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Australia Commercial Vehicle Market Size and Forecast 2025-2033

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    Report

  • 200 Pages
  • July 2025
  • Region: Australia
  • Renub Research
  • ID: 6116599
The Australia Commercial Vehicle Market is expected to grow from US$ 15.79 billion in 2024 to US$ 24.14 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 4.83% during the period between 2025 and 2033. Growth is fueled by increasing demand for freight transportation, growing construction and mining sectors, and the government's investments in infrastructure. Growing use of electric commercial vehicles is also fueling market change and long-term sustainability.

Australia Commercial Vehicle Market Overview

A commercial vehicle is used mainly for carrying goods or people for business. Some examples of commercial vehicles are trucks, vans, buses, and utility vehicles, which are generally used in logistics, construction, mining, agriculture, and transportation. Commercial vehicles are of vital importance in supporting Australia's economy because the nation's geography is vast and road transport is needed for intra - and inter-state logistics.

From long-haul trucks carrying cargo through remote areas to light commercial vans making city deliveries, these vehicles provide effective supply chains and service operations. Australia's booming construction and mining industries also rely significantly on commercial fleets. E-commerce growth, higher infrastructure projects, and government incentives for fleet renewal are also driving demand.

The demand for commercial vehicles keeps expanding, with the use of emerging technologies and electric vehicles boosting market interest further. Commercial vehicles are now increasingly being regarded as critical productivity tools, cost-savers, and service reliability across the varied economic landscape of Australia.

Growth Drivers in the Australia Commercial Vehicle Market

Infrastructure Development and Urban Expansion

Australia's current infrastructure developments, such as roadways, highways, and mass transit networks, are boosting demand for commercial vehicles. Urban growth in Sydney and Melbourne demands heavy vehicles, haulage trucks, and delivery vans. Federal and state investments in infrastructure create enduring demand for heavy trucks, building vehicles, and fleet transport. The Inland Rail development and other logistics routes also increase demand. This expansion increases transportation efficiency and supports commercial vehicle sales in industries like logistics, construction, and mining. Australia boasts 5 cities with over a million individuals, 14 cities with 100,000 to 1 million inhabitants, and 375 cities with 10,000 to 100,000 inhabitants.

E-commerce and Last-Mile Delivery Boom

The swift development of e-commerce in Australia has tremendously lifted the demand for medium and light commercial vehicles. As more and more consumers shop online, logistics companies are increasing their fleets to handle last-mile deliveries. Companies are investing in reliable, efficient vehicles to improve delivery times and reduce operational costs. The surge in parcel volumes post-pandemic has made delivery vans and small trucks indispensable for retailers, courier services, and freight operators, further stimulating market growth in the LCV segment.

Shift Toward Green Mobility and Fleet Electrification

Australia is gradually moving toward cleaner transportation solutions, driven by environmental regulations and corporate sustainability goals. Government procurement initiatives and fleet operators are increasingly turning to battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and alternative fuel vehicles like LPG and CNG. The commercial vehicle segment is adopting electrification to lower carbon emissions and costs of operations. Government incentives such as tax breaks and rebates on low-emission vehicles are also driving adoption, most notably in urban delivery and public transit fleets. May 2025, Linfox, a global transport and logistics company headquartered in Australia, ordered 30 heavy-duty electric trucks from Volvo. This is the biggest order so far for battery-electric trucks in Australia.

Challenges in the Australia Commercial Vehicle Market

High Operational and Ownership Costs

Australian commercial vehicle operators incur heavy expenditures on fuel, maintenance, insurance, and personnel. Long distances and hilly terrain cause greater vehicle wear and tear, necessitating more frequent maintenance and higher investment in robust models. Further, purchase costs of new, technology-driven or electric vehicles continue to be high, discouraging owners of small and medium-sized fleets. High operational costs can restrict fleet growth and lower profitability for logistics and construction companies.

