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Green Diesel - Global Strategic Business Report

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    Report

  • 470 Pages
  • May 2025
  • Region: Global
  • Global Industry Analysts, Inc
  • ID: 6087870
The global market for Green Diesel was valued at US$37.0 Billion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$66.0 Billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 10.2% from 2024 to 2030. This comprehensive report provides an in-depth analysis of market trends, drivers, and forecasts, helping you make informed business decisions. The report includes the most recent global tariff developments and how they impact the Green Diesel market.

Global Green Diesel Market - Key Trends & Drivers Summarized

Why Is Green Diesel Gaining Global Momentum in the Energy Transition?

Green diesel, also known as renewable diesel or hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO), is rapidly emerging as a key solution in the global decarbonization effort, especially in sectors where electrification remains challenging. Unlike traditional biodiesel (FAME), green diesel is chemically identical to petroleum diesel but produced from renewable feedstocks such as waste animal fats, used cooking oils, and non-edible vegetable oils through hydroprocessing technology. This compatibility allows it to be used in existing diesel engines and infrastructure without modification, making it an immediate, drop-in alternative for transportation, logistics, and industrial use.

The drive toward net-zero emissions is propelling countries and companies to adopt low-carbon fuels, and green diesel is increasingly being recognized for its high greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction potential - often exceeding 80% compared to conventional diesel. Regulatory pressure in the form of carbon pricing, low-carbon fuel standards (LCFS), and renewable energy directives across the EU, U.S., and parts of Asia has positioned green diesel as a viable, scalable pathway for decarbonizing hard-to-abate sectors such as aviation, heavy-duty trucking, and marine transportation.

How Are Production Technologies and Feedstock Innovations Accelerating Market Growth?

Technological advancements in hydroprocessing and refinery integration are significantly enhancing the scalability and cost-competitiveness of green diesel production. Many conventional oil refineries are now being converted into renewable fuel facilities, utilizing hydrogenation and isomerization processes to convert lipid-based feedstocks into high-quality diesel with performance characteristics equal to or better than petroleum-based fuels. This shift is reducing capital investment barriers while enabling faster market entry for energy majors and biofuel producers.

In parallel, the diversification and optimization of feedstock supply chains are playing a pivotal role. Innovations in feedstock pretreatment, lipid conversion efficiency, and feedstock flexibility have enabled producers to expand beyond traditional sources to include waste streams and algae-based lipids. This feedstock agility is crucial for managing input costs and reducing competition with food-grade oils. Additionally, the emergence of feedstock certification frameworks such as ISCC (International Sustainability and Carbon Certification) is fostering transparency and traceability in sustainable fuel production, boosting stakeholder confidence and regulatory compliance.

Which Industries and Regions Are Driving Demand for Green Diesel?

Demand for green diesel is rising sharply in transportation-intensive industries, particularly in commercial road freight, public transit fleets, agriculture, mining, and aviation. Companies with aggressive decarbonization targets are increasingly adopting green diesel to reduce their Scope 1 emissions without disrupting operations or investing in new vehicle fleets. Municipal and corporate fleet operators, especially in Europe and North America, are using renewable diesel as a transitional fuel to meet local emissions mandates while preparing for eventual electrification.

Geographically, the United States is a frontrunner in green diesel adoption, led by California’s LCFS and federal renewable fuel standards. Europe follows closely, with countries like the Netherlands, Sweden, and Finland supporting renewable diesel through tax incentives and blending mandates. Asia-Pacific is also showing early signs of expansion, particularly in Singapore, Japan, and South Korea, where low-emission mandates and refinery conversions are gaining traction. Latin America, with its abundant bio-feedstock resources, is increasingly viewed as a potential growth hub, although regulatory frameworks remain under development.

The Growth in the Green Diesel Market Is Driven by Several Factors…

The growth in the green diesel market is driven by several factors rooted in feedstock innovation, refinery conversion strategies, and application-specific adoption trends. On the technology front, advances in hydroprocessing efficiency, flexible co-processing capabilities, and hydrogen sourcing are reducing production costs and expanding output capacity. Many oil majors are investing in dedicated renewable diesel plants or converting traditional refineries to handle bio-based feedstocks, thereby creating a robust global supply network.

In terms of end-use dynamics, the increasing preference for low-carbon liquid fuels in heavy transport, off-road machinery, and aviation is expanding demand beyond traditional biodiesel markets. Fleet owners and industrial users are embracing green diesel as a drop-in, infrastructure-compatible solution that meets both emissions compliance and fuel performance requirements. Moreover, favorable regulatory frameworks - such as renewable fuel credits, LCFS schemes, and blending mandates - are providing strong financial incentives for both producers and consumers. The growing alignment of corporate sustainability goals with clean fuel procurement strategies is also pushing adoption, as businesses seek measurable, immediate reductions in carbon intensity without operational disruption. These factors collectively ensure that green diesel will remain a crucial component of the global clean energy transition, especially in sectors with limited electrification potential.

