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Renewable Energy Certificate - Global Strategic Business Report

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    Report

  • 231 Pages
  • July 2025
  • Region: Global
  • Global Industry Analysts, Inc
  • ID: 6106559
The global market for Renewable Energy Certificate was estimated at US$17.3 Billion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$66.3 Billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 25.2% from 2024 to 2030. This comprehensive report provides an in-depth analysis of market trends, drivers, and forecasts, helping you make informed business decisions. The report includes the most recent global tariff developments and how they impact the Renewable Energy Certificate market.

Global Renewable Energy Certificate Market - Key Trends & Drivers Summarized

How Are Renewable Energy Certificates Enabling Market-Based Decarbonization?

Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs), also known as Guarantees of Origin (GOs) in Europe or Tradable Renewable Certificates (TRCs) in some regions, represent the environmental attributes of electricity generated from renewable sources. Each certificate corresponds to one megawatt-hour (MWh) of renewable electricity produced and injected into the grid. These instruments have become critical for enabling consumers, corporations, and institutions to claim renewable energy usage, particularly in deregulated electricity markets where physical delivery of clean power isn't always feasible. RECs effectively separate the “green” value from the physical electricity, making it tradable and traceable.

As countries aim for net-zero targets and compliance with international climate frameworks like the Paris Agreement, RECs are playing a vital role in verifying voluntary and regulatory renewable energy consumption. Corporations use RECs to meet science-based targets, certify Scope 2 emissions reductions, and enhance sustainability reporting. Utilities and load-serving entities use them to fulfill Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS). The flexibility, scalability, and international recognition of RECs have made them central to decarbonization strategies in markets across North America, Europe, and increasingly in Asia-Pacific and Latin America.

What Are the Key Mechanisms and Market Structures Governing REC Trading?

REC markets vary by geography and compliance context. In compliance markets, such as those operating under RPS mandates in the U.S. or EU directives, RECs must be surrendered to demonstrate that a utility or obligated entity has met its renewable sourcing requirement. These RECs are tightly tracked through registries like the North American Renewables Registry (NAR), PJM GATS, or the European Energy Certificate System (EECS). Pricing in compliance markets is driven by policy targets, penalties for non-compliance, and supply-demand balance of qualifying generation.

Voluntary REC markets, on the other hand, allow corporations and institutions to purchase certificates beyond legal mandates. The Green-e program in the U.S. certifies voluntary RECs to ensure their environmental integrity. Voluntary RECs are also bundled into renewable energy contracts such as virtual power purchase agreements (VPPAs), unbundled certificate purchases, or used in carbon-neutral product claims. Increasingly, blockchain-based tracking platforms are being deployed to improve transparency, avoid double-counting, and enable fractional ownership of RECs, especially for small-scale prosumers participating in decentralized solar or wind generation.

Which End Users and Regions Are Leading REC Market Expansion?

Corporate buyers form the fastest-growing segment in REC demand. Global companies with net-zero ambitions-particularly in the technology, retail, manufacturing, and logistics sectors-are major purchasers of RECs. Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft routinely procure RECs to certify their vast energy consumption from data centers, logistics hubs, and office spaces. SMEs and municipal governments are also entering the voluntary REC market through renewable energy aggregation programs and regional community choice aggregators (CCAs). As customer expectations around environmental responsibility grow, RECs are increasingly being used for marketing differentiation and brand alignment with clean energy values.

North America remains the most developed REC market, driven by state-level RPS programs in the U.S. and Green-e certified voluntary demand. Europe's GO market, backed by the EU Renewable Energy Directive, is experiencing rapid growth, especially with member states linking GOs to guarantees under corporate PPAs and energy suppliers offering green tariffs. Asia-Pacific is gaining momentum, with Japan, South Korea, and India formalizing REC trading and certification systems. Emerging markets like Brazil and South Africa are exploring RECs to attract foreign investment and comply with ESG disclosures.

What Factors Are Driving the Growth of the Renewable Energy Certificate Market?

