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United States Crude Oil Refinery Market Report and Forecast 2025-2034

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    Report

  • 124 Pages
  • May 2025
  • Region: United States
  • Expert Market Research
  • ID: 6096563
The United States crude oil refinery market is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 2.40% during the forecast period of 2025-2034. The market is being driven by the rising demand for petroleum in the country.

United States Crude Oil Refinery Market Outlook

The crude oil refinery in the United States is an integral part of the energy sector of the country. Key drivers of this market include the increased demand and supply of petroleum, along with the growing exports from the United States to other countries. The exploration, as well as extraction of fossil fuels like gasoline, have increased in the United States, which has caused a surge in the demand for crude oil refineries and has propelled the United States crude oil refinery market development.

Adding to this, the United States has increased both its exports and imports of petroleum products like gasoline and diesel to and from other countries. In 2023, the United States imported about 8.51 million (b/d) of petroleum from 86 countries, aiding the United States crude oil refinery market growth.

The Expansion of Medium Refineries is One of the Crucial United States Crude Oil Refinery Market Trends

  • Medium refineries are expected to experience the highest growth, with a CAGR of 2.7%. Their balanced capacity to meet regional demands efficiently without the high capital expenditure required for large refineries is increasing the United States crude oil refinery market value.
  • Large refineries are estimated to grow at a CAGR of 2.5% during the forecast period of 2025-2034. The crucial role of such refineries in processing significant volumes of crude oil and meet large-scale demand is shaping the United States crude oil refinery market dynamics and trends.
  • Small refineries, with a CAGR of 2.3%, remain important for niche markets and local supply, although their growth is slower due to limited scalability and higher operational costs.
The Increasing Demand for Petrochemicals in Diverse Sectors is Driving the United States Crude Oil Refinery Market Expansion

  • The production of petrochemical feedstocks is expected to lead with the highest CAGR of 2.7%. The increasing demand for petrochemicals used in a wide range of industrial applications and consumer products is boosting the United States crude oil refinery market revenue.
  • Diesel production, with a CAGR of 2.6%, reflects steady growth due to the high demand for diesel fuel in the transportation and industrial sectors.
  • Gasoline production, growing at a CAGR of 2.5%, remains essential for meeting the demand for motor fuel in the automotive sector.
  • Jet fuel production, with a CAGR of 2.3%, shows consistent growth, driven by the aviation industry's recovery and expansion.
  • As per the United States crude oil refinery market analysis, the 'Others' category, with a CAGR of 2.2%, includes various refined petroleum products contributing to the overall market growth at a steady pace.

United States Crude Oil Refinery Market Regional Analysis

  • The Far West region is expected to lead with the highest CAGR of 2.8%. The increasing investments in refinery upgrades and expansions to meet regional demand are creating lucrative United States crude oil refinery market opportunities.
  • The Rocky Mountain region follows with a CAGR of 2.6%, supported by its proximity to crude oil sources and ongoing infrastructure developments.
  • The Southwest, with a CAGR of 2.5%, benefits from its strategic location near major oil fields and ports, facilitating efficient crude oil processing and distribution.
  • The Southeast, growing at a CAGR of 2.4%, is expected to account for a significant portion of the United States crude oil refinery market share. The region shows steady growth due to regional demand for refined petroleum products and improvements in refinery operations.
  • New England, with a CAGR of 2.2%, and the Mideast, with a CAGR of 2.1%, exhibit moderate growth, driven by established markets with consistent demand.
  • As per the United States crude oil refinery industry statistics, the Plains region, with a CAGR of 1.9%, and the Great Lakes region, with a CAGR of 1.8%, experience slower growth due to smaller market sizes and less aggressive investment in refinery capacity.

Key Questions Answered in This Report:

  • How has the United States crude oil refinery market performed historically, and what are the growth expectations for the future?
  • What are the primary factors influencing demand and growth in the United States crude oil refinery market?
  • What are the key segments within the United States crude oil refinery market, and how are they expected to evolve over the forecast period?
  • What are the major challenges and opportunities facing stakeholders in the United States crude oil refinery market?
  • Who are the key players in the United States crude oil refinery market, and what strategies are they employing to maintain a competitive edge?
  • What are the regulatory and policy factors influencing the United States crude oil refinery market globally or regionally?
  • How competitive is the United States crude oil refinery market according to Porter's five forces analysis, including factors like the bargaining power of buyers and suppliers?
  • What are the current trends shaping the United States crude oil refinery market landscape, and how are they expected to evolve in the future?
  • How are technological advancements impacting the United States crude oil refinery market, and what role do innovation and R&D play in driving growth?
  • What are the consumer preferences and buying behaviour trends influencing the United States crude oil refinery market?
  • How sustainable are current growth rates in the United States crude oil refinery market, and what factors could potentially disrupt these trends?
  • What are the regional dynamics within the United States crude oil refinery market, and how do they contribute to overall market growth?
  • What are the economic factors influencing the United States crude oil refinery market, such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and currency fluctuations?
  • How are demographic shifts, such as ageing populations or urbanization trends, affecting demand in the United States crude oil refinery market?
  • What are the key strategic partnerships, mergers, and acquisitions shaping the competitive landscape of the United States crude oil refinery market?
  • What are the regulatory and legal frameworks impacting the United States crude oil refinery market globally or in key regions?
  • How are changing consumer lifestyles and preferences influencing product or service demand within the United States crude oil refinery market?
  • What are the emerging market trends and niche opportunities within the United States crude oil refinery market that stakeholders should be aware of?
  • How resilient is the United States crude oil refinery market to external shocks or disruptions, such as geopolitical tensions or natural disasters?
  • What are the potential barriers to market entry and growth for new players in the United States crude oil refinery market?