Report Scope

The report analyzes the Green Diesel market, presented in terms of market value (US$ Thousand). The analysis covers the key segments and geographic regions outlined below.

Segments: Type (Pure Form, Blended Form); Production Technology (Gasification, Pyrolysis, Other Technologies); Raw Material (Vegetable Oils, Animal Fats, Other Raw Materials); Application (Fuel, Power Generation, Other Applications).

Geographic Regions/Countries: World; United States; Canada; Japan; China; Europe (France; Germany; Italy; United Kingdom; Spain; Russia; and Rest of Europe); Asia-Pacific (Australia; India; South Korea; and Rest of Asia-Pacific); Latin America (Argentina; Brazil; Mexico; and Rest of Latin America); Middle East (Iran; Israel; Saudi Arabia; United Arab Emirates; and Rest of Middle East); and Africa.

Key Insights:

  • Market Growth: Understand the significant growth trajectory of the Pure Form segment, which is expected to reach US$41.5 Billion by 2030 with a CAGR of a 8.9%. The Blended Form segment is also set to grow at 12.5% CAGR over the analysis period.
  • Regional Analysis: Gain insights into the U.S. market, valued at $10.1 Billion in 2024, and China, forecasted to grow at an impressive 13.6% CAGR to reach $13.4 Billion by 2030. Discover growth trends in other key regions, including Japan, Canada, Germany, and the Asia-Pacific.

Why You Should Buy This Report:

  • Detailed Market Analysis: Access a thorough analysis of the Global Green Diesel Market, covering all major geographic regions and market segments.
  • Competitive Insights: Get an overview of the competitive landscape, including the market presence of major players across different geographies.
  • Future Trends and Drivers: Understand the key trends and drivers shaping the future of the Global Green Diesel Market.
  • Actionable Insights: Benefit from actionable insights that can help you identify new revenue opportunities and make strategic business decisions.

Key Questions Answered:

  • How is the Global Green Diesel Market expected to evolve by 2030?
  • What are the main drivers and restraints affecting the market?
  • Which market segments will grow the most over the forecast period?
  • How will market shares for different regions and segments change by 2030?
  • Who are the leading players in the market, and what are their prospects?

Report Features:

  • Comprehensive Market Data: Independent analysis of annual sales and market forecasts in US$ Million from 2024 to 2030.
  • In-Depth Regional Analysis: Detailed insights into key markets, including the U.S., China, Japan, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East, and Africa.
  • Company Profiles: Coverage of players such as Aemetis, Inc., BP plc, Cargill Incorporated, Chevron Corporation, Darling Ingredients Inc. and more.
  • Complimentary Updates: Receive free report updates for one year to keep you informed of the latest market developments.

Some of the 44 companies featured in this Green Diesel market report include:

  • Aemetis, Inc.
  • BP plc
  • Cargill Incorporated
  • Chevron Corporation
  • Darling Ingredients Inc.
  • Eni S.p.A.
  • Exxon Mobil Corporation
  • Gevo, Inc.
  • Global Clean Energy Holdings, Inc.
  • Greenergy International Ltd.
  • Honeywell International Inc.
  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation
  • Neste Corporation
  • NX100 Green Diesel & Lubricants
  • PBF Energy Inc.
  • Phillips 66
  • Repsol S.A.
  • Shell plc
  • Topsoe
  • Valero Energy Corporation

Tariff Impact Analysis: Key Insights for 2025

Global tariff negotiations across 180+ countries are reshaping supply chains, costs, and competitiveness. This report reflects the latest developments as of April 2025 and incorporates forward-looking insights into the market outlook.

The analysts continuously track trade developments worldwide, drawing insights from leading global economists and over 200 industry and policy institutions, including think tanks, trade organizations, and national economic advisory bodies. This intelligence is integrated into forecasting models to provide timely, data-driven analysis of emerging risks and opportunities.

What's Included in This Edition:

  • Tariff-adjusted market forecasts by region and segment
  • Analysis of cost and supply chain implications by sourcing and trade exposure
  • Strategic insights into geographic shifts

Buyers receive a free July 2025 update with:

  • Finalized tariff impacts and new trade agreement effects
  • Updated projections reflecting global sourcing and cost shifts
  • Expanded country-specific coverage across the industry