Restricted Alternative Fuels Infrastructure for Refueling and Charging

In spite of the thrust towards BEV, CNG, and LPG buses, Australia continues to lag behind in developing comprehensive charging and refueling networks. Rural and remote areas particularly are woefully undercovered, and it is not easy for operators to abandon diesel buses. The gradual pace of installing public charging facilities and gas refilling stops instills range anxiety and operational inefficiencies. This infrastructure deficiency retards mass acceptance of green commercial vehicles and inhibits progress towards decarbonization at the national level.

Australia Heavy-duty Commercial Truck Market

Australia's heavy-duty commercial truck market is critical for mining, long-haul freight, and construction industries. They are produced for transporting high volumes of goods long distances and frequently in difficult terrain. The demand is strong in New South Wales, Queensland, and Western Australia due to agriculture and mining industries. Growing investment in road freight corridors and infrastructure drives the industry. But worries regarding emissions and fuel economy are inducing a gradual transition to cleaner diesel technologies and, ultimately, electric or hydrogen-fueled heavy trucks.

Australia BEV Commercial Vehicle Market

The battery electric vehicle (BEV) market in Australia's commercial market is at an embryonic but promising phase. Induced by environmental regulation and city emissions goals, electric light vans and buses are increasingly popular, particularly for city logistics and public transport. Though high upfront costs and availability constraints are obstacles, a number of pilot schemes and fleet trials are leading the way. Corporations and local councils are investing in BEV fleets to reduce long-term fuel and maintenance expenses. The segment is set to develop aggressively as incentives and infrastructure enhance.

Australia CNG Commercial Vehicle Market

The Australian CNG commercial vehicle industry is a cleaner option to diesel, particularly in areas such as public transport and waste collection. Sydney and Brisbane are among the cities that use CNG buses for city transit. CNG vehicles emit lower emissions and are economical in the long run, but the lack of availability of infrastructure is an issue. The fleet operators are apprehensive because there are few refueling centers and no supply chains across the country. However, government incentives and green mandates are anticipated to drive demand in specific metro markets.

Australia LPG Commercial Vehicle Market

Australia's LPG commercial vehicle market mostly includes taxis, courier vans, and utility vehicles. LPG is less expensive and cleaner compared to petrol or diesel and is thus appealing for fleet operation within urban areas. Nonetheless, the market is declining slightly as BEVs become more popular and LPG infrastructure becomes stationary. Although still suitable for cost-conscious operators, there is limited new investment. Environmental needs and advancing emissions requirements could eventually bring LPG vehicles into obsolescence unless the technology is improved to provide contemporary performance and environmental requirements.

Australia Logistics Commercial Vehicle Market

Logistics is the backbone of the Australian economy, and commercial vehicles are at its heart. Demand is increasing as domestic e-commerce, international trade, and freight forwarding grows. Light and medium-duty trucks are crucial to distribution centers, while heavy-duty trucks are used for inter-city freight. Integration of technology like telematics and real-time tracking is also enhancing fleet management. Driver shortages and fuel price fluctuations are still issues. With intensifying urban logistics, demand for small electric delivery vans will rise considerably.

Australia Mining & Construction Commercial Vehicle Market

The construction and mining sectors rely heavily on strong, high-capacity commercial trucks for haulage, equipment transportation, and mobility of the workforce. These industries, which are particularly significant in Western Australia and Queensland, have strong dependence on heavy-duty trucks, off-road trucks, and trailers. The demand is cyclic, attached to infrastructure works and commodity prices. With a greater emphasis on safety and emissions, there is increasing demand for low-emission and fuel-efficient trucks. Autonomous and partially autonomous mining trucks are also emerging for productivity and safety improvement.

