Quantum-Resistant Firmware Over-the-Air Global Market Report 2025

The quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market size has grown exponentially in recent years. It will grow from $1.31 billion in 2024 to $1.76 billion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34.4%. The growth during the historic period is driven by the increasing need to secure connected devices, heightened awareness of quantum computing threats, rising regulatory requirements, expansion of connected vehicle systems, and growing demand for secure firmware updates.

The quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market size is expected to see exponential growth in the next few years. It will grow to $5.66 billion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34%. The growth projected for the forecast period is supported by wider adoption of post-quantum cryptography, increased investment in cybersecurity, higher demand for encrypted FOTA solutions, expansion of IoT and automotive networks, and stricter compliance requirements. Key trends in the forecast period include improvements in quantum-resistant algorithms, advanced FOTA deployment approaches, development of secure boot processes, innovations in cryptographic key management, and the creation of hybrid quantum-classical security protocols.

Increasing cybersecurity threats are expected to drive growth in the quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market. Cybersecurity threats refer to the potential for unauthorized access to computer systems or data, which can harm individuals or organizations. The rise in these threats is fueled by growing reliance on digital technologies, which creates more opportunities for attackers to access sensitive information. Quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air mitigates these risks by ensuring device updates remain secure even against future quantum computing attacks, protecting sensitive data from exposure or tampering. For example, in February 2023, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd., a US-based cybersecurity provider, reported that cyberattacks rose by 38% in 2022 compared to the previous year, with organizations facing an average of 1,168 attacks per week. This growing threat landscape is driving demand for quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air solutions.

Key companies in quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market are focusing on technological innovations such as quantum-resistant single-chip solutions to improve device security, ensure long-term data protection, and enable secure updates against evolving cyber threats. A quantum-resistant single-chip solution is an integrated hardware platform that uses post-quantum cryptographic algorithms to protect data and communications from potential quantum computing threats. For instance, in December 2023, Enova Technology Ltd., a Taiwan-based hardware encryption provider, launched its Quantum Resistant Digital Signature Algorithm solution powered by the FIPS 140-2 Level 3 certified single-chip crypto module X-Wall MX+ xF/QR. The solution employs stateful hash-based extended Merkle Signature Scheme and multi-tree XMSS DSA for secure user and device authentication, while the built-in AES 256-bit hardware accelerator provides enhanced protection of controlled unclassified information, maintaining confidentiality and privacy.

In November 2023, Crypto Quantique, a UK-based quantum-driven cybersecurity company, partnered with Blaitek Limited to integrate quantum-based security into IoT device firmware. Through this collaboration, Crypto Quantique aims to enable secure, quantum-resistant chip-to-cloud connectivity by incorporating post-quantum cryptographic protocols into over-the-air firmware updates for IoT devices, protecting smart-home ecosystems against future quantum computing threats. Blaitek Limited, based in Taiwan, specializes in developing quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air for smart-home technology.

Major players in the quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market are Microsoft Corporation, Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd., Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd., International Business Machines Corporation, Cisco Systems Inc., Honeywell International Inc., Qualcomm Technologies Inc., Thales Group, STMicroelectronics N.V., Infineon Technologies AG, Enova Technology Ltd, Post‑Quantum Ltd., DigiCert Inc., QNu Labs Private Limited, Kudelski IoT SA, Crypto Quantique Ltd., zeroRISC Ltd., Arqit Quantum Inc., QuantiCor Security GmbH, and ResQuant GmbH.

North America was the largest region in the quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market in 2024. Asia-Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the forecast period. The regions covered in this report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East and Africa.

Note that the outlook for this market is being affected by rapid changes in trade relations and tariffs globally. The report will be updated prior to delivery to reflect the latest status, including revised forecasts and quantified impact analysis. The report’s Recommendations and Conclusions sections will be updated to give strategies for entities dealing with the fast-moving international environment.

The rapid escalation of U.S. tariffs and the resulting trade tensions in spring 2025 are significantly impacting the information technology sector, particularly in hardware manufacturing, data infrastructure, and software deployment. Higher duties on imported semiconductors, circuit boards, and networking equipment have raised production and operational costs for tech firms, cloud service providers, and data centers. Companies relying on globally sourced components for laptops, servers, and consumer electronics are facing longer lead times and increased pricing pressures. In parallel, tariffs on specialized software tools and retaliatory measures from key international markets have disrupted global IT supply chains and reduced overseas demand for U.S.-developed technologies. To navigate these challenges, the sector is accelerating investments in domestic chip fabrication, diversifying supplier bases, and adopting AI-driven automation to enhance operational resilience and cost efficiency.

The quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market research report is one of a series of new reports that provides quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market statistics, including the quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with the quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market share, detailed quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market segments, market trends, and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air industry. This quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenarios of the industry.

Quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air allows devices to receive software updates wirelessly, protecting them from advanced computing threats. These updates occur automatically, eliminating the need for physical connections, which helps maintain device security and performance over time.

The primary security algorithms used in quantum-resistant FOTA include lattice-based cryptography, multivariate cryptography, hash-based cryptography, code-based cryptography, and others. Lattice-based cryptography is a post-quantum method that uses complex lattice mathematical problems to secure wireless firmware updates, making them resistant to quantum computing attacks. These technologies are applied to various devices such as smartphones, connected vehicles, industrial machinery, wearables, and more, and can be implemented in both on-premises and cloud-based systems. Key applications include automotive, consumer electronics, industrial IoT, healthcare, aerospace, and defense, serving end-users such as original equipment manufacturers, service providers, and enterprises.

The countries covered in the quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.

The quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air (FOTA) market consists of revenues earned by entities by providing services such as secure wireless software updates, cybersecurity protection, system monitoring, firmware management, and consulting to help devices stay safe from advanced hacking threats. The market value includes the value of related goods sold by the service provider or included within the service offering. The quantum-resistant firmware over-the-air (FOTA) market also includes sales of secure firmware update software, encryption tools, management platforms, security modules, and related hardware used to deliver and protect wireless software updates against advanced cyber threats. Values in this market are ‘factory gate’ values, that is, the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

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