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Canada Cards and Payments: Opportunities and Risks to 2030

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    Report

  • 116 Pages
  • October 2026
  • Region: Canada
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 5987445

Canada Cards and Payments: Opportunities and Risks to 2030

Summary

The analyst’s ‘Canada Cards and Payments: Opportunities and Risks to 2030' report provides detailed analysis of market trends in Canada cards and payments industry. It provides values and volumes for a number of key performance indicators in the industry including cards, credit transfer, cash, direct debits and cheques during the review-period (2022-26e).

The report also analyzes various payment card markets operating in the industry and provides detailed information on the number of cards in circulation, transaction values and volumes during the review-period and over the forecast-period (2026e-30f). It also offers information on the country's competitive landscape, including market shares of issuers and schemes.

The report brings together the analyst’s research, modeling, and analysis expertise to allow banks and card issuers to identify segment dynamics and competitive advantages. The report also covers detailed regulatory policies and recent changes in regulatory structure.

The analyst’s ‘Canada Cards and Payments: Opportunities and Risks to 2030' report provides top-level market analysis, information and insights into Canada cards and payments industry, including:

  • Current and forecast values for each market in Canada cards and payments industry, including debit, credit and charge cards.
  • Detailed insights into payment instruments including cards, credit transfer, cash, direct debits and cheques. It also, includes an overview of the country's key alternative payment instruments.
  • Ecommerce market analysis.
  • Analysis of various market drivers and regulations governing Canada cards and payments industry.
  • Detailed analysis of strategies adopted by banks and other institutions to market debit, credit and charge cards.
  • Comprehensive analysis of consumer attitudes and buying preferences for cards.
  • The competitive landscape of Canada cards and payments industry.

Key Highlights

  • Payments Canada is developing a new real-time payment system known as the RTR. The system will support API integrations, enabling participants to offer value-added services. In March 2021, Payments Canada partnered with Interac to leverage its exchange solution for the transmission of RTR payment messages between participants. In July 2026, the RTR By-law was published in the Canada Gazette, Part II, with the by-law and its accompanying rules scheduled to take legal effect on August 24, 2026. Payments Canada announced in May 2026 that the RTR will be introduced in three phases beginning in Q4 2026. Several fintech companies, including Float, Wise, and Koho, joined Payments Canada as members ahead of the RTR launch.
  • Buy now pay later (BNPL) services are gaining prominence, mostly driven by tech-savvy millennials. The solution is becoming a payment alternative for consumers who lack a credit card. PayPal’s 2025 Festive Spending Survey found that 60% of respondents who had not used BNPL would be more inclined to do use if fees were eliminated. To capitalize on this, in November 2025, PayPal launched its Pay in 4 service in Canada, offering consumers an interest-free, no-fee BNPL option. Under this, users can convert their purchases between CAD30 ($21.46) and CAD1,500 ($1,073.11) into four, equal payments and pay over six weeks. Purchases made under this plan are also protected under PayPal’s Purchase Protection program.
  • Contactless payments are increasingly launched in transportation. For instance, in May 2026, American Express expanded its open-loop contactless transit payments in Canada, allowing its card holders to tap and pay fares on transit systems, rather than purchasing separate transit tickets or cards. In parallel, in May 2026, BC Transit rolled out ‘tap to pay’ across its 30 transit systems, enabling riders to pay their transit fare using contactless credit or debit cards and mobile wallets.

Scope

  • Card market size in terms of number of cards, value and volume of transactions in Canada along with detailed card segmentation of debit, credit and charge cards available in the country.
  • Market sizing and analysis of major payment instruments including cards, credit transfer, cash, direct debits and cheques.
  • Payment market trends and growth for both historical and forecast period
  • Competitor analysis with detailed insights into leading card issuers and schemes.
  • Comprehensive analysis of consumer attitudes and buying preferences for cards.
  • A detailed snapshot of country's key alternative payment brands.