New South Wales Commercial Vehicle Market

The most mature and diversified commercial vehicle market in Australia is in New South Wales (NSW). The state is home to key logistics centers, ports, and infrastructure development that demand different vehicle types. The Sydney urban area drives demand for delivery buses and vans, while rural areas need heavy-duty trucks for agriculture and mining. The drive for electric buses and low-emission fleets by the state government is transforming procurement trends. On the whole, NSW is ahead of the curve in vehicle take-up trends and environmental transformation among the states.

Victoria Commercial Vehicle Market

Victoria, which has Melbourne as a strong economic center, has a vibrant commercial vehicle sector led by logistics, manufacturing, and city transport. Demand for medium-duty trucks and LCVs is strong as a result of retail and e-commerce activity. Public transport fleets are slowly converting to electric, supported by government incentives and policy. Port of Melbourne as an important trade gateway increases the demand for heavy-duty haulage trucks. Despite expansion, the market also faces congestion, emissions control regulations, and limitations in infrastructure development. In 2025, United H2 Limited made an announcement to acquire GoZero Group, an Australian electric bus and commercial vehicle producer, for a transaction worth USD 248 million. GoZero's subsidiaries are Nexport and BusTech, and the acquisition is to enhance hydrogen and electric vehicle capabilities within Australia.

South Australia Commercial Vehicle Market

South Australia's light vehicle market is smaller but increasing steadily, propelled by regional growth, farming, and renewable energy initiatives. Adelaide's inner-city logistics market is growing, demanding more LCVs and electric delivery vans. Heavy-duty trucks play an important role in farming and mining services in rural areas. Green energy is extended to transport with escalating investments in electric buses and alternative fueling infrastructure in the state. Though limited availability of vehicle models and extensive distances between urban areas constitute fleet operators' operational challenges, BHP started a 12-month trial of a battery-electric Toyota HiLux in 2024 at its Port Hedland operation in Western Australia. The project, under a larger partnership with Toyota, seeks to electrify the group's 5,000-strong vehicle fleet and lower operation emissions by 30% by 2030.

Market Segmentation

Vehicle Type

  • Heavy-duty Commercial Trucks
  • Light Commercial Pick-up Trucks
  • Light Commercial Vans
  • Medium-duty Commercial Trucks

Propulsion Type

Hybrid and Electric Vehicles

  • BEV
  • FCEV
  • HEV
  • PHEV

ICE

  • CNG
  • Diesel
  • Gasoline
  • LPG

End User

  • Industrial
  • Mining & Construction
  • Logistics
  • Passenger Transportation
  • Others

Top States

  • New South Wales
  • Victoria
  • Queensland
  • Western Australia
  • South Australia
  • Australian Capital Territory
  • Tasmania
  • Northern Territory

Key Players Analysis (Overviews, Key Persons, Recent Developments, SWOT Analysis, Revenue Analysis)

  • AB Volvo
  • Ford Motor Company
  • General Motors Company
  • Hyundai Motor Company
  • Mahindra & Mahindra Limited
  • Mercedes-Benz Group AG
  • Mitsubishi Motors Corporation
  • Robert Bosch GmbH
  • Tata Motors Limited
  • Toyota Motor Corporation