The growth in the Renewable Energy Certificate market is driven by surging corporate sustainability commitments, expanding compliance obligations, technological enhancements in tracking systems, and growing investor scrutiny on environmental integrity. As more corporations set science-based targets, the need for verifiable, traceable, and third-party-certified clean energy procurement tools like RECs continues to rise. The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) and the CDP both recognize RECs as valid instruments for renewable energy accounting and GHG reporting, enhancing global legitimacy.

Digitalization is streamlining REC verification through real-time registries, smart contracts, and blockchain technologies. Governments are tightening enforcement on carbon disclosures, which is increasing demand for RECs to demonstrate actual renewable usage. The proliferation of clean energy auctions and merchant renewable projects is creating new REC supply streams. Policy harmonization efforts-such as the EnergyTag initiative to enable hourly matching of RECs to consumption-are pushing the market toward temporal granularity and real-time impact assessment. Collectively, these factors are transforming RECs from a passive accounting tool into a dynamic market instrument essential to clean energy scaling.

Scope Of Study:

The report analyzes the Renewable Energy Certificate market in terms of units by the following Segments, and Geographic Regions/Countries:

Segments: Energy Type (Solar Energy, Wind Power, Hydroelectric Power, Gas Power); Capacity (Below 1000 kWh Capacity, 1100 - 5000 kWh Capacity, Above 5000 kWh Capacity); End-Use (Voluntary End-Use, Compliance End-Use)

Geographic Regions/Countries: World; United States; Canada; Japan; China; Europe (France; Germany; Italy; United Kingdom; and Rest of Europe); Asia-Pacific; Rest of World.

Key Insights:

  • Market Growth: Understand the significant growth trajectory of the Solar Energy segment, which is expected to reach US$25.5 Billion by 2030 with a CAGR of a 21.4%. The Wind Power segment is also set to grow at 29.0% CAGR over the analysis period.
  • Regional Analysis: Gain insights into the U.S. market, estimated at $4.5 Billion in 2024, and China, forecasted to grow at an impressive 24.0% CAGR to reach $10.2 Billion by 2030. Discover growth trends in other key regions, including Japan, Canada, Germany, and the Asia-Pacific.

Why You Should Buy This Report:

  • Detailed Market Analysis: Access a thorough analysis of the Global Renewable Energy Certificate Market, covering all major geographic regions and market segments.
  • Competitive Insights: Get an overview of the competitive landscape, including the market presence of major players across different geographies.
  • Future Trends and Drivers: Understand the key trends and drivers shaping the future of the Global Renewable Energy Certificate Market.
  • Actionable Insights: Benefit from actionable insights that can help you identify new revenue opportunities and make strategic business decisions.

Key Questions Answered:

  • How is the Global Renewable Energy Certificate Market expected to evolve by 2030?
  • What are the main drivers and restraints affecting the market?
  • Which market segments will grow the most over the forecast period?
  • How will market shares for different regions and segments change by 2030?
  • Who are the leading players in the market, and what are their prospects?

Report Features:

  • Comprehensive Market Data: Independent analysis of annual sales and market forecasts in US$ Million from 2024 to 2030.
  • In-Depth Regional Analysis: Detailed insights into key markets, including the U.S., China, Japan, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East, and Africa.
  • Company Profiles: Coverage of players such as 3Degrees, Inc., AFS Energy B.V., APX Inc., Brookfield Renewable Partners, Climate Impact Partners and more.
  • Complimentary Updates: Receive free report updates for one year to keep you informed of the latest market developments.

Some of the 48 companies featured in this Renewable Energy Certificate market report include:

  • 3Degrees, Inc.
  • AFS Energy B.V.
  • APX Inc.
  • Brookfield Renewable Partners
  • Climate Impact Partners
  • CnerG (part of Evident)
  • Ecohz AS
  • EDF Trading Limited
  • Enel S.p.A.
  • ENGIE S.A.
  • Evolugen (by Brookfield Renewable)
  • Green-e Energy (Center for Resource Solutions)
  • Indian Energy Exchange (IEX)
  • I-REC Standard
  • NextEra Energy Resources, LLC
  • Power Exchange India Limited (PXIL)
  • REDEX Pte. Ltd.
  • Shell Energy
  • South Pole Holding AG
  • Statkraft AS
  • STX Group
  • TerraPass
  • The Green Certificate Company Limited
  • TP ICAP (Renewable Energy Certificates Desk)
  • Xpansiv