Table of Contents

I. METHODOLOGYII. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
  • Influencer Market Insights
  • World Market Trajectories
  • Impact of COVID-19 and a Looming Global Recession
  • Green Diesel - Global Key Competitors Percentage Market Share in 2025 (E)
  • Competitive Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial for Players Worldwide in 2025 (E)
2. FOCUS ON SELECT PLAYERS
3. MARKET TRENDS & DRIVERS
  • Decarbonization Mandates in Transportation Sector Propel Demand for Green Diesel Alternatives
  • Rising Adoption of Renewable Fuels in Commercial Fleets Strengthens Business Case for Green Diesel
  • Feedstock Diversification and Waste-to-Fuel Technologies Expand Supply Chain Resilience
  • Regulatory Support Through Low Carbon Fuel Standards Accelerates Green Diesel Market Penetration
  • Carbon Credit and Renewable Identification Number (RIN) Programs Create Economic Incentives
  • Expansion of Renewable Refineries by Oil Majors Spurs Capacity Growth and Market Scale-Up
  • Growing Demand for Drop-In Fuel Compatibility Drives Preference for Green Diesel Over Biodiesel
  • Airline and Maritime Sectors' Pursuit of Net-Zero Goals Generates Demand for Renewable Diesel Variants
  • Corporate Sustainability Goals and ESG Reporting Fuel Interest in Low-Carbon Fuel Adoption
  • Government Fleet Conversion Programs Generate Stable, Institutional Demand for Green Diesel
  • Public Awareness of Lifecycle Emissions Throws the Spotlight on Renewable Diesel Advantages
  • Volatility in Crude Oil Prices Increases Interest in Fuel Diversification Strategies
4. GLOBAL MARKET PERSPECTIVE
  • Table 1: World Green Diesel Market Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2030
  • Table 2: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Green Diesel by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 3: World Historic Review for Green Diesel by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 4: World 15-Year Perspective for Green Diesel by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 5: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Pure Form by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 6: World Historic Review for Pure Form by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 7: World 15-Year Perspective for Pure Form by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 8: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Blended Form by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 9: World Historic Review for Blended Form by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 10: World 15-Year Perspective for Blended Form by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 11: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Power Generation by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 12: World Historic Review for Power Generation by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 13: World 15-Year Perspective for Power Generation by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 14: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Other Applications by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 15: World Historic Review for Other Applications by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 16: World 15-Year Perspective for Other Applications by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 17: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Fuel by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 18: World Historic Review for Fuel by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 19: World 15-Year Perspective for Fuel by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 20: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Gasification by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 21: World Historic Review for Gasification by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 22: World 15-Year Perspective for Gasification by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 23: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Pyrolysis by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 24: World Historic Review for Pyrolysis by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 25: World 15-Year Perspective for Pyrolysis by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 26: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Other Technologies by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 27: World Historic Review for Other Technologies by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 28: World 15-Year Perspective for Other Technologies by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 29: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Vegetable Oils by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 30: World Historic Review for Vegetable Oils by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 31: World 15-Year Perspective for Vegetable Oils by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 32: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Animal Fats by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 33: World Historic Review for Animal Fats by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 34: World 15-Year Perspective for Animal Fats by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
  • Table 35: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Other Raw Materials by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • Table 36: World Historic Review for Other Raw Materials by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • Table 37: World 15-Year Perspective for Other Raw Materials by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa for Years 2015, 2025 & 2030
III. MARKET ANALYSIS
UNITED STATES
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in the United States for 2025 (E)
CANADA
JAPAN
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Japan for 2025 (E)
CHINA
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in China for 2025 (E)
EUROPE
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Europe for 2025 (E)
FRANCE
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in France for 2025 (E)
GERMANY
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Germany for 2025 (E)
ITALY
UNITED KINGDOM
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in the United Kingdom for 2025 (E)
SPAINRUSSIAREST OF EUROPE
ASIA-PACIFIC
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Asia-Pacific for 2025 (E)
AUSTRALIA
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Australia for 2025 (E)
INDIA
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in India for 2025 (E)
SOUTH KOREAREST OF ASIA-PACIFIC
LATIN AMERICA
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Latin America for 2025 (E)
ARGENTINABRAZILMEXICOREST OF LATIN AMERICA
MIDDLE EAST
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Middle East for 2025 (E)
IRANISRAELSAUDI ARABIAUNITED ARAB EMIRATESREST OF MIDDLE EAST
AFRICA
  • Green Diesel Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Africa for 2025 (E)
IV. COMPETITION

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • Aemetis, Inc.
  • BP plc
  • Cargill Incorporated
  • Chevron Corporation
  • Darling Ingredients Inc.
  • Eni S.p.A.
  • Exxon Mobil Corporation
  • Gevo, Inc.
  • Global Clean Energy Holdings, Inc.
  • Greenergy International Ltd.
  • Honeywell International Inc.
  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation
  • Neste Corporation
  • NX100 Green Diesel & Lubricants
  • PBF Energy Inc.
  • Phillips 66
  • Repsol S.A.
  • Shell plc
  • Topsoe
  • Valero Energy Corporation

Table Information