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Norway - The Future of Foodservice to 2029

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    Report

  • 85 Pages
  • May 2025
  • Region: Norway
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 6091028
Norway - The Future of Foodservice to 2029

Summary

This report provides an in-depth evaluation of the Norwegian foodservice market, including analysis of the key issues impacting on the industry. This report includes: - Consumer insight and analysis to provide a clear view of prevailing need states, trends and demands of consumers, including segmentation analysis and channel preference, all fully supported by comprehensive market data and occasions and locations analytics. In-depth analysis of channel performance, both profit and cost sector, detailing the winning formats, with supporting analysis to provide comprehensive understanding of the reasons behind success and failure. - For each of four key profit sector channels - QSR, FSR, coffee & tea shop, and pubs, clubs & bars, a deep dive into the ‘who’, ‘why’, ‘what’, ‘where’ and ‘what next’. - Analysis of major market player performance, and how each player is meeting the needs of consumers and dealing with changing market demands, with supporting case studies on key menu, service and format innovations.

The Norwegian foodservice profit sector generated revenue of NOK76.9 billion ($7.1 billion) in 2024. The sector’s sales posted a CAGR of 3% during 2019-24, rising from NOK66.3 billion ($7.5 billion). The number of transactions recorded a CAGR of 0.5% over the same period.
FSR, the largest profit sector channel, recorded sales of NOK27.6 billion ($2.6 billion) in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 3.6% during 2019-24. The surge in international tourism has had a positive effect on the profit sector by boosting revenues at hotels and other lodging businesses. It has also increased demand for services such as restaurants and ultimately contributed to job creation and economic resilience in Norway.
The foodservice profit sector is expected to reach NOK92.5 billion ($8.5 billion) in 2029, yielding a CAGR of 3.8% during 2024-29. The number of transactions will register a CAGR of 1.7%, while the number of outlets will post a CAGR of 0.3%.

Scope

Macro context:

  • Understanding the wider economic and social trends within a country; key to providing background when looking into a specific industry.

Profit sector channels:

  • A number of foodservice channels have been grouped together to form the “profit sector”; these include accommodation, leisure, restaurants, retail, travel, workplace, and pub, club & bar. This section will first go through overall trends in the sector, then “deep dive” into each of the four key channels. These channels are QSR, FSR, coffee & tea shop and pub, club & bar. The report structure for each of these channels is explained below.

Cost sector channels:

  • A number of foodservice channels have been grouped together to form the “cost sector”; these include education, healthcare, military & civil defense, and welfare & services. This sector typically represents the state’s foodservice operators. This section of the report will go through overall trends in the sector.

Profit sector sub-sections - QSR, FSR, coffee & tea shop and pub, club & bar:

  • For each of these key profit sector channels, this report will “deep dive” into the performance of the channel. This will follow a summary of the channel, which will encapsulate everything within the section. The report section will then cover historic and forecast growth/decline; key players within the channel; consumer segment analysis; and a “who”, “why”, “what”, and “where” analysis (including, for some channels, case studies to bring key discussion points to life). It will finish with a look into the key drivers of future performance.

Cost sector:

  • For the overall cost sector channel, this report will provide an overview of the performance of the channel. The report section will cover historic and forecast growth/decline and will finish with a look into the data and channel share breakdown.

Reasons to Buy

  • Specific forecasts of the foodservice market over the next five years (2024-29) will give readers the ability to make informed business decisions through identifying emerging/declining markets.
  • Consumer segmentation detailing the desires of known consumers among all major foodservice channels (QSR, FSR, coffee & tea shop, and pub, club & bar) will allow readers understand the wants and needs of their target demographics.