This edition integrates the latest global trade and economic shifts as of June 2025 into comprehensive market analysis. Key updates include:

  • Tariff and Trade Impact: Insights into global tariff negotiations across 180+ countries, with analysis of supply chain turbulence, sourcing disruptions, and geographic realignment. Special focus on 2025 as a pivotal year for trade tensions, including updated perspectives on the Trump-era tariffs.
  • Adjusted Forecasts and Analytics: Revised global and regional market forecasts through 2030, incorporating tariff effects, economic uncertainty, and structural changes in globalization. Includes segmentation by product, technology, type, material, distribution channel, application, and end-use, with historical analysis since 2015.
  • Strategic Market Dynamics: Evaluation of revised market prospects, regional outlooks, and key economic indicators such as population and urbanization trends.
  • Innovation & Technology Trends: Latest developments in product and process innovation, emerging technologies, and key industry drivers shaping the competitive landscape.
  • Competitive Intelligence: Updated global market share estimates for 2025, competitive positioning of major players (Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial), and refined focus on leading global brands and core players.
  • Expert Insight & Commentary: Strategic analysis from economists, trade experts, and domain specialists to contextualize market shifts and identify emerging opportunities.
  • Complimentary Update: Buyers receive a free July 2025 update with finalized tariff impacts, new trade agreement effects, revised projections, and expanded country-level coverage.

