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United States Cakes, Pastries, and Sweet Pies Market Size, Share and Growth Analysis Report: Forecast Trends and Outlook 2025-2034

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    Report

  • 121 Pages
  • June 2025
  • Region: United States
  • Expert Market Research
  • ID: 6112169
The United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market value reached approximately USD 36.74 Billion in 2024. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.20% between 2025 and 2034, reaching a value of around USD 61.00 Billion by 2034.

United States Cakes, Pastries, and Sweet Pies Market Outlook

Several trends are driving the cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market share in United States. First, the increasing demand for healthier products is reshaping consumer preferences, with brands introducing lower sugar, high-fiber, and gluten-free bakery products. Companies such as Baked by Melissa have expanded their offerings to include mini cupcakes made with organic ingredients.

Secondly, the busy lifestyles of Americans have compelled them to favour ready-to-eat bakery products, such as pastries. Moreover, consumers of US prefer sweet breakfast with their coffee over a savoury one, which also propels the demand for pastries and sweet pies. The trend of celebrating occasions other than birthdays, such as anniversaries, thanksgiving, promotion, and graduations has also augmented growth of the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market.

Lastly, the availability and accessibility to a wide range of cake designs, flavours, colours, and themes in United States have accelerated the growth of the market. Bakeries of the country also offer customisations of cakes and pastries as per request of the customer. Some of the top bakeries in US, such as Bakery Nouveau, Bouchon Bakery, B Bistro + Bakery, Boudin Bakery, and Bakery Lorraine and online platforms, such as Milk Bar, have experienced a growth in sales due to offering customisable cakes.

Growing Demand for Premium Bakery Products is One of the Major United States Cakes, Pastries, and Sweet Pies Market Trends

The Far West region is projected to experience the highest growth with a CAGR of 6.0%. This can be attributed to the region's diverse culinary culture, strong demand for artisanal and premium baked goods, and a health-conscious consumer base driving innovations in low-sugar and gluten-free products. The Rocky Mountain region follows with a CAGR of 5.6%, reflecting the growing popularity of specialty bakeries and local organic ingredients. The Southwest region, with a CAGR of 5.4%, shows significant cakes, pastries, and sweet pies demand growth in United States due to a rising interest in gourmet and ethnic pastries, coupled with increasing disposable income. The Southeast, with a CAGR of 5.1%, benefits from a strong tradition of baking and a growing market for convenience foods, particularly in urban areas. New England and the Mideast regions exhibit moderate growth with CAGRs of 4.8% and 4.5%, respectively, driven by steady demand for traditional baked goods and seasonal pastries. The Plains and Great Lakes regions show slower growth with CAGRs of 4.2% and 3.9%, respectively, likely due to more conservative consumer preferences and a less dynamic market for new and innovative baked products.

Popularity of Sweet Pies and Rising Consumption of Cakes on Occasions is Propelling United States Cakes, Pastries, and Sweet Pies Market Growth

From 2024 to 2032, sweet pies are expected to experience the highest growth with a CAGR of 5.8%. This growth can be attributed to the increasing popularity of traditional and artisanal sweet pies, driven by consumer demand for nostalgic flavors and seasonal offerings. The versatility of sweet pies, with a variety of flavors and fillings, also contributes to their strong market performance. As per United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies industry analysis, pastries follow closely with a CAGR of 5.5%, reflecting the growing consumer interest in convenience foods, as well as the increasing availability of premium and gourmet pastry options. The trend towards on-the-go snacking and indulgence in sweet treats is further driving the demand for pastries. Cakes, with a CAGR of 4.9%, show steady growth, particularly in the celebration and special occasion segments. While cakes remain a staple in the market, their growth is slightly lower compared to sweet pies and pastries, possibly due to the rise of alternative dessert options and changing consumer preferences toward portion-controlled and ready-to-eat products.

Online Retailers Hold a Substantial United States Cakes, Pastries, and Sweet Pies Market Share Due to Consumer Preference for Home Delivery Services

From 2024 to 2032, online retailers are expected to lead in terms of growth, with a CAGR of 5.7%. This reflects the increasing consumer preference for the convenience of online shopping, along with the rising trend of home delivery services and the ability to offer a broader variety of products online. The ease of access to speciality and artisanal baked goods through online platforms also drives this growth. Supermarkets and hypermarkets follow closely with a CAGR of 5.5%, supported by their extensive reach, variety of product offerings, and frequent promotional activities that attract a wide consumer base. These large retail formats continue to be a primary distribution channel for baked goods, offering competitive pricing and increasing United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market revenue. Convenience stores, with a CAGR of 5.0%, are growing steadily as they cater to the demand for ready-to-eat and on-the-go products. Their strategic locations and the quick shopping experience they offer are key factors in their growth. The 'others' category, which includes smaller and niche distribution channels, is expected to grow at a slower rate of 4.7%. While still significant, these channels face competition from larger and more convenient retail options, leading to their comparatively slower growth in the market.

