The poland cross-border road freight transport market size is projected to expand from USD 13.25 billion in 2025 and USD 13.61 billion in 2026 to USD 16.77 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 4.26% between 2026 and 2031. A strong trade pull from Germany, fresh EU funding for rail-road hubs, and surging digital-platform adoption are underpinning steady gains in the Poland cross-border road freight transport market, yet tight driver supply, rising German tolls, and cabotage compliance costs are tempering upside potential. This report is Segmented by End User Industry (Agriculture, and More), Truckload (Full-Truck-Load, and More), Containerization (Containerized, and More), Distance (Long Haul, Short Haul), Goods Configuration (Fluid, and Solid), Temperature Control (Non-Temperature Controlled, and More), and Geography (Germany, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
Online parcel specialists such as InPost, which operates more than 53,000 automated lockers, are driving higher LTL volumes, especially on the Germany and Netherlands lanes. Multitemperature capacity from Raben and Nagel-Group supports pharma and grocery inflows, while new electronics plants, such as Compal’s Czeladź site, spur demand for climate-controlled trucks within 300 kilometers. Altogether, retail freight is set to narrow the gap with manufacturing by the end of the outlook period, underpinning service diversification for carriers.
Full-truckload (FTL) shipments captured a commanding 78.61% of the Poland cross-border road freight transport market share in 2025, reflecting 22- to 24-tonne grain lots and dedicated auto-component runs that underpin high cube utilization. Average FTL stage lengths remain near 800 kilometers on Poland-Germany corridors, yet empty-running dropped below 20% in 2025 after widespread platform matching. DSV’s post-Schenker grid now groups multiple FTL departures per hour from Poznań and Wrocław, shrinking dwell times to under 12 hours.
Less-than-truckload (LTL) is on track for a 5.03% CAGR, the fastest in this category, thanks to CargoON’s AI bidding engine that lifts carrier win rates more than 20% on Dutch and Belgian lanes. Raben’s 10,000 m² Bedzieszyn terminal funnels 15-20 spoke depots into high-frequency trunk routes, lowering per-pallet costs by up to 25%. As near-shoring compresses shipment radii under 300 kilometers, mixed-size consignments multiply, pushing LTL’s share toward one-quarter of the Poland cross-border road freight transport industry by 2031.
Poland Cross-Border Road Freight Transport Market Trends and Insights
Re-Routing of EU Supply Chains via Poland-Germany Corridor
German CO₂ tolls that rose to EUR 200 per tonne (USD 220 per tonne) in 2024 pushed shippers to divert freight through Poland, where diesel remains 15-20 % cheaper, sustaining lane shifts that enlarge the Poland cross-border road freight transport market. New Warsaw-Berlin and Kraków-Wrocław-Berlin rail upgrades funded under the Connecting Europe Facility aim to add 25-30 % freight capacity by 2030, nudging 10-12% of road tonnage onto intermodal options. While pure road growth moderates, demand for first-mile and last-mile truck legs rises, particularly around Poznań and Wrocław rail terminals. DSV’s enlarged warehouse grid is well placed to capture this cross-docking flow. Overall, the corridor realignment lifts capacity utilization, lowers empty running, and supports steady rate growth.Near-Shoring of Western OEMs to Poland & Czechia
Greenfield projects by Toyota, POSCO International, and others have injected more than USD 3 billion since 2024, shifting component flows from 600-800 kilometers down to nearly 250 kilometers. This densifies regional lanes and boosts LTL demand as factories call for sub-24-hour cycles. Raben answered with new terminals in Będzieszyn and Opole, each within 150 kilometers of major clusters. The trend underpins a healthy pipeline of short-haul revenue, even as long-haul exposure eases.Driver Shortage and Ageing Workforce
Poland lacks 30,000 to 200,000 licensed truck drivers, and the workforce is aging rapidly, with the average driver nearing 50 years old and youth representation below 5%. Pay levels of USD 1,950-2,250 per month trail Western European offers by roughly a third, fuelling continuous out-migration.Furthermore, visa delays limit essential third-country recruitment from Ukraine and beyond. Compounding these structural labor constraints, severe fuel price spikes in early 2026, which prompted emergency government price caps, have forced smaller, highly vulnerable fleets to idle trucks. Until automation or large-scale, state-sponsored training schemes mature, combined labor and operating cost pressures will cap capacity and slow growth in the Poland cross-border road freight transport market.Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
- Post-2027 EU Mobility Package Harmonization
- Rapid Uptake of Digital Freight Platforms
- Tightened cabotage and posting-of-workers rules
Segment Analysis
Manufacturing accounted for 22.78% of 2025 tonnage in the Poland cross-border road freight transport market as automotive and electronics plants fed German and Czech assembly lines. The wholesale and retail trade segment, buoyed by e-commerce’s 9.1% share of Polish retail, is the fastest-growing with a 4.91% CAGR forecast through 2031.Online parcel specialists such as InPost, which operates more than 53,000 automated lockers, are driving higher LTL volumes, especially on the Germany and Netherlands lanes. Multitemperature capacity from Raben and Nagel-Group supports pharma and grocery inflows, while new electronics plants, such as Compal’s Czeladź site, spur demand for climate-controlled trucks within 300 kilometers. Altogether, retail freight is set to narrow the gap with manufacturing by the end of the outlook period, underpinning service diversification for carriers.