Table of Contents

I. METHODOLOGYII. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
  • Influencer Market Insights
  • World Market Trajectories
  • Tariff Impact on Global Supply Chain Patterns
  • Renewable Energy Certificate - Global Key Competitors Percentage Market Share in 2025 (E)
  • Competitive Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial for Players Worldwide in 2025 (E)
2. FOCUS ON SELECT PLAYERS
3. MARKET TRENDS & DRIVERS
  • Corporate Demand for Green Credentials Spurs Voluntary REC Purchases
  • Mandatory Renewable Portfolio Standards Strengthen Compliance-Driven REC Demand
  • International REC Trading Platforms Expand Cross-Border Market Opportunities
  • Blockchain-Based REC Registries Enhance Transparency and Traceability
  • Rising Investor Scrutiny on ESG Metrics Throws the Spotlight on REC Procurement
  • Integration of RECs Into Carbon Neutrality Strategies Strengthens Business Case
  • Emergence of Digital Marketplaces Simplifies REC Access for Small-Scale Buyers
  • Bundled and Unbundled REC Offerings Create Flexibility in Renewable Electricity Sourcing
  • Government Procurement Guidelines Promote REC Usage in Public Sector Projects
  • Energy Attribute Certificates for Emerging Technologies Expand Coverage Beyond Solar and Wind
  • Adoption of Hourly Matching Approaches Drives Demand for High-Fidelity RECs
  • Corporate Aggregation Models Enable Bulk REC Procurement Across Enterprise Sites
  • Volatility in Compliance REC Prices Creates Need for Long-Term Contract Structures
  • International Recognition of REC Standards Facilitates Market Interoperability
  • Renewable Energy Developers Use REC Sales to Monetize Environmental Attributes
  • Expansion of REC-Based Offset Programs Supports Carbon Neutral Labeling
  • Transparency in REC Retirement Reporting Strengthens Market Integrity
  • Increasing Role of Sustainability Consultants Boosts Awareness and Access to RECs
  • Growing Use of RECs in Environmental Impact Reporting Supports Stakeholder Communication
  • Differentiation Between Voluntary and Compliance REC Markets Enhances Clarity in Procurement
4. GLOBAL MARKET PERSPECTIVE
  • TABLE 1: World Renewable Energy Certificate Market Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2030
  • TABLE 2: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Renewable Energy Certificate by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 3: World Historic Review for Renewable Energy Certificate by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 4: World 16-Year Perspective for Renewable Energy Certificate by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets for Years 2014, 2025 & 2030
  • TABLE 5: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Solar Energy by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 6: World Historic Review for Solar Energy by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 7: World 16-Year Perspective for Solar Energy by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World for Years 2014, 2025 & 2030
  • TABLE 8: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Wind Power by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 9: World Historic Review for Wind Power by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 10: World 16-Year Perspective for Wind Power by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World for Years 2014, 2025 & 2030
  • TABLE 11: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Hydroelectric Power by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 12: World Historic Review for Hydroelectric Power by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 13: World 16-Year Perspective for Hydroelectric Power by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World for Years 2014, 2025 & 2030
  • TABLE 14: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Gas Power by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 15: World Historic Review for Gas Power by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 16: World 16-Year Perspective for Gas Power by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World for Years 2014, 2025 & 2030
  • TABLE 17: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Below 1000 kWh Capacity by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 18: World Historic Review for Below 1000 kWh Capacity by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 19: World 16-Year Perspective for Below 1000 kWh Capacity by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World for Years 2014, 2025 & 2030
  • TABLE 20: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for 1100 - 5000 kWh Capacity by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 21: World Historic Review for 1100 - 5000 kWh Capacity by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 22: World 16-Year Perspective for 1100 - 5000 kWh Capacity by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World for Years 2014, 2025 & 2030
  • TABLE 23: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Above 5000 kWh Capacity by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 24: World Historic Review for Above 5000 kWh Capacity by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 25: World 16-Year Perspective for Above 5000 kWh Capacity by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World for Years 2014, 2025 & 2030
  • TABLE 26: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Voluntary End-Use by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 27: World Historic Review for Voluntary End-Use by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 28: World 16-Year Perspective for Voluntary End-Use by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World for Years 2014, 2025 & 2030
  • TABLE 29: World Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Compliance End-Use by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2024 through 2030 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 30: World Historic Review for Compliance End-Use by Geographic Region - USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Markets - Independent Analysis of Annual Sales in US$ Million for Years 2014 through 2023 and % CAGR
  • TABLE 31: World 16-Year Perspective for Compliance End-Use by Geographic Region - Percentage Breakdown of Value Sales for USA, Canada, Japan, China, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Rest of World for Years 2014, 2025 & 2030
III. MARKET ANALYSIS
UNITED STATES
  • Renewable Energy Certificate Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in the United States for 2025 (E)
CANADA
JAPAN
  • Renewable Energy Certificate Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Japan for 2025 (E)
CHINA
  • Renewable Energy Certificate Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in China for 2025 (E)
EUROPE
  • Renewable Energy Certificate Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Europe for 2025 (E)
FRANCE
  • Renewable Energy Certificate Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in France for 2025 (E)
GERMANY
  • Renewable Energy Certificate Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Germany for 2025 (E)
ITALY
UNITED KINGDOM
  • Renewable Energy Certificate Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in the United Kingdom for 2025 (E)
REST OF EUROPE
ASIA-PACIFIC
  • Renewable Energy Certificate Market Presence - Strong/Active/Niche/Trivial - Key Competitors in Asia-Pacific for 2025 (E)
REST OF WORLDIV. COMPETITION

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • 3Degrees, Inc.
  • AFS Energy B.V.
  • APX Inc.
  • Brookfield Renewable Partners
  • Climate Impact Partners
  • CnerG (part of Evident)
  • Ecohz AS
  • EDF Trading Limited
  • Enel S.p.A.
  • ENGIE S.A.
  • Evolugen (by Brookfield Renewable)
  • Green-e Energy (Center for Resource Solutions)
  • Indian Energy Exchange (IEX)
  • I-REC Standard
  • NextEra Energy Resources, LLC
  • Power Exchange India Limited (PXIL)
  • REDEX Pte. Ltd.
  • Shell Energy
  • South Pole Holding AG
  • Statkraft AS
  • STX Group
  • TerraPass
  • The Green Certificate Company Limited
  • TP ICAP (Renewable Energy Certificates Desk)
  • Xpansiv

Table Information