Overall world revenue for the Biofuels & Biochemicals Market: In terms of value the market will surpass US$220.1 billion in 2025, the work calculates. The publisher predicts strong revenue growth through to 2035. The work identifies which organizations hold the greatest potential. Discover their capabilities, progress, and commercial prospects, helping you stay ahead.
This report will prove invaluable to leading firms striving for new revenue pockets if they wish to better understand the industry and its underlying dynamics. It will be useful for companies that would like to expand into different industries or to expand their existing operations in a new region.
In the U.S., the clean fuel production credit (§45Z) became effective for 2025 production, paying on well-to-wheels carbon intensity and rewarding producers that can verifiably drive down CI scores. Treasury and IRS guidance clarifies eligibility and modeling, while ongoing tweaks to GREET parameters and treatment of ILUC are sharpening the economic signal toward low-CI feedstocks and process efficiency. That design materially improves bankability for SAF, renewable diesel and ethanol-to-jet pathways that can document CI reductions, and it pushes enzyme providers, pretreatment technology and carbon capture toward the critical path.
Supply risk compounds when national programs redirect feedstocks inward. Indonesia's march to B40-B50 reduces palm oil exports available for biodiesel outside its borders, while Europe's advanced-biofuel sub-targets absorb a growing share of limited Annex IX feedstocks. Singapore's upcoming SAF mandate illustrates how even well-signaled policies face near-term cost and supply headwinds, with early estimates putting SAF at multiples of fossil jet and highlighting the challenge of scaling waste-based inputs quickly enough. Until novel lipids, residues, lignocellulosics and CO‚ÇÇ-to-X routes reach scale, feedstock scarcity will be a persistent cap on growth.
This report will prove invaluable to leading firms striving for new revenue pockets if they wish to better understand the industry and its underlying dynamics. It will be useful for companies that would like to expand into different industries or to expand their existing operations in a new region.
Mandates and Incentives Are Locking In Structural Demand
Policy remains the flywheel, with binding blend requirements and tax credits turning what used to be discretionary 'green' volumes into base demand. In aviation, the EU's ReFuelEU Aviation rule begins in 2025 with a 2% SAF blend mandate and scales through 2030, forcing airlines and fuel suppliers to secure supply and proof of sustainability, while Switzerland plans alignment from 2026. These measures sit alongside the broader RED III framework, which tightens transport-renewables targets and traceability, increasingly privileging advanced feedstocks and sustainable pathways that can clear lifecycle thresholds. Together, these rules convert policy intent into offtake inevitability, which de-risks projects and underwriting.In the U.S., the clean fuel production credit (§45Z) became effective for 2025 production, paying on well-to-wheels carbon intensity and rewarding producers that can verifiably drive down CI scores. Treasury and IRS guidance clarifies eligibility and modeling, while ongoing tweaks to GREET parameters and treatment of ILUC are sharpening the economic signal toward low-CI feedstocks and process efficiency. That design materially improves bankability for SAF, renewable diesel and ethanol-to-jet pathways that can document CI reductions, and it pushes enzyme providers, pretreatment technology and carbon capture toward the critical path.
Feedstock Tightness, Traceability and ILUC Disputes Inflate Risk
The best pathways on paper still depend on scarce, auditable feedstocks. Used cooking oil, tallow and other waste lipids remain constrained, with allegations of origin-fraud periodically roiling European markets and making buyers cautious. RED III's tougher sustainability and traceability rules raise the compliance bar even as they strengthen market integrity, and lifecycle debates around indirect land use change continue to influence credit values and eligibility across jurisdictions. Producers that can't prove chain-of-custody and low CI risk losing price premia or tax eligibility, compressing margins at the worst possible time in project ramp-up.Supply risk compounds when national programs redirect feedstocks inward. Indonesia's march to B40-B50 reduces palm oil exports available for biodiesel outside its borders, while Europe's advanced-biofuel sub-targets absorb a growing share of limited Annex IX feedstocks. Singapore's upcoming SAF mandate illustrates how even well-signaled policies face near-term cost and supply headwinds, with early estimates putting SAF at multiples of fossil jet and highlighting the challenge of scaling waste-based inputs quickly enough. Until novel lipids, residues, lignocellulosics and CO‚ÇÇ-to-X routes reach scale, feedstock scarcity will be a persistent cap on growth.