Table of Contents

  • Introduction
  • Report Guide
  • Executive Summary
  • Macroeconomic Context
  • Macroeconomic Overview
  • Profit Sector Metrics
  • Key Metric Highlights
  • Value Share and Growth by Channel
  • Outlets and Transactions Growth by Channel
  • Operator Buying Volumes and Growth by Channel
  • Channel Historic and Future Growth Dynamics
  • Outlet-Type and Owner-Type Growth Dynamics
  • Profit Sector by Channel
  • Quick-Service Restaurant (QSR)
  • Enablers and Inhibitors of Growth
  • Metrics
  • Key Players
  • What?
  • Where?
  • What Next?
  • Full-Service Restaurant (FSR)
  • Enablers and Inhibitors of Growth
  • Metrics
  • Key Players
  • What?
  • Where?
  • What Next?
  • Coffee & tea shop
  • Enablers and Inhibitors of Growth
  • Metrics
  • Key Players
  • What?
  • Where?
  • What Next?
  • Pub, Club & Bar
  • Enablers and Inhibitors of Growth
  • Metrics
  • What?
  • Where?
  • What Next?
  • Cost Sector Metrics
  • Cost Operator Trends - Historic and Future Growth
  • Data and Channel Share Breakdown
  • Appendix
List of Tables
  • Profit Sector Metrics
  • Restaurant outlet types: value growth (CAGR 2024-29)
  • Restaurant owner types: value growth (CAGR 2024-29)
  • QSR: Metrics: Growth Dynamics
  • QSR: What? Food & Drink Split: Operator buying price value
  • FSR: Metrics: Growth Dynamics
  • FSR: What? Food & Drink Split: Operator buying price value
  • Coffee & tea shop: Metrics: Growth Dynamics
  • Coffee & tea shop: What? Food & Drink Split: Operator buying price value
  • Pub, Club & Bar: Metrics: Growth Dynamics
  • Pub, Club & Bar: What? Food & Drink Split: Operator buying price value
  • Cost Operators: Data and Channel Share Breakdown
List of Figures
  • GDP per capita
  • Consumer price inflation (%)
  • Population (millions)
  • Population by age group (%)
  • Households’ share of income distribution, 2024
  • Unemployment rate, 2024
2024 value sales and channel shares
  • Historic and future performances (value performance)
  • Historic and future outlet number dynamics
  • Historic and future performances (transactions)
  • Profit channels’ historic and future buying volume performances (liter m)
  • Profit channels’ historic and future buying volume performances (kg m)
  • Channel dynamics in the profit sector, 2019-24
  • Channel dynamics in the profit sector, 2024-29
  • Restaurant outlet types: 2024 value
  • Restaurant owner types 2024: value
  • QSR: Operator sales, 2024
  • QSR: Total profit sector OSP by channel, 2024
  • QSR cuisine types by number of outlets
  • QSR by cuisine type, 2024 OSP
  • QSR: Top cuisine by maturity - by number of outlets (listed on online platforms), 2024
  • QSR: Top five food dishes’ penetration in QSR, 2024
  • QSR: Top 10 ingredients’ penetration in QSR, 2024
  • QSR: Menu items penetration by price range, 2024
  • QSR: Price change analysis, 2024
  • QSR by location type, 2024 (outlet count)
  • QSR by location type, 2024 OSP
  • FSR: Operator sales, 2024
  • FSR: Total profit sector OSP by channel, 2024
  • FSR cuisine types by number of outlets
  • FSR by cuisine type, 2024 OSP
  • FSR: Top cuisine by maturity - by number of outlets (listed on online platforms), 2024
  • FSR: Top five food dishes’ penetration in FSR, 2024
  • FSR: Top 10 ingredients’ penetration in FSR, 2024
  • FSR: Menu items penetration by price range, 2024
  • FSR: Price change analysis, 2024
  • FSR by location type, 2024 (outlet count)
  • FSR by location type, 2024 OSP
  • Coffee & tea shop: Operator sales, 2024
  • Coffee & tea shop: Total profit sector OSP by channel, 2024
  • Coffee & tea shop cuisine types by number of outlets
  • Coffee & tea shop by cuisine type, 2024 OSP
  • Coffee & tea shop: Top cuisine by maturity - by number of outlets (listed on online platforms), 2024
  • Coffee & tea shop: Top five food dishes’ penetration in coffee & tea shop, 2024
  • Coffee & tea shop: Top 10 ingredients’ penetration in coffee & tea shop, 2024
  • Coffee & tea shop: Menu items penetration by price range, 2024
  • Coffee & tea shop: Price change analysis, 2024
  • Coffee & tea shop by location type, 2024 (outlet count)
  • Coffee & tea shop by location type, 2024 OSP
  • Pub, Club & Bar: Operator sales, 2024
  • Pub, Club & Bar: Menu items penetration by price range, 2024
  • Pub, Club & Bar: Price change analysis, 2024
  • Pub, club & bar by location type, 2024 (outlet count)
  • Pub, club & bar by location type, 2024 OSP
  • Channel dynamics in the cost sector, 2019-24
  • Channel dynamics in the cost sector, 2024-29
  • Cost Operators: Data and Channel Share Breakdown

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • McDonald's Corporation
  • Starbucks Corporation
  • JAB Holding Company
  • Kaffebrenneriet
  • Restaurant Brands International
  • Pizzabakeren Invest
  • Mix
  • Norgesgruppen
  • Jordanes
  • Norrein Gruppen