Table of Contents

1. Introduction
2. Research & Methodology
2.1 Data Source
2.1.1 Primary Sources
2.1.2 Secondary Sources
2.2 Research Approach
2.2.1 Top-Down Approach
2.2.2 Bottom-Up Approach
2.3 Forecast Projection Methodology
3. Executive Summary
4. Market Dynamics
4.1 Growth Drivers
4.2 Challenges
5. Australia Commercial Vehicle Market
5.1 Historical Market Trends
5.2 Market Forecast
6. Market Share Analysis
6.1 By Vehicle Type
6.2 By Propulsion Type
6.3 By End User
6.4 By States
7. Vehicle Type
7.1 Heavy-duty Commercial Trucks
7.2 Light Commercial Pick-up Trucks
7.3 Light Commercial Vans
7.4 Medium-duty Commercial Trucks
8. Propulsion Type
8.1 Hybrid and Electric Vehicles
8.1.1 BEV
8.1.1.1 Market Analysis
8.1.1.2 Market Size & Forecast
8.1.2 FCEV
8.1.2.1 Market Analysis
8.1.2.2 Market Size & Forecast
8.1.3 HEV
8.1.3.1 Market Analysis
8.1.3.2 Market Size & Forecast
8.1.4 PHEV
8.1.4.1 Market Analysis
8.1.4.2 Market Size & Forecast
8.2 ICE
8.2.1 CNG
8.2.1.1 Market Analysis
8.2.1.2 Market Size & Forecast
8.2.2 Diesel
8.2.2.1 Market Analysis
8.2.2.2 Market Size & Forecast
8.2.3 Gasoline
8.2.3.1 Market Analysis
8.2.3.2 Market Size & Forecast
8.2.4 LPG
8.2.4.1 Market Analysis
8.2.4.2 Market Size & Forecast
9. End User
9.1 Industrial
9.1.1 Market Analysis
9.1.2 Market Size & Forecast
9.2 Mining & Construction
9.2.1 Market Analysis
9.2.2 Market Size & Forecast
9.3 Logistics
9.3.1 Market Analysis
9.3.2 Market Size & Forecast
9.4 Passenger Transportation
9.4.1 Market Analysis
9.4.2 Market Size & Forecast
9.5 Others
9.5.1 Market Analysis
9.5.2 Market Size & Forecast
10. Top States
10.1 New South Wales
10.1.1 Market Analysis
10.1.2 Market Size & Forecast
10.2 Victoria
10.2.1 Market Analysis
10.2.2 Market Size & Forecast
10.3 Queensland
10.3.1 Market Analysis
10.3.2 Market Size & Forecast
10.4 Western Australia
10.4.1 Market Analysis
10.4.2 Market Size & Forecast
10.5 South Australia
10.5.1 Market Analysis
10.5.2 Market Size & Forecast
10.6 Australian Capital Territory
10.6.1 Market Analysis
10.6.2 Market Size & Forecast
10.7 Tasmania
10.7.1 Market Analysis
10.7.2 Market Size & Forecast
10.8 Northern Territory
10.8.1 Market Analysis
10.8.2 Market Size & Forecast
11. Value Chain Analysis
12. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
12.1 Bargaining Power of Buyers
12.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
12.3 Degree of Competition
12.4 Threat of New Entrants
12.5 Threat of Substitutes
13. SWOT Analysis
13.1 Strength
13.2 Weakness
13.3 Opportunity
13.4 Threats
14. Pricing Benchmark Analysis
14.1 AB Volvo
14.2 Ford Motor Company
14.3 General Motors Company
14.4 Hyundai Motor Company
14.5 Mahindra & Mahindra Limited
14.6 Mercedes-Benz Group AG
14.7 Mitsubishi Motors Corporation
14.8 Robert Bosch GmbH
14.9 Tata Motors Limited
14.10 Toyota Motor Corporation
15. Key Players Analysis
15.1 AB Volvo
15.1.1 Overviews
15.1.2 Key Person
15.1.3 Recent Developments
15.1.4 SWOT Analysis
15.1.5 Revenue Analysis
15.2 Ford Motor Company
15.2.1 Overviews
15.2.2 Key Person
15.2.3 Recent Developments
15.2.4 SWOT Analysis
15.2.5 Revenue Analysis
15.3 General Motors Company
15.3.1 Overviews
15.3.2 Key Person
15.3.3 Recent Developments
15.3.4 SWOT Analysis
15.3.5 Revenue Analysis
15.4 Hyundai Motor Company
15.4.1 Overviews
15.4.2 Key Person
15.4.3 Recent Developments
15.4.4 SWOT Analysis
15.4.5 Revenue Analysis
15.5 Mahindra & Mahindra Limited
15.5.1 Overviews
15.5.2 Key Person
15.5.3 Recent Developments
15.5.4 SWOT Analysis
15.5.5 Revenue Analysis
15.6 Mercedes-Benz Group AG
15.6.1 Overviews
15.6.2 Key Person
15.6.3 Recent Developments
15.6.4 SWOT Analysis
15.6.5 Revenue Analysis
15.7 Mitsubishi Motors Corporation
15.7.1 Overviews
15.7.2 Key Person
15.7.3 Recent Developments
15.7.4 SWOT Analysis
15.7.5 Revenue Analysis
15.8 Robert Bosch GmbH
15.8.1 Overviews
15.8.2 Key Person
15.8.3 Recent Developments
15.8.4 SWOT Analysis
15.8.5 Revenue Analysis
15.9 Tata Motors Limited
15.9.1 Overviews
15.9.2 Key Person
15.9.3 Recent Developments
15.9.4 SWOT Analysis
15.9.5 Revenue Analysis
15.10 Toyota Motor Corporation
15.10.1 Overviews
15.10.2 Key Person
15.10.3 Recent Developments
15.10.4 SWOT Analysis
15.10.5 Revenue Analysis