Reasons to Buy

  • Make strategic business decisions, using top-level historic and forecast market data, related to Canada cards and payments industry and each market within it.
  • Understand the key market trends and growth opportunities in Canada cards and payments industry.
  • Assess the competitive dynamics in Canada cards and payments industry.
  • Gain insights into marketing strategies used for various card types in Canada.
  • Gain insights into key regulations governing the Canada cards and payments industry.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary2. Market Overview3. Macroeconomics, Regulation, and Infrastructure4. Payment Instruments5. Card-Based Payments6. Card Payment Acquiring
7. Instant Payments
8.Digital Wallet Payments
9. Buy Now Pay Later10. Retail Payments11. In-Store Payments12. Ecommerce Payments13. Bill Payments14. P2P and Remittances15. Appendix
List of Tables
  • Key facts, 2026
  • Payment instrument transaction values (LCU), 2022-2030f
  • Payment instrument transaction values ($), 2022-2030f
  • Payment instrument transaction volumes (units), 2022-2030f
  • Payment cards in circulation by type (units), 2022-2030f
  • Volume of payment card transactions (units), 2022-2030f
  • Value of payment card transactions (LCU), 2022-2030f
  • Value of payment card transactions ($), 2022-2030f
  • Debit cards in circulation (units), 2022-2030f
  • Debit card transaction volumes, 2022-2030f
  • Debit card transaction values (LCU), 2022-2030f
  • Debit card transaction values ($), 2022-2030f
  • Debit cards in circulation by scheme (units), 2022-26e
  • Debit card transaction values by scheme (LCU), 2022-26e
  • Debit card transaction values by scheme ($), 2022-26e
  • Debit cards in circulation by issuer (units), 2022-26e
  • Debit cards transaction value by issuer (LCU), 2022-26e
  • Debit cards transaction value by issuer ($), 2022-26e
  • Credit card in circulation (units), 2022-2030f
  • Credit card transaction volumes, 2022-2030f
  • Credit card transaction values (LCU), 2022-2030f
  • Credit card transaction values ($), 2022-2030f
  • Credit card in circulation by scheme (units), 2022-26e
  • Credit card transaction values by scheme (LCU), 2022-26e
  • Credit card transaction values by scheme ($), 2022-26e
  • Credit cards transaction value by issuer (LCU), 2022-26e
  • Credit cards transaction value by issuer ($), 2022-26e
  • merchant acquiring transaction volumes (units), 2022-2030f
  • merchant acquiring transaction values (LCU), 2022-2030f
  • merchant acquiring transaction values ($), 2022-2030f
  • acquirers’ transaction volumes (units), 2021-25e
  • acquirers’ transaction values (LCU), 2021-25e
  • acquirers’ transaction values ($), 2021-25e
  • retail outlets and card-accepting merchants (units), 2022-2030f
  • debit card average interchange fees (%), 2021-25e
  • credit and charge card average interchange fees (%), 2021-25e
  • debit card merchant service charge and interchange fee (%), 2022-2030f
  • credit and charge card merchant service charge and interchange fee (%), 2022-2030f
  • retail market by product categories (LCU), 2022-2030f
  • retail market by product categories ($), 2022-2030f
List of Figures
  • Card penetration per inhabitant
  • Average number of monthly card transactions
  • POS terminals per 1,000 inhabitants
  • Inflation rate
  • GDP growth rate
  • Unemployment rate
  • Average annual wages
  • Total population
  • Banked population
  • Internet penetration
  • Mobile phone penetration
  • Number of ATMs and ATMs per 1 million inhabitants
  • Number of POS terminals and POS terminals per 1 million inhabitants
  • Payment istrument transaction volume (paper-based vs electronic payments)
  • Payment instruments transaction value
  • Payment instruments transaction volume
  • Cross-border payment value
  • Cross-border payment Volume
  • Payment cards number of cards in circulation
  • Payment cards card penetration per individual, by card type
  • Payment cards value of card transactions
  • Payment cards volume of card transactions
  • Payments card value physical POS vs. remote
  • Payments card volume physical POS vs. remote
  • Payments value domestic vs. cross-border
  • Payments volume domestic vs. cross-border
  • Debit card frequency of payments and average transaction value
  • Debit card ATM withdrawals frequency of use and average transaction value
  • Debit card issuers by number of cards
  • Debit card issuers by transaction value share
  • Credit card frequency of payments and average transaction value
  • Credit card ATM withdrawals frequency of use and average transaction value
  • Credit card schemes transaction value
  • Credit card schemes transaction volume
  • Credit card schemes market share in terms of transaction value
  • Credit card issuers by number of cards
  • Credit card issuers by transaction value share
  • Credit card balances outstanding
  • Credit card balances outstanding repayment schedule
  • Number of prepaid cards, value and volume
  • Prepaid card usage drivers
  • Card payment acquiring transaction value and volume
  • Card Payment Acquiring - Debit card transaction value and market share by transaction value
  • Card Payment Acquiring - Credit and charge card transaction value and market share by transaction value
  • Debit card average interchange fees (%)
  • Credit and charge card average interchange fees (%)
  • Debit card merchant service charge and interchange fee (%)
  • Credit and charge card merchant service charge and interchange fee (%)
  • Instant payments transaction value and volume
  • Digital wallet transaction value and value
  • Mobile Proximity Payments usage drivers
  • Mobile Proximity Payments funding methods
  • BNPL online transaction value and transaction volume
  • BNPL share of overall ecommerce transaction value
  • Preferred BNPL brand/tool for in-store and online payments
  • Retail sales
  • In-store transaction value by payment method
  • In-store payment tool usage drivers
  • In-store transaction value by products and services
  • E-commerce transaction value and ecommerce breakdown by mobile vs. desktop/laptop
  • Ecommerce market by product and services
  • Ecommerce market by paymnet tools
  • Online payment tool usage drivers
  • Bill Payments - Breakdown by payment tools
  • Bill Payments- Frequency of bill payments
  • P2P Payments - Domestic and International P2P money transfers and top priorities for P2P tools
  • Value of inward and outward remittances
  • Top 10 countries for inward and onward remittances

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • Laurentian Bank
  • National Bank of Canada
  • ATB Financial
  • Bank of Montreal
  • CIBC
  • Desjardins Bank
  • Scotiabank
  • TD Canada Trust
  • Royal Bank of Canada
  • Visa
  • Mastercard
  • American Express