers a comprehensive guide to the size and shape of the market at a national level. It provides the latest retail sales data 2019-2023, allowing you to identify the sectors driving growth. It identifies the leading companies, the leading brands and offers strategic analysis of key factors influencing the market - be the new legislative, distribution or pricing issues. Forecasts to 2028 illustrate how the market is set to change.

Product coverage: Cigarettes, Cigarettes (Illicit+Legal), Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco, Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco.

Data coverage: Market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

Why buy this report?

Get a detailed picture of the Tobacco market;
Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change;
Understand the competitive environment, the market’s major players and leading brands;
Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco in 2023: The big picture
2023 key trends
Competitive landscape
Retailing developments
What next for tobacco?

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislation
Legislative overview
Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum legal smoking age
Smoking prevalence
Health warnings
Plain packaging
Advertising and sponsorship
Point-of-sale display bans
Smoking in public places
Flavoured tobacco product ban
Vapour products

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

MARKET INDICATORS

Table 1 Number of Adult Smokers by Gender 2018-2023

MARKET DATA

Table 2 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 3 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 4 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 5 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 2 Research Sources

CIGARETTES IN INDIAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Increased office occupancy, moderate price hikes, and focus on premiumisation aids the growth of cigarettes in India
ITC Ltd leads the oligopolistic cigarettes category in the country, on the back of a robust portfolio and vast distribution
Marlboro brand grows significantly on the back of the use of Flue-Cured Virginia (FCV) tobacco, affordability, and availability

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Inflation for Flue-Cured Virginia (FCV) tobacco could impede the momentum of the category
India likely to remain a single-stick consumption market, owing to macroeconomic factors
High illicit consumption continues to pose a threat to legal sales

TAXATION AND PRICING

Taxation rates
Summary 3 Taxation and Duty Levies as of 2023
Average cigarette pack price breakdown
Summary 4 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

CATEGORY DATA

Table 78 Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2018-2023
Table 79 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 80 Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 81 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 82 Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 83 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 84 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 85 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 86 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 87 NBO Company Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 88 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 89 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 90 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes: Volume 2018-2023
Table 91 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2023-2028
Table 92 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 93 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 94 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 95 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 96 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 97 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 98 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2023-2028
Table 99 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2023-2028

CIGARS, CIGARILLOS AND SMOKING TOBACCO IN INDIAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Ambience and distribution help to improve penetration for cigars and cigarillos
Manufacturers feel that uniform taxation is the biggest impediment to sales of cigars and cigarillos

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Brands target premium consumers and take on perception biases
Hookah establishments have been reeling under bans in different states across India since the pandemic

CATEGORY DATA

Table 10 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 11 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 12 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 13 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 14 Sales of Cigars by Size: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 15 Sales of Cigarillos by Price Platform 2018-2023
Table 16 NBO Company Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 17 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 18 NBO Company Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 19 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 20 NBO Company Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 21 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 22 NBO Company Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 23 LBN Brand Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 24 NBO Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 25 LBN Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 26 NBO Company Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 27 LBN Brand Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 28 Distribution of Cigars and Cigarillos by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 29 Distribution of Smoking Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

SMOKELESS TOBACCO, E-VAPOUR PRODUCTS AND HEATED TOBACCO IN INDIAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Unorganised market and unethical practices drive demand for smokeless tobacco in India
The Indian government has implemented a ban on e-vapour products to prevent the category from becoming mainstream
The ban on Electronic Nicotine Delivery Systems (ENDS) spells the end for heated tobacco products in India

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Smokeless tobacco escapes the impact of regulation and legislation in some respects
Illicit e-vapour products continue to be an issue for the government

CATEGORY INDICATORS

Table 34 Number of Adult Vapers 2018-2023

CATEGORY DATA

Table 35 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 36 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 37 Sales of E-Vapour Products by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 38 Sales of E-Vapour Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 39 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2018-2023
Table 40 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 41 Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2018-2023
Table 42 Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 43 Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: Volume 2018-2023
Table 44 Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 45 Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 46 Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 47 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 48 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 49 Sales of E-Liquids by Nicotine Strength: % Value 2020-2023
Table 50 NBO Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 51 LBN Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 52 NBO Company Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2019-2023
Table 53 LBN Brand Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2020-2023
Table 54 NBO Company Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 55 LBN Brand Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 56 NBO Company Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 57 LBN Brand Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 58 NBO Company Shares of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Volume 2019-2023
Table 59 LBN Brand Shares of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Volume 2020-2023
Table 60 Distribution of Smokeless Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 61 Distribution of E-Vapour Products by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 62 Distribution of Tobacco Heating Devices by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 63 Distribution of Heated Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 64 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 65 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 66 Forecast Sales of E-Vapour Products by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 67 Forecast Sales of E-Vapour Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 68 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2023-2028
Table 69 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 70 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2023-2028
Table 71 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 72 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: Volume 2023-2028
Table 73 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 74 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 75 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028
Table 76 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

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