Full-truckload (FTL) shipments captured a commanding 78.61% of the Poland cross-border road freight transport market share in 2025, reflecting 22- to 24-tonne grain lots and dedicated auto-component runs that underpin high cube utilization. Average FTL stage lengths remain near 800 kilometers on Poland-Germany corridors, yet empty-running dropped below 20% in 2025 after widespread platform matching. DSV’s post-Schenker grid now groups multiple FTL departures per hour from Poznań and Wrocław, shrinking dwell times to under 12 hours.
Less-than-truckload (LTL) is on track for a 5.03% CAGR, the fastest in this category, thanks to CargoON’s AI bidding engine that lifts carrier win rates more than 20% on Dutch and Belgian lanes. Raben’s 10,000 m² Bedzieszyn terminal funnels 15-20 spoke depots into high-frequency trunk routes, lowering per-pallet costs by up to 25%. As near-shoring compresses shipment radii under 300 kilometers, mixed-size consignments multiply, pushing LTL’s share toward one-quarter of the Poland cross-border road freight transport industry by 2031.
Complete Report Scope:
- By End User Industry
- Agriculture, Fishing, and Forestry
- Construction
- Manufacturing
- Oil and Gas, Mining and Quarrying
- Wholesale and Retail Trade
- Others
- By Truckload Specification
- Full-Truck-Load (FTL)
- Less than-Truck-Load (LTL)
- By Containerization
- Containerized
- Non-Containerized
- By Distance
- Long Haul
- Short Haul
- By Goods Configuration
- Fluid Goods
- Solid Goods
- By Temperature Control
- Non-Temperature Controlled
- Temperature Controlled
- By Country
- Germany
- Czech Republic
- Slovakia
- Ukraine
- Belarus
- Rest of Europe
List of Companies Covered in this Report:
- DHL Supply Chain
- Kuehne + Nagel
- DSV A/S
- CEVA Logistics (CMA CGM)
- GEODIS
- Raben Group
- Girteka Logistics
- FM Logistic
- XPO
- DACHSER
- Rohlig Suus Logistics
- Omega Pilzno
- No Limit
- REGESTA
- Quehenberger Logistics
- Ewals Cargo Care
- C.H. Robinson Europe
- LKW Walter
- Rhenus Logistics
- SKAT Transport
- Trans Polonia
- Don Trucking Group
Additional Benefits:
- The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
- 3 months of analyst support
Table of Contents
1 Introduction
4 Market Landscape
5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts (Value, 2026-2031)
6 Competitive Landscape
7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook
Companies Mentioned (Partial List)
A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:
- DHL Supply Chain
- Kuehne + Nagel
- DSV A/S
- CEVA Logistics (CMA CGM)
- GEODIS
- Raben Group
- Girteka Logistics
- FM Logistic
- XPO
- DACHSER
- Rohlig Suus Logistics
- Omega Pilzno
- No Limit
- REGESTA
- Quehenberger Logistics
- Ewals Cargo Care
- C.H. Robinson Europe
- LKW Walter
- Rhenus Logistics
- SKAT Transport
- Trans Polonia
- Don Trucking Group