What would be the Impact of US Trade Tariffs on the Global Biofuels & Biochemicals Market?
The introduction and adjustment of U.S. tariffs on biofuels and biochemicals have created both challenges and opportunities for the global market. Over the past few years, tariff policies targeting imports of ethanol, biodiesel, and renewable chemical intermediates have reshaped international trade flows, influencing competitiveness and investment strategies across key producing regions. The United States, one of the largest producers and consumers of biofuels, has used tariff measures to protect domestic industries from low-cost imports, particularly from Latin America and Southeast Asia. However, such policies also disrupt supply chains and impact countries reliant on U.S. exports. The global biofuels market's response to these tariffs varies based on regional production capacity, feedstock availability, and government incentives, resulting in different recovery trajectories V-shaped, U-shaped, or L-shaped depending on market resilience and policy adjustments.Key Questions Answered
- How is the biofuels & biochemicals market evolving?
- What is driving and restraining the biofuels & biochemicals market?
- How will each biofuels & biochemicals submarket segment grow over the forecast period and how much revenue will these submarkets account for in 2035?
- How will the market shares for each biofuels & biochemicals submarket develop from 2025 to 2035?
- What will be the main driver for the overall market from 2025 to 2035?
- Will leading biofuels & biochemicals markets broadly follow the macroeconomic dynamics, or will individual national markets outperform others?
- How will the market shares of the national markets change by 2035 and which geographical region will lead the market in 2035?
- Who are the leading players and what are their prospects over the forecast period?
- What are the biofuels & biochemicals projects for these leading companies?
- How will the industry evolve during the period between 2025 and 2035? What are the implications of biofuels & biochemicals projects taking place now and over the next 10 years?
- Is there a greater need for product commercialisation to further scale the biofuels & biochemicals market?
- Where is the biofuels & biochemicals market heading and how can you ensure you are at the forefront of the market?
- What are the best investment options for new product and service lines?
- What are the key prospects for moving companies into a new growth path and C-suite?
You need to discover how this will impact the biofuels & biochemicals market today, and over the next 10 years:
- This 402-page report provides 118 tables and 115 charts/graphs exclusively to you.
- The report highlights key lucrative areas in the industry so you can target them - NOW.
- It contains in-depth analysis of global, regional and national sales and growth.
- It highlights for you the key successful trends, changes and revenue projections made by your competitors.
Forecasts to 2035 and other analyses reveal commercial prospects
- In addition to revenue forecasting to 2035, the new study provides you with recent results, growth rates, and market shares.
- You will find original analyses, with business outlooks and developments.
- Discover qualitative analyses (including market dynamics, drivers, opportunities, restraints and challenges), cost structure, impact of rising biofuels & biochemicals prices and recent developments.
Segments Covered in the Report
By Business Model
- Integrated Bio-Refineries
- Decentralized / Modular Production Units
By Feedstock Source
- First-Generation
- Second-Generation
- Third-Generation
By Application
- Transportation Fuels
- Aviation Fuels
- Power Generation
- Industrial Chemicals & Intermediates
By Process
- Fermentation
- Transesterification
- Gasification
- Pyrolysis
- Other Processes
By Product Type
- Bioethanol
- Biodiesel
- Biogas / Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF)
- Bio-based Chemicals
- Hydrogen from Biomass
North America
- U.S.
- Canada
Europe
- Germany
- UK
- France
- Italy
- Spain
- Rest of Europe
Asia Pacific
- Japan
- China
- India
- Australia
- South Korea
- South East Asia
- Rest of Asia Pacific
Latin America
- Brazil
- Mexico
- Rest of Latin America
MEA
- GCC
- South Africa
- Rest of MEA
Leading companies profiled in the report
- Abengoa, S.A (Acquire by Cox Energy)
- Alto Ingredients, Inc
- Archer Daniels Midland Company
- BASF SE
- Bio-Oils Energy
- BP Plc
- Butamax Advanced Biofuels LLC
- Eniven Group
- Fulcrum BioEnergy
- Green Plains Inc.
- Renewable Biofuels LLC
- Royal Dutch Shell Plc
- Valero Energy Corporation
- Wilmar International Ltd.