Companies Mentioned

The major companies profiled in this Australia Commercial Vehicle market report include:
  • AB Volvo
  • Ford Motor Company
  • General Motors Company
  • Hyundai Motor Company
  • Mahindra & Mahindra Limited
  • Mercedes-Benz Group AG
  • Mitsubishi Motors Corporation
  • Robert Bosch GmbH
  • Tata Motors Limited
  • Toyota Motor Corporation

Methodology

In this report, for analyzing the future trends for the studied market during the forecast period, the publisher has incorporated rigorous statistical and econometric methods, further scrutinized by secondary, primary sources and by in-house experts, supported through their extensive data intelligence repository. The market is studied holistically from both demand and supply-side perspectives. This is carried out to analyze both end-user and producer behavior patterns, in the review period, which affects price, demand and consumption trends. As the study demands to analyze the long-term nature of the market, the identification of factors influencing the market is based on the fundamentality of the study market.

Through secondary and primary researches, which largely include interviews with industry participants, reliable statistics, and regional intelligence, are identified and are transformed to quantitative data through data extraction, and further applied for inferential purposes. The publisher's in-house industry experts play an instrumental role in designing analytic tools and models, tailored to the requirements of a particular industry segment. These analytical tools and models sanitize the data & statistics and enhance the accuracy of their recommendations and advice.

Primary Research

The primary purpose of this phase is to extract qualitative information regarding the market from the key industry leaders. The primary research efforts include reaching out to participants through mail, tele-conversations, referrals, professional networks, and face-to-face interactions. The publisher also established professional corporate relations with various companies that allow us greater flexibility for reaching out to industry participants and commentators for interviews and discussions, fulfilling the following functions:

  • Validates and improves the data quality and strengthens research proceeds
  • Further develop the analyst team’s market understanding and expertise
  • Supplies authentic information about market size, share, growth, and forecast

The researcher's primary research interview and discussion panels are typically composed of the most experienced industry members. These participants include, however, are not limited to:

  • Chief executives and VPs of leading corporations specific to the industry
  • Product and sales managers or country heads; channel partners and top level distributors; banking, investment, and valuation experts
  • Key opinion leaders (KOLs)

Secondary Research

The publisher refers to a broad array of industry sources for their secondary research, which typically includes, however, is not limited to:

  • Company SEC filings, annual reports, company websites, broker & financial reports, and investor presentations for competitive scenario and shape of the industry
  • Patent and regulatory databases for understanding of technical & legal developments
  • Scientific and technical writings for product information and related preemptions
  • Regional government and statistical databases for macro analysis
  • Authentic new articles, webcasts, and other related releases for market evaluation
  • Internal and external proprietary databases, key market indicators, and relevant press releases for market estimates and forecasts
 

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