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United States Cigarettes Market Growth Analysis - Forecast Trends and Outlook (2025-2034)

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    Report

  • 140 Pages
  • June 2025
  • Region: United States
  • Expert Market Research
  • ID: 6112497
The United States cigarettes market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.50% during the forecast period of 2025-2034. The growing demand for regular cigarettes is aiding the market.

United States Cigarettes Market Outlook

The United States cigarettes market expansion is being fuelled by the increasing popularity of e-cigarettes among teenagers. A survey by the US Centre for Disease Control and Prevention found that 14% of all American students in high schools smoked e-cigarettes. This can be attributed to their effectiveness in tackling nicotine addiction and facilitating the transition to a better lifestyle.

Due to their high social acceptance, e-cigarettes are preferred over other tobacco consumption devices, and their usage surged from 4.9% in 2021 to 6% in 2022. This is expected to contribute to the market growth. Over the forecast period, American adults are expected to continue the usage of smoking products, thereby leading to the United States cigarettes market development.

The Rising Demand for Regular Cigarettes is One of the Crucial United States Cigarettes Market Trends

  • Regular cigarettes are expected to lead the market by type with a CAGR of 3.8% during the forecast period of 2025-2034. The United States cigarettes demand growth is being driven by the widespread consumer preference for regular cigarettes and strong brand loyalty.
  • Menthol cigarettes follow closely with a CAGR of 3.7%, reflecting their popularity among specific demographic groups and consistent demand.
  • Slim/ultra slim cigarettes, with a CAGR of 3.3%, maintain steady growth as they cater to niche markets focused on style and perceived health benefits.
  • As per the United States cigarettes market analysis, the 'Others' category, with a CAGR of 3.1%, includes various additional tobacco products contributing to overall market growth, but at a slower pace due to their limited adoption and niche appeal.

The Growing Sales of Cigarettes from Convenience Stores is Driving the United States Cigarettes Market Growth

  • Convenience stores are projected to dominate the United States cigarettes market share, growing at a CAGR of 3.9%, driven by their widespread accessibility and consumer preference for quick and easy purchases.
  • Hypermarkets/supermarkets follow with a CAGR of 3.7%, supported by their extensive reach and the ability to offer competitive pricing.
  • Tobacco shops are assessed to grow at a CAGR of 3.5% during the forecast period of 2025-2034. The United States cigarettes market value is increasing due to a dedicated customer base and a wide range of specialised products offered by tobacco shops.
  • Online retail, growing at a CAGR of 3.3%, is gaining traction due to the convenience of shopping from home and the increasing shift toward e-commerce.
  • As per the United States cigarettes industry statistics, the 'Others' category, with a CAGR of 3.1%, includes additional distribution channels contributing to overall market growth, albeit at a slower pace due to their more specialised or limited use.

United States Cigarettes Market Regional Analysis

  • The Far West region is expected to lead the market with the highest CAGR of 4.0%. A large consumer base and higher disposable income levels in the region are creating lucrative United States cigarettes market opportunities.
  • The Rocky Mountain region follows with a CAGR of 3.7%, supported by steady population growth and a stable market for tobacco products.
  • The Southwest, with a CAGR of 3.6%, benefits from a combination of urbanisation and sustained demand across various demographic segments.
  • The Southeast region is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 3.4% during the forecast period of 2025-2034. The region’s established market and consistent consumer demand are increasing the United States cigarettes market value.
  • New England, at 3.2%, reflects steady growth, largely driven by its traditional market with a focus on regular and menthol cigarettes .
  • The United States cigarettes market regional insights suggest that the Mideast, Plains, and Great Lakes regions, with CAGRs of 3.0%, 2.8%, and 2.6%, respectively, experience slower growth due to market maturity and varying levels of health awareness and regulatory environments.
Key Questions Answered in This Report:
  • How has the United States cigarettes market performed historically, and what are the growth expectations for the future?
  • What are the primary factors influencing demand and growth in the United States cigarettes market?
  • What are the key segments within the United States cigarettes market, and how are they expected to evolve over the forecast period?
  • What are the major challenges and opportunities facing stakeholders in the United States cigarettes market?
  • Who are the key players in the United States cigarettes market, and what strategies are they employing to maintain a competitive edge?
  • What are the regulatory and policy factors influencing the United States cigarettes market globally or regionally?
  • How competitive is the United States cigarettes market according to Porter's five forces analysis, including factors like bargaining power of buyers and suppliers?
  • What are the current trends shaping the United States cigarettes market landscape, and how are they expected to evolve in the future?
  • How are technological advancements impacting the United States cigarettes market, and what role do innovation and R&D play in driving growth?
  • What are the consumer preferences and buying behavior trends influencing the United States cigarettes market?
  • How sustainable are current growth rates in the United States cigarettes market, and what factors could potentially disrupt these trends?
  • What are the regional dynamics within the United States cigarettes market, and how do they contribute to overall market growth?
  • What are the economic factors influencing the United States cigarettes market, such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and currency fluctuations?
  • How are demographic shifts, such as aging populations or urbanization trends, affecting demand in the United States cigarettes market?
  • What are the key strategic partnerships, mergers, and acquisitions shaping the competitive landscape of the United States cigarettes market?
  • What are the regulatory and legal frameworks impacting the United States cigarettes market globally or in key regions?
  • How are changing consumer lifestyles and preferences influencing product or service demand within the United States cigarettes market?
  • What are the emerging market trends and niche opportunities within the United States cigarettes market that stakeholders should be aware of?
  • How resilient is the United States cigarettes market to external shocks or disruptions, such as geopolitical tensions or natural disasters?
  • What are the potential barriers to market entry and growth for new players in the United States cigarettes market?
Key Benefits for Stakeholders:

Expert Market Research's industry report provides a comprehensive quantitative analysis of various market segments, historical and current market trends, and forecasts the dynamics of the United States cigarettes market spanning from 2018 to 2034.

The research report delivers up-to-date insights into the market drivers, challenges, and opportunities shaping the United States cigarettes industry.

Stakeholders can leverage Porter's five forces analysis to assess the impact of new entrants, competitive rivalry, supplier power, buyer power, and the threat of substitution. This analysis aids in evaluating the competitiveness and attractiveness of the United States cigarettes market.

The competitive landscape section enables stakeholders to gain a deep understanding of their competitive environment. It offers insights into the current market positions of key players, their strategies, and their market shares.

Additionally, the report highlights emerging trends, regulatory influences, and technological advancements that are pivotal for stakeholders navigating the United States cigarettes market landscape.

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Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary
1.1 Market Size 2024-2025
1.2 Market Growth 2025(F)-2034(F)
1.3 Key Demand Drivers
1.4 Key Players and Competitive Structure
1.5 Industry Best Practices
1.6 Recent Trends and Developments
1.7 Industry Outlook
2 Market Overview and Stakeholder Insights
2.1 Market Trends
2.2 Key Verticals
2.3 Key Regions
2.4 Supplier Power
2.5 Buyer Power
2.6 Key Market Opportunities and Risks
2.7 Key Initiatives by Stakeholders
3 Economic Summary
3.1 GDP Outlook
3.2 GDP Per Capita Growth
3.3 Inflation Trends
3.4 Democracy Index
3.5 Gross Public Debt Ratios
3.6 Balance of Payment (BoP) Position
3.7 Population Outlook
3.8 Urbanisation Trends
4 Country Risk Profiles
4.1 Country Risk
4.2 Business Climate
5 United States Cigarettes Market Analysis
5.1 Key Industry Highlights
5.2 United States Cigarettes Historical Market (2018-2024)
5.3 United States Cigarettes Market Forecast (2025-2034)
6 United States Cigarettes Market by Type
6.1 Regular Cigarettes
6.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
6.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
6.2 Menthol Cigarettes
6.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
6.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
6.3 Slim/Ultra Slim Cigarettes
6.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
6.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
6.4 Others
7 United States Cigarettes Market by Distribution Channel
7.1 Supermarkets and Hypermarkets
7.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.2 Convenience Stores
7.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.3 Online Retail
7.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.4 Tobacco Shops
7.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.5 Others
8 United States Cigarettes Market by Region
8.1 New England
8.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.2 Mideast
8.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.3 Great Lakes
8.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.4 Plains
8.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.5 Southeast
8.5.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.5.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.6 Southwest
8.6.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.6.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.7 Rocky Mountain
8.7.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.7.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.8 Far West
8.8.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.8.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
9 Market Dynamics
9.1 SWOT Analysis
9.1.1 Strengths
9.1.2 Weaknesses
9.1.3 Opportunities
9.1.4 Threats
9.2 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
9.2.1 Supplier’s Power
9.2.2 Buyer’s Power
9.2.3 Threat of New Entrants
9.2.4 Degree of Rivalry
9.2.5 Threat of Substitutes
9.3 Key Indicators for Demand
9.4 Key Indicators for Price
10 Competitive Landscape
10.1 Supplier Selection
10.2 Key Global Players
10.3 Key Regional Players
10.4 Key Player Strategies
10.5 Company Profiles
10.5.1 Philip Morris USA
10.5.1.1 Company Overview
10.5.1.2 Product Portfolio
10.5.1.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
10.5.1.4 Certifications
10.5.2 Reynolds American Inc.
10.5.2.1 Company Overview
10.5.2.2 Product Portfolio
10.5.2.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
10.5.2.4 Certifications
10.5.3 ITG Brands LLC
10.5.3.1 Company Overview
10.5.3.2 Product Portfolio
10.5.3.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
10.5.3.4 Certifications
10.5.4 Liggett Vector Brands LLC
10.5.4.1 Company Overview
10.5.4.2 Product Portfolio
10.5.4.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
10.5.4.4 Certifications
10.5.5 Others

Companies Mentioned

  • Philip Morris USA
  • Reynolds American Inc.
  • ITG Brands LLC
  • Liggett Vector Brands LLC