How will the Biofuels & Biochemicals Market report help you?
In summary, the 400+ page report provides you with the following knowledge:- Revenue forecasts to 2035 for Biofuels & Biochemicals Market, with forecasts for business model, feedstock source, application, process, and product type, each forecast at a global and regional level - discover the industry's prospects, finding the most lucrative places for investments and revenues.
- Revenue forecasts to 2035 for five regional and 25 key national markets - See forecasts for the Biofuels & Biochemicals Market in North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and MEA. Also forecasted is the market in the US, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Germany, France, UK, Italy, China, India, Japan, and Australia among other prominent economies.
- Prospects for established firms and those seeking to enter the market - including company profiles for 15 of the major companies involved in the Biofuels & Biochemicals Market.
Information found nowhere else
With this new report, you are less likely to fall behind in knowledge or miss out on opportunities. See how this work could benefit your research, analyses, and decisions. Visiongain's study is for everybody needing commercial analyses for the Biofuels & Biochemicals Market, market-leading companies. You will find data, trends and predictions.Table of Contents
1 Report Overview
3 Market Overview
4 Biofuels & Biochemicals Market Analysis by Business Model
5 Biofuels & Biochemicals Market Analysis by Feedstock Source
6 Biofuels & Biochemicals Market Analysis by Application
7 Biofuels & Biochemicals Market Analysis by Process
8 Biofuels & Biochemicals Market Analysis by Product Type
9 Biofuels & Biochemicals Market Analysis by Region
10 North America Biofuels & Biochemicals Analysis
11 Europe Biofuels & Biochemicals Analysis
12 Asia-Pacific Biofuels & Biochemicals Analysis
13 Middle East and Africa Biofuels & Biochemicals Analysis
14 Latin America Biofuels & Biochemicals Analysis
15 Company Profiles
16 Conclusion and Recommendations
List of Tables
Companies Mentioned
- Abengoa, S.A (Acquire by Cox Energy)
- Alto Ingredients, Inc
- Archer Daniels Midland Company
- BASF SE
- Bio-Oils Energy
- BP Plc
- Butamax Advanced Biofuels LLC
- Eniven Group
- Fulcrum BioEnergy
- Green Plains Inc.
- Renewable Biofuels LLC
- Royal Dutch Shell Plc
- Valero Energy Corporation
- Wilmar International Ltd
- ADM (Archer Daniels Midland)
- BP
- Chevron
- Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) - Valero & Darling Ingredients
- ExxonMobil
- Firmin
- Fulcrum BioEnergy
- Gevo Inc.
- Green Plains Inc.
- HIF Global
- Idemitsu Kosan
- LanzaJet
- Mitsui OSK Lines
- Neste
- Perpetual Next
- Petrobras
- POET LLC
- Raízen
- Renewable Energy Group (REG)
- Shell
- SkyNRG
- TotalEnergies
- Valero Energy
- White Summit Capital
- World Energy
- Advanced Biofuels Association (ABFA)
- African Biofuels and Renewable Energy Association (ABREA)
- Alternative Fuels & Chemicals Coalition (AFCC)
- American Biofuels Council (ABC)
- Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Biofuels Task Force
- Bioenergy Association of Ukraine (BAU)
- Bioenergy Australia
- Biofuels Association of Australia (BAA)
- Biomass Energy Research Association (BERA)
- Brazilian Sugarcane Industry Association (UNICA)
- Canadian Renewable Fuels Association (CRFA)
- European Biodiesel Board (EBB)
- European Biofuels Technology Platform (EBTP)
- European Renewable Ethanol Association (ePURE)
- Global Bioenergy Partnership (GBEP)
- Global Renewable Fuels Alliance (GRFA)
- Indian Bioenergy Promotion Society (IBPS)
- International Biochar Initiative (IBI)
- International Biomass Energy Association (IBEA)
- International Energy Agency (IEA) - Bioenergy
- International Energy Agency Bioenergy Task 39
- Japan Bioindustry Association (JBA)
- National Biodiesel Board (NBB)
- National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
- Renewable Energy Association (REA) UK
- Renewable Fuels Association (RFA)
- Sustainable Biofuels Innovation Challenge (SBIC)
- World Bioenergy Association (WBA)
