Rocket Launch Failure Analysis Market Report 2025

The rocket launch failure analysis market size has grown rapidly in recent years. It will grow from $1.16 billion in 2024 to $1.28 billion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.4%. The growth during the historic period can be credited to the higher frequency of satellite deployments, increased investments in space exploration, growth in mission-critical payloads, the escalating costs associated with launch failures, and the rising demand for dependable aerospace systems.

The rocket launch failure analysis market size is expected to see rapid growth in the next few years. It will grow to $1.88 billion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10%. The anticipated growth in the forecast period can be ascribed to the expanding use of reusable launch vehicles, greater incorporation of AI in failure diagnostics, a surge in commercial space missions, the expansion of government space initiatives, and increasing demand for real-time telemetry analysis. Key trends expected during this period include progress in machine learning-based anomaly detection, the emergence of digital twin technology for rockets, innovations in real-time telemetry monitoring systems, advancements in high-speed imaging methods, and the evolution of autonomous failure analysis platforms.

The increase in rocket launches is set to drive expansion in the rocket launch failure analysis market. Rockets are launched intentionally to deploy satellites, carry out scientific experiments, or support defense objectives. This uptick is largely attributable to growing global demand for satellite-based internet, prompting both private companies and government agencies to deploy extensive satellite constellations. By investigating the causes of past launch failures, failure analysis helps improve the reliability of future missions, allowing engineers to correct technical faults and mitigate the risk of repeat incidents. For example, The Space Foundation reported that in 2023 there were 223 launch attempts worldwide - the third consecutive year of record-high activity with 212 successes. Commercial launches grew by 50% compared to 2022, and over 2,800 satellites were sent into orbit, marking a 23% year-over-year increase.

Leading players in the rocket launch failure analysis arena are investing in advanced computer-aided engineering (CAE) software to anticipate failure modes and boost system dependability through virtual testing and predictive analytics. CAE platforms simulate real-world conditions to evaluate engineering designs, cutting down on physical prototypes and accelerating development while enhancing precision. In May 2022, Collier Aerospace unveiled HyperX, a structural analysis and design tool for both composite and metallic aerospace, automotive, and space applications. HyperX delivers stress and failure analysis alongside sizing optimization, helping teams slash structural weight by as much as 20%, shorten development timelines, improve manufacturability, and meet airframe certification requirements. The software’s versatility was demonstrated live on projects ranging from a kite-powered racing sailboat’s composite frame to a natural-fiber wind turbine blade.

In September 2022, Astrobotic, a U.S. specialist in space robotics, acquired Masten Space Systems for an undisclosed sum. This strategic move allows Astrobotic to integrate Masten’s expertise in vertical-landing technology and propulsion systems, strengthening its capabilities for lunar and planetary missions.

Major players in the rocket launch failure analysis market are Lockheed Martin Corporation, Airbus, Northrop Grumman Corporation, The National Aeronautics and Space Administration, SpaceX, KBR Inc., Blue Origin LLC, United Launch Alliance (ULA), Sierra Space, Rocket Lab, Firefly Aerospace, Swedish Space Corporation, Roscosmos, Isar Aerospace, Seradata, Ulyssix Technologies, Teal Group Corporation, Qualtech Systems Inc., Collier Aerospace, European Space Agency.

North America was the largest region in the rocket launch failure analysis market in 2024. Asia-Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the forecast period. The regions covered in rocket launch failure analysis report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East and Africa. The countries covered in the rocket launch failure analysis market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.

Note that the outlook for this market is being affected by rapid changes in trade relations and tariffs globally. The report will be updated prior to delivery to reflect the latest status, including revised forecasts and quantified impact analysis. The report’s Recommendations and Conclusions sections will be updated to give strategies for entities dealing with the fast-moving international environment.

The sharp hike in U.S. tariffs and the associated trade disputes in spring 2025 are notably impacting the aerospace and defense sector by raising costs for titanium, carbon fiber composites, and avionics materials largely sourced from global suppliers. Defense contractors, locked into fixed-price government contracts, absorb these added costs, while commercial aerospace firms face airline pushback on higher aircraft prices. Delays in component shipments due to customs bottlenecks further disrupt tight production schedules for jets and satellites. The industry is responding by stockpiling critical materials, seeking waivers for defense-related imports, and collaborating with allied nations to diversify supply chain.

Rocket launch failure analysis is a systematic approach aimed at identifying the root causes of failed rocket launches. This process is essential for improving the design of launch vehicles, refining testing procedures, and enhancing operational methods. Its primary objective is to boost the safety and dependability of future missions by avoiding the recurrence of past issues.

The core components involved in rocket launch failure analysis include software, hardware, and services. Software facilitates both real-time and post-launch assessments by examining telemetry data, structural performance, and environmental conditions to detect faults and improve system architecture. Failure categories such as structural, propulsion, and guidance system malfunctions, among others, are examined by users across various sectors including governmental, commercial, defense, and research institutions.

The rocket launch failure analysis market research report is one of a series of new reports that provides rocket launch failure analysis market statistics, including the rocket launch failure analysis industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with the rocket launch failure analysis market share, detailed rocket launch failure analysis market segments, market trends, opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the rocket launch failure analysis industry. This rocket launch failure analysis market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenarios of the industry.

The rocket launch failure analysis market consists of revenues earned by entities by providing services such as telemetry data analysis, fault tree analysis, failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA), root cause investigation, and simulation-based diagnostics. The market value includes the value of related goods sold by the service provider or included within the service offering. The rocket launch failure analysis market also includes sales of telemetry data analyzers, high-speed imaging systems, structural health monitoring tools, and failure simulation platforms. Values in this market are ‘factory gate’ values, that is, the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values and are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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