Key Benefits for Stakeholders:

Expert Market Research's industry report provides a comprehensive quantitative analysis of various market segments, and historical and current market trends, and forecasts the dynamics of the United States crude oil refinery market spanning from 2018 to 2034.

The research report delivers up-to-date insights into the market drivers, challenges, and opportunities shaping the United States crude oil refinery market.

Stakeholders can leverage Porter's five forces analysis to assess the impact of new entrants, competitive rivalry, supplier power, buyer power, and the threat of substitution. This analysis aids in evaluating the competitiveness and attractiveness of the United States crude oil refinery market.

The competitive landscape section enables stakeholders to gain a deep understanding of their competitive environment. It offers insights into the current market positions of key players, their strategies, and their market shares.

Additionally, the report highlights emerging trends, regulatory influences, and technological advancements that are pivotal for stakeholders navigating the United States crude oil refinery market landscape.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary
1.1 Market Size 2024-2025
1.2 Market Growth 2025(F)-2034(F)
1.3 Key Demand Drivers
1.4 Key Players and Competitive Structure
1.5 Industry Best Practices
1.6 Recent Trends and Developments
1.7 Industry Outlook
2 Market Overview and Stakeholder Insights
2.1 Market Trends
2.2 Key Verticals
2.3 Key Regions
2.4 Supplier Power
2.5 Buyer Power
2.6 Key Market Opportunities and Risks
2.7 Key Initiatives by Stakeholders
3 Economic Summary
3.1 GDP Outlook
3.2 GDP Per Capita Growth
3.3 Inflation Trends
3.4 Democracy Index
3.5 Gross Public Debt Ratios
3.6 Balance of Payment (BoP) Position
3.7 Population Outlook
3.8 Urbanisation Trends
4 Country Risk Profiles
4.1 Country Risk
4.2 Business Climate
5 North America Crude Oil Refinery Market Overview
5.1 Key Industry Highlights
5.2 North America Crude Oil Refinery Historical Market (2018-2024)
5.3 North America Crude Oil Refinery Market Forecast (2025-2034)
6 United States Crude Oil Refinery Market Overview
6.1 Key Industry Highlights
6.2 United States Crude Oil Refinery Historical Market (2018-2024)
6.3 United States Crude Oil Refinery Market Forecast (2025-2034)
7 United States Crude Oil Refinery Market by Capacity
7.1 Small Refineries (up to 100,000 bpd)
7.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.2 Medium Refineries (100,000-250,000 bpd)
7.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.3 Large Refineries (above 250,000 bpd)
7.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8 United States Crude Oil Refinery Market by Location
8.1 Offshore
8.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.2 Onshore
8.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
9 United States Crude Oil Refinery Market by Application
9.1 Gasoline Production
9.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
9.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
9.2 Diesel Production
9.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
9.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
9.3 Jet Fuel Production
9.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
9.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
9.4 Petrochemical Feedstocks
9.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
9.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
9.5 Others
10 United States Crude Oil Refinery Market by Region
10.1 New England
10.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.2 Mideast
10.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.3 Great Lakes
10.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.4 Plains
10.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.5 Southeast
10.5.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.5.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.6 Southwest
10.6.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.6.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.7 Rocky Mountain
10.7.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.7.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.8 Far West
10.8.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.8.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
11 Market Dynamics
11.1 SWOT Analysis
11.1.1 Strengths
11.1.2 Weaknesses
11.1.3 Opportunities
11.1.4 Threats
11.2 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
11.2.1 Supplier’s Power
11.2.2 Buyer’s Power
11.2.3 Threat of New Entrants
11.2.4 Degree of Rivalry
11.2.5 Threat of Substitutes
11.3 Key Indicators for Demand
11.4 Key Indicators for Price
12 Competitive Landscape
12.1 Supplier Selection
12.2 Key Global Players
12.3 Key Regional Players
12.4 Key Player Strategies
12.5 Company Profiles
12.5.1 ExxonMobil Corporation
12.5.1.1 Company Overview
12.5.1.2 Product Portfolio
12.5.1.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.5.1.4 Certifications
12.5.2 Chevron Corporation
12.5.2.1 Company Overview
12.5.2.2 Product Portfolio
12.5.2.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.5.2.4 Certifications
12.5.3 Phillips 66
12.5.3.1 Company Overview
12.5.3.2 Product Portfolio
12.5.3.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.5.3.4 Certifications
12.5.4 Valero Energy Corporation
12.5.4.1 Company Overview
12.5.4.2 Product Portfolio
12.5.4.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.5.4.4 Certifications
12.5.5 BP Plc
12.5.5.1 Company Overview
12.5.5.2 Product Portfolio
12.5.5.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.5.5.4 Certifications
12.5.6 Royal Dutch Shell Plc
12.5.6.1 Company Overview
12.5.6.2 Product Portfolio
12.5.6.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.5.6.4 Certifications
12.5.7 Others

Companies Mentioned

  • ExxonMobil Corporation
  • Chevron Corporation
  • Phillips 66
  • Valero Energy Corporation
  • BP Plc
  • Royal Dutch Shell Plc