Poland Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis to 2029 (Q2 2025)

The analyst expects the Polish construction industry to grow by 2.4% in 2025, supported by investments in developing flood-affected areas, and a rise in tourism activities, coupled with a robust investment in the energy and infrastructure sector. In April 2025, the Council of Europe Development Bank (CEB) approved a loan of PLN881.2 million ($217.9 million) to support the country in rebuilding the flood-affected areas, which were destroyed during the late September 2024 floods. Moreover, in March 2025, the European Commission (EC) announced that its plan to provide a loan of PLN105.8 billion ($26.2 billion) to Poland for constructing 800km of fort walls, which is anticipated to be completed by 2028. However, higher budget deficit, recent US tariff impositions, rising trade deficit, mounting debt, falling residential permits, higher inflation, and lower construction activities are expected to pose a downside risk for the construction industry over the short to medium term. According to the Statistics Poland (GUS), the total number of residential building permits issued fell by 11.6% YoY in Q1 2025, while the total number of residential buildings on which construction started fell by 7.3% YoY in Q1 2025. According to the Central Bank of Poland, inflation stood at 4.3% in April 2025, which is above the Bank’s target of reaching 2.5% by 2026.

The construction industry is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 4% from 2026 to 2029, supported by government investments in transportation and energy infrastructure in line with the government aims to increase the share of renewables in electricity production, with targets of 56% by 2030, up from 16.5% in 2023. The government also aims to reach the total installed capacity in renewable energy in electricity generation to 25GW by 2030. Of this, 5.9GW of offshore wind energy, 9GW of nuclear energy, 9.1GW of solar and hydrogen energy will be installed by 2030

The Construction in Poland - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2029 (Q2 2025) report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into the Polish construction industry, including:

The Polish construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Polish construction industry
Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Poland. It provides:

Historical (2020-2024) and forecast (2025-2029) valuations of the construction industry in Poland, featuring details of key growth drivers.
Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

Identify and evaluate market opportunities using our standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies
Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts
Understand the latest industry and market trends
Formulate and validate business strategies using the analyst's critical and actionable insight
Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures
Evaluate competitive risk and success factors

1 Executive Summary2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance

3 Context

3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile

4 Construction Outlook

4.1 All Construction

Outlook
Latest news and developments
Construction Projects Momentum Index

4.2 Commercial Construction

Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments

4.3 Industrial Construction

Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments

4.4 Infrastructure Construction

Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments

4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction

Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments

4.6 Institutional Construction

Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments

4.7 Residential Construction

Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments

5 Key Industry Participants

5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants

6 Construction Market Data

7 Appendix

7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology

About the Analyst
Contact the Publisher

List of Tables

Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Poland, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 4: Poland, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 6: Poland, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 8: Poland, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 10: Poland, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 12: Poland, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2020-29
Table 14: Poland, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Poland, Key Contractors
Table 16: Poland, Key Consultants
Table 17: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 18: Poland, Construction Output Value (Nominal, PLN Million)
Table 19: the analyst Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions

List of Figures

Figure 1: Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2023-29
Figure 2: Poland, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2023-25 and 2026-29
Figure 3: Poland, Risk Summary
Figure 4: Poland, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 5: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2022 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2020-29
Figure 6: Poland, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 7: Poland, Construction Value-add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 8: Poland, Gross Fixed Capital Formation in Construction Industry (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 9: Poland, Employment in the Construction Industry, In Thousands
Figure 10: Poland, Construction Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2021=100, % Change, YoY)
Figure 11: Poland, Labor Cost Index for Construction (2020=100)
Figure 12: Poland, Building Permits - m2 of Useful Floor Area (2021=100)
Figure 13: Poland, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 14: Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 15: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 16: Poland, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 17: Poland, Wholesale and Retail Trade Value-Add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 18: Poland, Foreign Tourist Arrivals and Overnight Stays (Number in Thousand)
Figure 19: Poland, Permits for Office Buildings - m2 of Useful Floor Area, 2021=100
Figure 20: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 21: Poland, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 22: Poland, Manufacturing Value-add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 23: Poland, Manufacturing Cost Index (The same period of the previous year = 100)
Figure 24: Poland, Total Merchandise Exports (PLN Million)
Figure 25: Poland, Manufacturing Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2021=100)
Figure 26: Poland, Mining and Quarrying Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2021=100)
Figure 27: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 28: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 29: Poland, Civil Engineering Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2021=100)
Figure 30: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 31: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 32: Poland, Information and Communication Value-add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 33: Poland, Electricity, Gas, Steam, and Air Conditioning Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2021=100)
Figure 34: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 35: Poland, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 36: Poland, Public Administration, Defense, Education, Human Health, and Social Work Value-add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 37: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2020-29
Figure 38: Poland, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 39: Poland, Real Estate Value-add (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 40: Poland, Gross Fixed Capital Formation of Dwellings (PLN Million, 2020 Chained Prices)
Figure 41: Poland, Dwellings Completed (In Number)
Figure 42: Poland, Residential Building Permits (in Thousands)
Figure 43: Poland, Residential Building on Which Construction Started (In Thousands)
Figure 44: Poland, House Price Index, 2015=100
Figure 45: Poland, Construction Producer Price Index for New Residential Buildings (2021=100)
Figure 46: Poland, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 47: Poland, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

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The Construction in Poland - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2029 (Q2 2025) report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into the Polish construction industry, including:

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Poland. It provides:

Reasons to Buy

Table of Contents

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