Key Questions Answered in the Report:
  • How has the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market performed historically, and what are the growth expectations for the future?
  • What are the primary factors influencing demand and growth in the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market?
  • What are the key segments within the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market, and how are they expected to evolve over the forecast period?
  • What are the major challenges and opportunities facing stakeholders in the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market?
  • Who are the key players in the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market, and what strategies are they employing to maintain a competitive edge?
  • What are the regulatory and policy factors influencing the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market globally or regionally?
  • How competitive is the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market according to Porter's five forces analysis, including factors like bargaining power of buyers and suppliers?
  • What are the current trends shaping the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market landscape, and how are they expected to evolve in the future?
  • How are technological advancements impacting the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market, and what role do innovation and R&D play in driving growth?
  • What are the consumer preferences and buying behavior trends influencing the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market?
  • How sustainable are current growth rates in the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market, and what factors could potentially disrupt these trends?
  • What are the regional dynamics within the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market, and how do they contribute to overall market growth?
  • What are the economic factors influencing the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market, such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and currency fluctuations?
  • How are demographic shifts, such as aging populations or urbanization trends, affecting demand in the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market?
  • What are the key strategic partnerships, mergers, and acquisitions shaping the competitive landscape of the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market?
  • What are the regulatory and legal frameworks impacting the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market globally or in key regions?
  • How are changing consumer lifestyles and preferences influencing product or service demand within the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market?
  • What are the emerging market trends and niche opportunities within the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market that stakeholders should be aware of?
  • How resilient is the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market to external shocks or disruptions, such as geopolitical tensions or natural disasters?
  • What are the potential barriers to market entry and growth for new players in the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market?
Key Benefits for Stakeholders:

Expert Market Research's industry report provides a comprehensive quantitative analysis of various market segments, historical and current market trends, and forecasts the dynamics of the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market spanning from 2018 to 2034.

The research report delivers up-to-date insights into the market drivers, challenges, and opportunities shaping the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market.

Stakeholders can leverage Porter's five forces analysis to assess the impact of new entrants, competitive rivalry, supplier power, buyer power, and the threat of substitution. This analysis aids in evaluating the competitiveness and attractiveness of the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market.

The competitive landscape section enables stakeholders to gain a deep understanding of their competitive environment. It offers insights into the current market positions of key players, their strategies, and their market shares.

Additionally, the report highlights emerging trends, regulatory influences, and technological advancements that are pivotal for stakeholders navigating the United States cakes, pastries, and sweet pies market landscape.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary
1.1 Market Size 2024-2025
1.2 Market Growth 2025(F)-2034(F)
1.3 Key Demand Drivers
1.4 Key Players and Competitive Structure
1.5 Industry Best Practices
1.6 Recent Trends and Developments
1.7 Industry Outlook
2 Market Overview and Stakeholder Insights
2.1 Market Trends
2.2 Key Verticals
2.3 Key Regions
2.4 Supplier Power
2.5 Buyer Power
2.6 Key Market Opportunities and Risks
2.7 Key Initiatives by Stakeholders
3 Economic Summary
3.1 GDP Outlook
3.2 GDP Per Capita Growth
3.3 Inflation Trends
3.4 Democracy Index
3.5 Gross Public Debt Ratios
3.6 Balance of Payment (BoP) Position
3.7 Population Outlook
3.8 Urbanisation Trends
4 Country Risk Profiles
4.1 Country Risk
4.2 Business Climate
5 United States Cakes, Pastries and Sweet Pies Market Analysis
5.1 Key Industry Highlights
5.2 United States Cakes, Pastries and Sweet Pies Historical Market (2018-2024)
5.3 United States Cakes, Pastries and Sweet Pies Market Forecast (2025-2034)
6 United States Cakes, Pastries and Sweet Pies Market by Product Type
6.1 Cakes
6.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
6.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
6.2 Pastries
6.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
6.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
6.3 Sweet Pies
6.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
6.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7 United States Cakes, Pastries and Sweet Pies Market by Distribution Channel
7.1 Supermarkets/Hypermarkets
7.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.2 Convenience Stores
7.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.3 Online Retailers
7.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.4 Others
8 United States Cakes, Pastries and Sweet Pies Market by Region
8.1 New England
8.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.2 Mideast
8.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.3 Great Lakes
8.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.4 Plains
8.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.5 Southeast
8.5.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.5.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.6 Southwest
8.6.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.6.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.7 Rocky Mountain
8.7.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.7.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.8 Far West
8.8.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.8.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
9 Market Dynamics
9.1 SWOT Analysis
9.1.1 Strengths
9.1.2 Weaknesses
9.1.3 Opportunities
9.1.4 Threats
9.2 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
9.2.1 Supplier’s Power
9.2.2 Buyer’s Power
9.2.3 Threat of New Entrants
9.2.4 Degree of Rivalry
9.2.5 Threat of Substitutes
9.3 Key Indicators for Demand
9.4 Key Indicators for Price
10 Competitive Landscape
10.1 Supplier Selection
10.2 Key Global Players
10.3 Key Regional Players
10.4 Key Player Strategies
10.5 Company Profiles
10.5.1 Hostess Brands, LLC
10.5.1.1 Company Overview
10.5.1.2 Product Portfolio
10.5.1.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
10.5.1.4 Certifications
10.5.2 McKee Foods Corporation
10.5.2.1 Company Overview
10.5.2.2 Product Portfolio
10.5.2.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
10.5.2.4 Certifications
10.5.3 Flowers Foods, Inc.
10.5.3.1 Company Overview
10.5.3.2 Product Portfolio
10.5.3.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
10.5.3.4 Certifications
10.5.4 The Kellogg Company
10.5.4.1 Company Overview
10.5.4.2 Product Portfolio
10.5.4.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
10.5.4.4 Certifications
10.5.5 General Mills, Inc.
10.5.5.1 Company Overview
10.5.5.2 Product Portfolio
10.5.5.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
10.5.5.4 Certifications
10.5.6 Bimbo Bakeries USA
10.5.6.1 Company Overview
10.5.6.2 Product Portfolio
10.5.6.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
10.5.6.4 Certifications
10.5.7 Others

Companies Mentioned

  • Hostess Brands, LLC
  • McKee Foods Corporation
  • Flowers Foods, Inc.
  • The Kellogg Company
  • General Mills, Inc.
  • Bimbo Bakeries USA